Scalable statistical learning for relation prediction on structured data

Relation prediction seeks to predict unknown but potentially true relations by revealing missing relations in available data, by predicting future events based on historical data, and by making predicted relations retrievable by query. The approach developed in this thesis can be used for a wide variety of purposes, including to predict likely new friends on social networks, attractive points of interest for an individual visiting an unfamiliar city, and associations between genes and particular diseases. In recent years, relation prediction has attracted significant interest in both research and application domains, partially due to the increasing volume of published structured data and background knowledge. In the Linked Open Data initiative of the Semantic Web, for instance, entities are uniquely identified such that the published information can be integrated into applications and services, and the rapid increase in the availability of such structured data creates excellent opportunities as well as challenges for relation prediction. This thesis focuses on the prediction of potential relations by exploiting regularities in data using statistical relational learning algorithms and applying these methods to relational knowledge bases, in particular in Linked Open Data in particular. We review representative statistical relational learning approaches, e.g., Inductive Logic Programming and Probabilistic Relational Models. While logic-based reasoning can infer and include new relations via deduction by using ontologies, machine learning can be exploited to predict new relations (with some degree of certainty) via induction, purely based on the data. Because the application of machine learning approaches to relation prediction usually requires handling large datasets, we also discuss the scalability of machine learning as a solution to relation prediction, as well as the significant challenge posed by incomplete relational data (such as social network data, which is often much more extensive for some users than others). The main contribution of this thesis is to develop a learning framework called the Statistical Unit Node Set (SUNS) and to propose a multivariate prediction approach used in the framework. We argue that multivariate prediction approaches are most suitable for dealing with large, sparse data matrices. According to the characteristics and intended application of the data, the approach can be extended in different ways. We discuss and test two extensions of the approach--kernelization and a probabilistic method of handling complex n-ary relationships--in empirical studies based on real-world data sets. Additionally, this thesis contributes to the field of relation prediction by applying the SUNS framework to various domains. We focus on three applications: 1. In social network analysis, we present a combined approach of inductive and deductive reasoning for recommending movies to users. 2. In the life sciences, we address the disease gene prioritization problem. 3. In the recommendation system, we describe and investigate the back-end of a mobile app called BOTTARI, which provides personalized location-based recommendations of restaurants.Die Beziehungsvorhersage strebt an, unbekannte aber potenziell wahre Beziehungen vorherzusagen, indem fehlende Relationen in verfügbaren Daten aufgedeckt, zukünftige Ereignisse auf der Grundlage historischer Daten prognostiziert und vorhergesagte Relationen durch Anfragen abrufbar gemacht werden. Der in dieser Arbeit entwickelte Ansatz lässt sich für eine Vielzahl von Zwecken einschließlich der Vorhersage wahrscheinlicher neuer Freunde in sozialen Netzen, der Empfehlung attraktiver Sehenswürdigkeiten für Touristen in fremden Städten und der Priorisierung möglicher Assoziationen zwischen Genen und bestimmten Krankheiten, verwenden. In den letzten Jahren hat die Beziehungsvorhersage sowohl in Forschungs- als auch in Anwendungsbereichen eine enorme Aufmerksamkeit erregt, aufgrund des Zuwachses veröffentlichter strukturierter Daten und von Hintergrundwissen. In der Linked Open Data-Initiative des Semantischen Web werden beispielsweise Entitäten eindeutig identifiziert, sodass die veröffentlichten Informationen in Anwendungen und Dienste integriert werden können. Diese rapide Erhöhung der Verfügbarkeit strukturierter Daten bietet hervorragende Gelegenheiten sowie Herausforderungen für die Beziehungsvorhersage. Diese Arbeit fokussiert sich auf die Vorhersage potenzieller Beziehungen durch Ausnutzung von Regelmäßigkeiten in Daten unter der Verwendung statistischer relationaler Lernalgorithmen und durch Einsatz dieser Methoden in relationale Wissensbasen, insbesondere in den Linked Open Daten. Wir geben einen Überblick über repräsentative statistische relationale Lernansätze, z.B. die Induktive Logikprogrammierung und Probabilistische Relationale Modelle. Während das logikbasierte Reasoning neue Beziehungen unter der Nutzung von Ontologien ableiten und diese einbeziehen kann, kann maschinelles Lernen neue Beziehungen (mit gewisser Wahrscheinlichkeit) durch Induktion ausschließlich auf der Basis der vorliegenden Daten vorhersagen. Da die Verarbeitung von massiven Datenmengen in der Regel erforderlich ist, wenn maschinelle Lernmethoden in die Beziehungsvorhersage eingesetzt werden, diskutieren wir auch die Skalierbarkeit des maschinellen Lernens sowie die erhebliche Herausforderung, die sich aus unvollständigen relationalen Daten ergibt (z. B. Daten aus sozialen Netzen, die oft für manche Benutzer wesentlich umfangreicher sind als für Anderen). Der Hauptbeitrag der vorliegenden Arbeit besteht darin, ein Lernframework namens Statistical Unit Node Set (SUNS) zu entwickeln und einen im Framework angewendeten multivariaten Prädiktionsansatz einzubringen. Wir argumentieren, dass multivariate Vorhersageansätze am besten für die Bearbeitung von großen und dünnbesetzten Datenmatrizen geeignet sind. Je nach den Eigenschaften und der beabsichtigten Anwendung der Daten kann der Ansatz auf verschiedene Weise erweitert werden. In empirischen Studien werden zwei Erweiterungen des Ansatzes--ein kernelisierter Ansatz sowie ein probabilistischer Ansatz zur Behandlung komplexer n-stelliger Beziehungen-- diskutiert und auf realen Datensätzen untersucht. Ein weiterer Beitrag dieser Arbeit ist die Anwendung des SUNS Frameworks auf verschiedene Bereiche. Wir konzentrieren uns auf drei Anwendungen: 1. In der Analyse sozialer Netze stellen wir einen kombinierten Ansatz von induktivem und deduktivem Reasoning vor, um Benutzern Filme zu empfehlen. 2. In den Biowissenschaften befassen wir uns mit dem Problem der Priorisierung von Krankheitsgenen. 3. In den Empfehlungssystemen beschreiben und untersuchen wir das Backend einer mobilen App "BOTTARI", das personalisierte ortsbezogene Empfehlungen von Restaurants bietet

