Recommending Learning Algorithms and Their Associated Hyperparameters

The success of machine learning on a given task dependson, among other things, which learning algorithm is selected and its associated hyperparameters. Selecting an appropriate learning algorithm and setting its hyperparameters for a given data set can be a challenging task, especially for users who are not experts in machine learning. Previous work has examined using meta-features to predict which learning algorithm and hyperparameters should be used. However, choosing a set of meta-features that are predictive of algorithm performance is difficult. Here, we propose to apply collaborative filtering techniques to learning algorithm and hyperparameter selection, and find that doing so avoids determining which meta-features to use and outperforms traditional meta-learning approaches in many cases.Comment: Short paper--2 pages, 2 table

OBOE: Collaborative Filtering for AutoML Model Selection

Algorithm selection and hyperparameter tuning remain two of the most challenging tasks in machine learning. Automated machine learning (AutoML) seeks to automate these tasks to enable widespread use of machine learning by non-experts. This paper introduces OBOE, a collaborative filtering method for time-constrained model selection and hyperparameter tuning. OBOE forms a matrix of the cross-validated errors of a large number of supervised learning models (algorithms together with hyperparameters) on a large number of datasets, and fits a low rank model to learn the low-dimensional feature vectors for the models and datasets that best predict the cross-validated errors. To find promising models for a new dataset, OBOE runs a set of fast but informative algorithms on the new dataset and uses their cross-validated errors to infer the feature vector for the new dataset. OBOE can find good models under constraints on the number of models fit or the total time budget. To this end, this paper develops a new heuristic for active learning in time-constrained matrix completion based on optimal experiment design. Our experiments demonstrate that OBOE delivers state-of-the-art performance faster than competing approaches on a test bed of supervised learning problems. Moreover, the success of the bilinear model used by OBOE suggests that AutoML may be simpler than was previously understood

A Review of Meta-level Learning in the Context of Multi-component, Multi-level Evolving Prediction Systems.

The exponential growth of volume, variety and velocity of data is raising the need for investigations of automated or semi-automated ways to extract useful patterns from the data. It requires deep expert knowledge and extensive computational resources to find the most appropriate mapping of learning methods for a given problem. It becomes a challenge in the presence of numerous configurations of learning algorithms on massive amounts of data. So there is a need for an intelligent recommendation engine that can advise what is the best learning algorithm for a dataset. The techniques that are commonly used by experts are based on a trial and error approach evaluating and comparing a number of possible solutions against each other, using their prior experience on a specific domain, etc. The trial and error approach combined with the expert’s prior knowledge, though computationally and time expensive, have been often shown to work for stationary problems where the processing is usually performed off-line. However, this approach would not normally be feasible to apply on non-stationary problems where streams of data are continuously arriving. Furthermore, in a non-stationary environment the manual analysis of data and testing of various methods every time when there is a change in the underlying data distribution would be very difficult or simply infeasible. In that scenario and within an on-line predictive system, there are several tasks where Meta-learning can be used to effectively facilitate best recommendations including: 1) pre processing steps, 2) learning algorithms or their combination, 3) adaptivity mechanisms and their parameters, 4) recurring concept extraction, and 5) concept drift detection. However, while conceptually very attractive and promising, the Meta-learning leads to several challenges with the appropriate representation of the problem at a meta-level being one of the key ones. The goal of this review and our research is, therefore, to investigate Meta learning in general and the associated challenges in the context of automating the building, deployment and adaptation of multi-level and multi-component predictive system that evolve over time

MetaBags: Bagged Meta-Decision Trees for Regression

Ensembles are popular methods for solving practical supervised learning problems. They reduce the risk of having underperforming models in production-grade software. Although critical, methods for learning heterogeneous regression ensembles have not been proposed at large scale, whereas in classical ML literature, stacking, cascading and voting are mostly restricted to classification problems. Regression poses distinct learning challenges that may result in poor performance, even when using well established homogeneous ensemble schemas such as bagging or boosting. In this paper, we introduce MetaBags, a novel, practically useful stacking framework for regression. MetaBags is a meta-learning algorithm that learns a set of meta-decision trees designed to select one base model (i.e. expert) for each query, and focuses on inductive bias reduction. A set of meta-decision trees are learned using different types of meta-features, specially created for this purpose - to then be bagged at meta-level. This procedure is designed to learn a model with a fair bias-variance trade-off, and its improvement over base model performance is correlated with the prediction diversity of different experts on specific input space subregions. The proposed method and meta-features are designed in such a way that they enable good predictive performance even in subregions of space which are not adequately represented in the available training data. An exhaustive empirical testing of the method was performed, evaluating both generalization error and scalability of the approach on synthetic, open and real-world application datasets. The obtained results show that our method significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art approaches

Meta-level learning for the effective reduction of model search space.

