Functional Principal Component Analysis for Extrapolating Multi-stream Longitudinal Data

The advance of modern sensor technologies enables collection of multi-stream longitudinal data where multiple signals from different units are collected in real-time. In this article, we present a non-parametric approach to predict the evolution of multi-stream longitudinal data for an in-service unit through borrowing strength from other historical units. Our approach first decomposes each stream into a linear combination of eigenfunctions and their corresponding functional principal component (FPC) scores. A Gaussian process prior for the FPC scores is then established based on a functional semi-metric that measures similarities between streams of historical units and the in-service unit. Finally, an empirical Bayesian updating strategy is derived to update the established prior using real-time stream data obtained from the in-service unit. Experiments on synthetic and real world data show that the proposed framework outperforms state-of-the-art approaches and can effectively account for heterogeneity as well as achieve high predictive accuracy

A Federated Data Fusion-Based Prognostic Model for Applications with Multi-Stream Incomplete Signals

Most prognostic methods require a decent amount of data for model training. In reality, however, the amount of historical data owned by a single organization might be small or not large enough to train a reliable prognostic model. To address this challenge, this article proposes a federated prognostic model that allows multiple users to jointly construct a failure time prediction model using their multi-stream, high-dimensional, and incomplete data while keeping each user's data local and confidential. The prognostic model first employs multivariate functional principal component analysis to fuse the multi-stream degradation signals. Then, the fused features coupled with the times-to-failure are utilized to build a (log)-location-scale regression model for failure prediction. To estimate parameters using distributed datasets and keep the data privacy of all participants, we propose a new federated algorithm for feature extraction. Numerical studies indicate that the performance of the proposed model is the same as that of classic non-federated prognostic models and is better than that of the models constructed by each user itself

Segmentation Based Feature Evaluation and Fusion for Prognostics

Quantification of feature goodness, called feature evaluation, is crucial in the identification of best features and achieving high accuracy in diagnostics and prognostics. Even though feature evaluation for diagnostics is a mature area, it is a developing research area for prognostics. The feature goodness for prognostics is measured by change in degradation. Most, if not all, of existing methods, analyze the feature change in the whole failure degradation. In other words, features collected throughout the failure degradation are analyzed to create a goodness value for the feature. In reality, the goodness of the features may change during the failure progression. A feature may be a good representative of failure progression in the initial phase but not in the final phases, or vice versa. This paper presents a methodology that divides the features into segments, each of which may have different goodness for prognostics. Thus, some part of the feature may be good, whereas the others not. The presented approach leads to extract more value from the features’ changing properties during the failure degradation. The method has been applied to simulated and real datasets obtained from Li-ion batteries aging tests. State of health (SoH) estimation accuracy is enhanced with the presented approach

Real-time Data Analytics for Condition Monitoring of Complex Industrial Systems

Modern industrial systems are now fitted with several sensors for condition monitoring. This is advantageous because these sensors can provide mass amounts of data that have the potential for aiding in tasks such as fault detection, diagnosis, and prognostics. However, the information valuable for performing these tasks is often clouded in noise and must be mined from high-dimensional data structures. Therefore, this dissertation presents a data analytics framework for performing these condition monitoring tasks using high-dimensional data. Demonstrations of this framework are detailed for challenges related to power generation systems in automobiles, power plants, and aircraft engines. These implementations leverage data collected from state-of-the-art, industry class test-rigs. Results indicate the ability of this framework to develop effective methodologies for condition monitoring of complex systems.Ph.D

Collaborative Networks, Decision Systems, Web Applications and Services for Supporting Engineering and Production Management

This book focused on fundamental and applied research on collaborative and intelligent networks and decision systems and services for supporting engineering and production management, along with other kinds of problems and services. The development and application of innovative collaborative approaches and systems are of primer importance currently, in Industry 4.0. Special attention is given to flexible and cyber-physical systems, and advanced design, manufacturing and management, based on artificial intelligence approaches and practices, among others, including social systems and services

COST-EFFECTIVE PROGNOSTICS AND HEALTH MONITORING OF LOCALLY DAMAGED PIPELINES WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE LEVEL

Localized pipeline damages, caused by degradation processes such as corrosion, are prominent, can result in pipeline failure and are expensive to monitor. To prevent pipeline failure, many Prognostics and Health Monitoring (PHM) approaches have been developed in which sensor network for online, and human inspection for offline data gathering are separately used. In this dissertation, a two-level (segment- and integrated-level) PHM approach for locally damaged pipelines is proposed where both of these degradation data gathering schemes (i.e., detection methods) are considered simultaneously. The segment-level approach, in which the damage behavior is considered to be uniform, consists of a static and a dynamic phase. In the static phase, a new optimization problem for the health monitoring layout design of locally damaged pipelines is formulated. The solution to this problem is an optimal configuration (or layout) of degradation detection methods with a minimized health monitoring cost and a maximized likelihood of damage detection. In the dynamic phase, considering the optimal layout, an online fusion of high-frequency sensors data and low-frequency inspection information is conducted to estimate and then update the pipeline’s Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimate. Subsequently, the segment-level optimization formulation is modified to improve its scalability and facilitate updating layouts considering the online RUL estimates. Finally, at the integrated-level, the modified segment-level approach is used along with Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) to produce an optimal set of layouts for a long pipeline consisting of multiple segments with different damage behavior. Experimental data and several notional examples are used to demonstrate the performance of the proposed approaches. Synthetically generated damage data are used in two examples to demonstrate that the proposed segment-level layout optimization approach results in a more robust solution compared to single detection approaches and deterministic methods. For the dynamic segment-level phase, acoustic emission sensor signals and microscopic images from a set of fatigue crack experiments are considered to show that combining sensor- and image-based damage size estimates leads to accuracy improvements in RUL estimation. Lastly, using synthetically generated damage data for three hypothetical pipeline segments, it is shown that the constructed integrated-level approach provides an optimal set of layouts for several pipeline segments