Scalable statistical learning for relation prediction on structured data

Relation prediction seeks to predict unknown but potentially true relations by revealing missing relations in available data, by predicting future events based on historical data, and by making predicted relations retrievable by query. The approach developed in this thesis can be used for a wide variety of purposes, including to predict likely new friends on social networks, attractive points of interest for an individual visiting an unfamiliar city, and associations between genes and particular diseases. In recent years, relation prediction has attracted significant interest in both research and application domains, partially due to the increasing volume of published structured data and background knowledge. In the Linked Open Data initiative of the Semantic Web, for instance, entities are uniquely identified such that the published information can be integrated into applications and services, and the rapid increase in the availability of such structured data creates excellent opportunities as well as challenges for relation prediction. This thesis focuses on the prediction of potential relations by exploiting regularities in data using statistical relational learning algorithms and applying these methods to relational knowledge bases, in particular in Linked Open Data in particular. We review representative statistical relational learning approaches, e.g., Inductive Logic Programming and Probabilistic Relational Models. While logic-based reasoning can infer and include new relations via deduction by using ontologies, machine learning can be exploited to predict new relations (with some degree of certainty) via induction, purely based on the data. Because the application of machine learning approaches to relation prediction usually requires handling large datasets, we also discuss the scalability of machine learning as a solution to relation prediction, as well as the significant challenge posed by incomplete relational data (such as social network data, which is often much more extensive for some users than others). The main contribution of this thesis is to develop a learning framework called the Statistical Unit Node Set (SUNS) and to propose a multivariate prediction approach used in the framework. We argue that multivariate prediction approaches are most suitable for dealing with large, sparse data matrices. According to the characteristics and intended application of the data, the approach can be extended in different ways. We discuss and test two extensions of the approach--kernelization and a probabilistic method of handling complex n-ary relationships--in empirical studies based on real-world data sets. Additionally, this thesis contributes to the field of relation prediction by applying the SUNS framework to various domains. We focus on three applications: 1. In social network analysis, we present a combined approach of inductive and deductive reasoning for recommending movies to users. 2. In the life sciences, we address the disease gene prioritization problem. 3. In the recommendation system, we describe and investigate the back-end of a mobile app called BOTTARI, which provides personalized location-based recommendations of restaurants.Die Beziehungsvorhersage strebt an, unbekannte aber potenziell wahre Beziehungen vorherzusagen, indem fehlende Relationen in verfügbaren Daten aufgedeckt, zukünftige Ereignisse auf der Grundlage historischer Daten prognostiziert und vorhergesagte Relationen durch Anfragen abrufbar gemacht werden. Der in dieser Arbeit entwickelte Ansatz lässt sich für eine Vielzahl von Zwecken einschließlich der Vorhersage wahrscheinlicher neuer Freunde in sozialen Netzen, der Empfehlung attraktiver Sehenswürdigkeiten für Touristen in fremden Städten und der Priorisierung möglicher Assoziationen zwischen Genen und bestimmten Krankheiten, verwenden. In den letzten Jahren hat die Beziehungsvorhersage sowohl in Forschungs- als auch in Anwendungsbereichen eine enorme Aufmerksamkeit erregt, aufgrund des Zuwachses veröffentlichter strukturierter Daten und von Hintergrundwissen. In der Linked Open Data-Initiative des Semantischen Web werden beispielsweise Entitäten eindeutig identifiziert, sodass die