19,055 research outputs found
Recent advances in directional statistics
Mainstream statistical methodology is generally applicable to data observed
in Euclidean space. There are, however, numerous contexts of considerable
scientific interest in which the natural supports for the data under
consideration are Riemannian manifolds like the unit circle, torus, sphere and
their extensions. Typically, such data can be represented using one or more
directions, and directional statistics is the branch of statistics that deals
with their analysis. In this paper we provide a review of the many recent
developments in the field since the publication of Mardia and Jupp (1999),
still the most comprehensive text on directional statistics. Many of those
developments have been stimulated by interesting applications in fields as
diverse as astronomy, medicine, genetics, neurology, aeronautics, acoustics,
image analysis, text mining, environmetrics, and machine learning. We begin by
considering developments for the exploratory analysis of directional data
before progressing to distributional models, general approaches to inference,
hypothesis testing, regression, nonparametric curve estimation, methods for
dimension reduction, classification and clustering, and the modelling of time
series, spatial and spatio-temporal data. An overview of currently available
software for analysing directional data is also provided, and potential future
developments discussed.Comment: 61 page
Cost-effectiveness analysis of 3-D computerized tomography colonography versus optical colonoscopy for imaging symptomatic gastroenterology patients.
BACKGROUND: When symptomatic gastroenterology patients have an indication for colonic imaging, clinicians have a choice between optical colonoscopy (OC) and computerized tomography colonography with three-dimensional reconstruction (3-D CTC). 3-D CTC provides a minimally invasive and rapid evaluation of the entire colon, and it can be an efficient modality for diagnosing symptoms. It allows for a more targeted use of OC, which is associated with a higher risk of major adverse events and higher procedural costs. A case can be made for 3-D CTC as a primary test for colonic imaging followed if necessary by targeted therapeutic OC; however, the relative long-term costs and benefits of introducing 3-D CTC as a first-line investigation are unknown. AIM: The aim of this study was to assess the cost effectiveness of 3-D CTC versus OC for colonic imaging of symptomatic gastroenterology patients in the UK NHS. METHODS: We used a Markov model to follow a cohort of 100,000 symptomatic gastroenterology patients, aged 50 years or older, and estimate the expected lifetime outcomes, life years (LYs) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and costs (£, 2010-2011) associated with 3-D CTC and OC. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the base-case cost-effectiveness results to variation in input parameters and methodological assumptions. RESULTS: 3D-CTC provided a similar number of LYs (7.737 vs 7.739) and QALYs (7.013 vs 7.018) per individual compared with OC, and it was associated with substantially lower mean costs per patient (£467 vs £583), leading to a positive incremental net benefit. After accounting for the overall uncertainty, the probability of 3-D CTC being cost effective was around 60 %, at typical willingness-to-pay values of £20,000-£30,000 per QALY gained. CONCLUSION: 3-D CTC is a cost-saving and cost-effective option for colonic imaging of symptomatic gastroenterology patients compared with OC
A semiparametric regression model for paired longitudinal outcomes with application in childhood blood pressure development
This research examines the simultaneous influences of height and weight on
longitudinally measured systolic and diastolic blood pressure in children.
Previous studies have shown that both height and weight are positively
associated with blood pressure. In children, however, the concurrent increases
of height and weight have made it all but impossible to discern the effect of
height from that of weight. To better understand these influences, we propose
to examine the joint effect of height and weight on blood pressure. Bivariate
thin plate spline surfaces are used to accommodate the potentially nonlinear
effects as well as the interaction between height and weight. Moreover, we
consider a joint model for paired blood pressure measures, that is, systolic
and diastolic blood pressure, to account for the underlying correlation between
the two measures within the same individual. The bivariate spline surfaces are
allowed to vary across different groups of interest. We have developed related
model fitting and inference procedures. The proposed method is used to analyze
data from a real clinical investigation.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/12-AOAS567 the Annals of
Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
Conditional Spectral Analysis of Replicated Multiple Time Series with Application to Nocturnal Physiology
This article considers the problem of analyzing associations between power
spectra of multiple time series and cross-sectional outcomes when data are
observed from multiple subjects. The motivating application comes from sleep
medicine, where researchers are able to non-invasively record physiological
time series signals during sleep. The frequency patterns of these signals,
which can be quantified through the power spectrum, contain interpretable
information about biological processes. An important problem in sleep research
is drawing connections between power spectra of time series signals and
clinical characteristics; these connections are key to understanding biological
pathways through which sleep affects, and can be treated to improve, health.
Such analyses are challenging as they must overcome the complicated structure
of a power spectrum from multiple time series as a complex positive-definite
matrix-valued function. This article proposes a new approach to such analyses
based on a tensor-product spline model of Cholesky components of
outcome-dependent power spectra. The approach flexibly models power spectra as
nonparametric functions of frequency and outcome while preserving geometric
constraints. Formulated in a fully Bayesian framework, a Whittle likelihood
based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is developed for automated
model fitting and for conducting inference on associations between outcomes and
spectral measures. The method is used to analyze data from a study of sleep in
older adults and uncovers new insights into how stress and arousal are
connected to the amount of time one spends in bed
- …