Finite Project Life and Uncertainty Effects on Investment

This paper revisits the important result of the real options approach to investment under uncertainty, which states that increased uncertainty raises the value of waiting and thus decelerates investment.Typically in this literature projects are assumed to be perpetual.However, in today.s economy .rms face a fast-changing technology environment, implying that investment projects are usually considered to have a .nite life.The present paper studies investment projects with .nite project life, and we .nd that, in contrast with the existing theory, investments may be accelerated by increased uncertainty.It is shown that this particularly happens when uncertainty is limited and project life is short.investment;uncertainty;finite project length

Who goes first? Strategic Delay and Learning by Waiting

This paper considers a "war of attrition" game in which agents learn about an uncertain state of the world through private signals and from their peers. I provide existence and uniqueness results for a class of equilibria that satisfy a "full-participation" condition, and show that asymmetries in the distribution of information can lead to excessive stopping and an oversupply of information relative to the social optimum