veröffentlichten Informationen in Anwendungen und Dienste integriert werden können. Diese rapide Erhöhung der Verfügbarkeit strukturierter Daten bietet hervorragende Gelegenheiten sowie Herausforderungen für die Beziehungsvorhersage. Diese Arbeit fokussiert sich auf die Vorhersage potenzieller Beziehungen durch Ausnutzung von Regelmäßigkeiten in Daten unter der Verwendung statistischer relationaler Lernalgorithmen und durch Einsatz dieser Methoden in relationale Wissensbasen, insbesondere in den Linked Open Daten. Wir geben einen Überblick über repräsentative statistische relationale Lernansätze, z.B. die Induktive Logikprogrammierung und Probabilistische Relationale Modelle. Während das logikbasierte Reasoning neue Beziehungen unter der Nutzung von Ontologien ableiten und diese einbeziehen kann, kann maschinelles Lernen neue Beziehungen (mit gewisser Wahrscheinlichkeit) durch Induktion ausschließlich auf der Basis der vorliegenden Daten vorhersagen. Da die Verarbeitung von massiven Datenmengen in der Regel erforderlich ist, wenn maschinelle Lernmethoden in die Beziehungsvorhersage eingesetzt werden, diskutieren wir auch die Skalierbarkeit des maschinellen Lernens sowie die erhebliche Herausforderung, die sich aus unvollständigen relationalen Daten ergibt (z. B. Daten aus sozialen Netzen, die oft für manche Benutzer wesentlich umfangreicher sind als für Anderen). Der Hauptbeitrag der vorliegenden Arbeit besteht darin, ein Lernframework namens Statistical Unit Node Set (SUNS) zu entwickeln und einen im Framework angewendeten multivariaten Prädiktionsansatz einzubringen. Wir argumentieren, dass multivariate Vorhersageansätze am besten für die Bearbeitung von großen und dünnbesetzten Datenmatrizen geeignet sind. Je nach den Eigenschaften und der beabsichtigten Anwendung der Daten kann der Ansatz auf verschiedene Weise erweitert werden. In empirischen Studien werden zwei Erweiterungen des Ansatzes--ein kernelisierter Ansatz sowie ein probabilistischer Ansatz zur Behandlung komplexer n-stelliger Beziehungen-- diskutiert und auf realen Datensätzen untersucht. Ein weiterer Beitrag dieser Arbeit ist die Anwendung des SUNS Frameworks auf verschiedene Bereiche. Wir konzentrieren uns auf drei Anwendungen: 1. In der Analyse sozialer Netze stellen wir einen kombinierten Ansatz von induktivem und deduktivem Reasoning vor, um Benutzern Filme zu empfehlen. 2. In den Biowissenschaften befassen wir uns mit dem Problem der Priorisierung von Krankheitsgenen. 3. In den Empfehlungssystemen beschreiben und untersuchen wir das Backend einer mobilen App "BOTTARI", das personalisierte ortsbezogene Empfehlungen von Restaurants bietet

Ranking relations using analogies in biological and information networks

Analogical reasoning depends fundamentally on the ability to learn and generalize about relations between objects. We develop an approach to relational learning which, given a set of pairs of objects $\mathbf{S}=\{A^{(1)}:B^{(1)},A^{(2)}:B^{(2)},\ldots,A^{(N)}:B ^{(N)}\}$, measures how well other pairs A:B fit in with the set $\mathbf{S}$. Our work addresses the following question: is the relation between objects A and B analogous to those relations found in $\mathbf{S}$? Such questions are particularly relevant in information retrieval, where an investigator might want to search for analogous pairs of objects that match the query set of interest. There are many ways in which objects can be related, making the task of measuring analogies very challenging. Our approach combines a similarity measure on function spaces with Bayesian analysis to produce a ranking. It requires data containing features of the objects of interest and a link matrix specifying which relationships exist; no further attributes of such relationships are necessary. We illustrate the potential of our method on text analysis and information networks. An application on discovering functional interactions between pairs of proteins is discussed in detail, where we show that our approach can work in practice even if a small set of protein pairs is provided.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/09-AOAS321 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Semantic TrueLearn: Using Semantic Knowledge Graphs in Recommendation Systems