The exponential growth of volume, variety and velocity of the data is raising the need for investigation of intelligent ways to extract useful patterns from the data. It requires deep expert knowledge and extensive computational resources to find the mapping of learning methods that leads to the optimized performance on a given task. Moreover, numerous configurations of these learning algorithms add another level of complexity. Thus, it triggers the need for an intelligent recommendation engine that can advise the best learning algorithm and its configurations for a given task. The techniques that are commonly used by experts are; trial-and-error, use their prior experience on the specific domain, etc. These techniques sometimes work for less complex tasks that require thousands of parameters to learn. However, the state-of-the-art models, e.g. deep learning models, require well-tuned hyper-parameters to learn millions of parameters which demand specialized skills and numerous computationally expensive and time-consuming trials. In that scenario, Meta-level learning can be a potential solution that can recommend the most appropriate options efficiently and effectively regardless of the complexity of data. On the contrary, Meta-learning leads to several challenges; the most critical ones being model selection and hyper-parameter optimization. The goal of this research is to investigate model selection and hyper-parameter optimization approaches of automatic machine learning in general and the challenges associated with them. In machine learning pipeline there are several phases where Meta-learning can be used to effectively facilitate the best recommendations including 1) pre-processing steps, 2) learning algorithm or their combination, 3) adaptivity mechanism parameters, 4) recurring concept extraction, and 5) concept drift detection. The scope of this research is limited to feature engineering for problem representation, and learning strategy for algorithm and its hyper-parameters recommendation at Meta-level. There are three studies conducted around the two different approaches of automatic machine learning which are model selection using Meta-learning and hyper-parameter optimization. The first study evaluates the situation in which the use of additional data from a different domain can improve the performance of a meta-learning system for time-series forecasting, with focus on cross- domain Meta-knowledge transfer. Although the experiments revealed limited room for improvement over the overall best base-learner, the meta-learning approach turned out to be a safe choice, minimizing the risk of selecting the least appropriate base-learner. There are only 2% of cases recommended by meta- learning that are the worst performing base-learning methods. The second study proposes another efficient and accurate domain adaption approach but using a different meta-learning approach. This study empirically confirms the intuition that there exists a relationship between the similarity of the two different tasks and the depth of network needed to fine-tune in order to achieve accuracy com- parable with that of a model trained from scratch. However, the approach is limited to a single hyper-parameter which is fine-tuning of the network depth based on task similarity. The final study of this research has expanded the set of hyper-parameters while implicitly considering task similarity at the intrinsic dynamics of the training process. The study presents a framework to automatically find a good set of hyper-parameters resulting in reasonably good accuracy, by framing the hyper-parameter selection and tuning within the reinforcement learning regime. The effectiveness of a recommended tuple can be tested very quickly rather than waiting for the network to converge. This approach produces accuracy close to the state-of-the-art approach and is found to be comparatively 20% less computationally expensive than previous approaches. The proposed methods in these studies, belonging to different areas of automatic machine learning, have been thoroughly evaluated on a number of benchmark datasets which confirmed the great potential of these methods

Discriminative Feature Extraction of Time-Series Data to Improve Temporal Pattern Detection using Classification Algorithms

Time-series data streams often contain predictive value in the form of unique patterns. While these patterns may be used as leading indicators for event prediction, a lack of prior knowledge of pattern shape and irregularities can render traditional forecasting methods ineffective. The research in this thesis tested a means of predetermining the most effective combination of transformations to be applied to time-series data when training a classifier to predict whether an event will occur at a given time. The transformations tested on provided data streams included subsetting of the data, aggregation over various numbers of data points, testing of different predictive lead times, and converting the data set into a binary set of values. The benefit of the transformations is to reduce the data used for training down to only the most useful pattern containing points and clarify the predictive pattern contained in the set. In addition, the transformations tested significantly reduce the number of features used for classifier training through subsetting and aggregation. The performance benefit of the transformations was tested through creating a series of daily positive/negative event predictions over the span of a test set derived from each provided data stream. A landmarking system was then developed that utilizes the prior results obtained by the system to predetermine a “best fit” transformation to use on a new, untested data stream. Results indicate that the proposed set of transformations consistently result in improved classifier performance over the use of untransformed data values. Landmarking system testing shows that the use of prior knowledge results in selection of a near best fit transformation when using as few as 3 reference transformations