Lane Change Prediction Using Gaussian Classification, Support Vector Classification and Neural Network Classifiers

It is essential for a driver assistant system’s motion planning to take the vehicles moving in the surroundings into account. One of the most crucial driver intentions which should be predicted is lane changing. It has been investigated whether it is possible to reliably classify lane-changing maneuvers in a highway situation using learning algorithms such as Gaussian-classifier, SVM, and LSTM neural networks. Real vehicle trajectories are extracted from the NGSIM US-101 and I-80 datasets. The input for the classifiers is derived from the trajectory by selecting a subset of the features: lateral and longitudinal position coordinates, longitudinal acceleration, and velocity. In such an environment, the vehicle movement is limited, so it has been tested that how sufficient if only the mean and the variance of the derivative of lateral coordinate was taken as input for the classification had been tested. Different strategies for labeling the input sequences were tested

Quantum Artificial Intelligence Supported Autonomous Truck Platooning

Truck platooning can potentially increase the operational efficiency of freight movement on U.S. corridors, improving commercial productivity and economic vibrancy. Predicting each leader vehicle trajectory in the autonomous truck platoon using Artificial Intelligence (AI) can enhance platoon efficiency and safety. Reliance on classical AI may not be efficient for this purpose as it will increase the computational burden for each truck in the platoon. However, Quantum Artificial Intelligence (AI) can be used in this scenario to enhance learning efficiency, learning capacity, and run-time improvements. This study developed and evaluated a Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTM) model and a hybrid quantum-classical LSTM (QLSTM) for predicting the trajectory of each leader vehicle of an autonomous truck platoon. Both the LSTM and QLSTM provided comparable results. However, Quantum-AI is more efficient in real-time management for an automated truck platoon as it requires less computational burden. The QLSTM training required less data compared to LSTM. Moreover, QLSTM also used fewer parameters compared to classical LSTM. This study also evaluated an autonomous truck platoon\u27s operational efficacy and string stability with the prediction of trajectory from both classical LSTM and QLSTM using the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM). The platoon operating with LSTM and QLSTM trajectory prediction showed comparable operational efficiency. Moreover, the platoon operating with QLSTM trajectory prediction provided better string stability compared to LSTM

Probabilistic Framework for Behavior Characterization of Traffic Participants Enabling Long Term Prediction

This research aims at developing new methods that predict the behaviors of the human driven traffic participants to enable safe operation of autonomous vehicles in complex traffic environments. Autonomous vehicles are expected to operate amongst human driven conventional vehicles in the traffic at least for the next few decades. For safe navigation they will need to infer the intents as well as the behaviors of the human traffic participants using extrinsically observable information, so that their trajectories can be predicted for a time horizon long enough to do a predictive risk analysis and gracefully avert any risky situation. This research approaches this challenge by recognizing that any maneuver performed by a human driver can be divided into four stages that depend on the surrounding context: intent determination, maneuver preparation, gap acceptance and maneuver execution. It builds on the hypothesis that for a given driver, the behavior not only spans across these four maneuver stages, but across multiple maneuvers. As a result, identifying the driver behavior in any of these stages can help characterize the nature of all the subsequent maneuvers that the driver is likely to perform, thus resulting in a more accurate prediction for a longer time horizon. To enable this, a novel probabilistic framework is proposed that couples the different maneuver stages of the observed traffic participant together and associates them to a driving style. To realize this framework two candidate Multiple Model Adaptive Estimation approaches were compared: Autonomous Multiple Model (AMM) and Interacting Multiple Model(IMM) filtering approach. The IMM approach proved superior to the AMM approach and was eventually validated using a trajectory extracted from a real world dataset for efficacy. The proposed framework was then implemented by extending the validated IMM approach with contextual information of the observed traffic participant. The classification of the driving style of the traffic participant (behavior characterization) was then demonstrated for two use case scenarios. The proposed contextual IMM (CIMM) framework also showed improvements in the performance of the behavior classification of the traffic participants compared to the IMM for the identified use case scenarios. This outcome warrants further exploration of this framework for different traffic scenarios. Further, it contributes towards the ongoing endeavors for safe deployment of autonomous vehicles on public roads