In informational recommenders, many challenges arise from the need to handle the semantic and hierarchical structure between knowledge areas. This work aims to advance towards building a state-aware educational recommendation system that incorporates semantic relatedness between knowledge topics, propagating latent information across semantically related topics. We introduce a novel learner model that exploits this semantic relatedness between knowledge components in learning resources using the Wikipedia link graph, with the aim to better predict learner engagement and latent knowledge in a lifelong learning scenario. In this sense, Semantic TrueLearn builds a humanly intuitive knowledge representation while leveraging Bayesian machine learning to improve the predictive performance of the educational engagement. Our experiments with a large dataset demonstrate that this new semantic version of TrueLearn algorithm achieves statistically significant improvements in terms of predictive performance with a simple extension that adds semantic awareness to the model

Studies on User Intent Analysis and Mining

Predicting the goals of users can be extremely useful in e-commerce, online entertainment, information retrieval, and many other online services and applications. In this thesis, we study the task of user intent understanding, trying to bridge the gap between user expressions to online services and their goals behind it. As far as we know, most of the existing user intent studies are focusing on web search and social media domain. Studies on other areas are not enough. For example, as people more and more rely our daily life on cellphone, our information needs expressing to mobile devices and related services are increasing dramatically. Studies of user intent mining on mobile devices are not much. And the intentions of using mobile devices are different from the ones we use web search engine or social network. So we cannot directly apply the existing user intention to this area. Besides, user's intents are not stable but changing over time. And different interests will impact each other. Modeling such kind of dynamic user interests can help accurately understand and predict user's intent. But there're few existing works in this area. Moreover, user intent could be explicitly or implicitly expressed by users. The implicit intent expression is more close to human's natural language and also have great value to recognize and mine. To make further studies of these challenges, we first try to answer the question of “What is the user intent?” By referring amount of previous studies, we give our definition of user intent as “User intent is a task-specific, predefined or latent concept, topic or knowledge-base that is under an expression from a user who is trying to express his goal of information or service need.“ Then, we focus on the driving scenario when a user using cellphone and study the user intent in this domain. As far as we know, it is the first time of user intent analysis and categorization in this domain. And we also build a dataset of user input and related intent category and attributes by crowdsourcing and carefully handcraft. With the user intent taxonomy and dataset in hand, we conduct a user intent classification and user intent attribute recognition by supervised machine learning models. To classify the user intent for a user intent query, we use a convolutional neural network model to build a multi-class classifier. And then we use a sequential labeling method to recognize the intent attribute in the query. The experiment results show that our proposed method outperforms several baseline models in precision, recall, and F-score. In addition, we study the implicit user intent mining method through web search log data. By using a Restricted Boltzmann Machine, we make use of the correlation of query and click information to learn the latent intent behind a user web search. We propose a user intent prediction model on online discussion forum using Multivariate Hawkes Process. It dynamically models user intentions change and interact over time.The method models both of the internal and external factors of user's online forum response motivations, and also integrated the time decay fact of user's interests. We also present a data visualization method, using an enriched domain ontology to highlight the domain-specific words and entity relations within an article.Ph.D., Information Studies -- Drexel University, 201

Generic Architecture for Predictive Computational Modelling with Application to Financial Data Analysis: Integration of Semantic Approach and Machine Learning

The PhD thesis introduces a Generic Architecture for Predictive Computational Modelling capable of automating analytical conclusions regarding quantitative data structured as a data frame. The model involves heterogeneous data mining based on a semantic approach, graph-based methods (ontology, knowledge graphs, graph databases) and advanced machine learning methods. The main focus of my research is data pre-processing aimed at a more efficient selection of input features to the computational model. Since the model I propose is generic, it can be applied for data mining of all quantitative datasets (containing two-dimensional, size-mutable, heterogeneous tabular data); however, it is best suitable for highly interconnected data. To adapt this generic model to a specific use case, an Ontology as the formal conceptual representation for the relevant domain knowledge is needed. I have determined to use financial/market data for my use cases. In the course of practical experiments, the effectiveness of the PCM model application for the UK companies’ financial risk analysis and the FTSE100 market index forecasting was evaluated. The tests confirmed that the PCM model has more accurate outcomes than stand-alone traditional machine learning methods. By critically evaluating this architecture, I proved its validity and suggested directions for future research

World Modeling for Intelligent Autonomous Systems

The functioning of intelligent autonomous systems requires constant situation awareness and cognition analysis. Thus, it needs a memory structure that contains a description of the surrounding environment (world model) and serves as a central information hub. This book presents a row of theoretical and experimental results in the field of world modeling. This includes areas of dynamic and prior knowledge modeling, information fusion, management and qualitative/quantitative information analysis