1,526 research outputs found

    Asymptotic variance of stationary reversible and normal Markov processes

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    We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the regular variation of the variance of partial sums of functionals of discrete and continuous-time stationary Markov processes with normal transition operators. We also construct a class of Metropolis-Hastings algorithms which satisfy a central limit theorem and invariance principle when the variance is not linear in nn

    Orlicz integrability of additive functionals of Harris ergodic Markov chains

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    For a Harris ergodic Markov chain (Xn)n≥0(X_n)_{n\ge 0}, on a general state space, started from the so called small measure or from the stationary distribution we provide optimal estimates for Orlicz norms of sums ∑i=0τf(Xi)\sum_{i=0}^\tau f(X_i), where τ\tau is the first regeneration time of the chain. The estimates are expressed in terms of other Orlicz norms of the function ff (wrt the stationary distribution) and the regeneration time τ\tau (wrt the small measure). We provide applications to tail estimates for additive functionals of the chain (Xn)(X_n) generated by unbounded functions as well as to classical limit theorems (CLT, LIL, Berry-Esseen)

    Nonlinearity and Temporal Dependence

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    Nonlinearities in the drift and diffusion coefficients influence temporal dependence in diffusion models. We study this link using three measures of temporal dependence: rho-mixing, beta-mixing and alpha-mixing. Stationary diffusions that are rho-mixing have mixing coefficients that decay exponentially to zero. When they fail to be rho-mixing, they are still beta-mixing and alpha-mixing; but coefficient decay is slower than exponential. For such processes we find transformations of the Markov states that have finite variances but infinite spectral densities at frequency zero. The resulting spectral densities behave like those of stochastic processes with long memory. Finally we show how state-dependent, Poisson sampling alters the temporal dependence.Diffusion, Strong dependence, Long memory, Poisson sampling, Quadratic forms

    Ergodicity of the zigzag process

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    The zigzag process is a Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process which can be used in a MCMC framework to sample from a given target distribution. We prove the convergence of this process to its target under very weak assumptions, and establish a central limit theorem for empirical averages under stronger assumptions on the decay of the target measure. We use the classical "Meyn-Tweedie" approach. The main difficulty turns out to be the proof that the process can indeed reach all the points in the space, even if we consider the minimal switching rates
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