Explainable History Distillation by Marked Temporal Point Process

Explainability of machine learning models is mandatory when researchers introduce these commonly believed black boxes to real-world tasks, especially high-stakes ones. In this paper, we build a machine learning system to automatically generate explanations of happened events from history by \gls{ca} based on the \acrfull{tpp}. Specifically, we propose a new task called \acrfull{ehd}. This task requires a model to distill as few events as possible from observed history. The target is that the event distribution conditioned on left events predicts the observed future noticeably worse. We then regard distilled events as the explanation for the future. To efficiently solve \acrshort{ehd}, we rewrite the task into a \gls{01ip} and directly estimate the solution to the program by a model called \acrfull{model}. This work fills the gap between our task and existing works, which only spot the difference between factual and counterfactual worlds after applying a predefined modification to the environment. Experiment results on Retweet and StackOverflow datasets prove that \acrshort{model} significantly outperforms other \acrshort{ehd} baselines and can reveal the rationale underpinning real-world processes

PAC-Bayes Compression Bounds So Tight That They Can Explain Generalization

While there has been progress in developing non-vacuous generalization bounds for deep neural networks, these bounds tend to be uninformative about why deep learning works. In this paper, we develop a compression approach based on quantizing neural network parameters in a linear subspace, profoundly improving on previous results to provide state-of-the-art generalization bounds on a variety of tasks, including transfer learning. We use these tight bounds to better understand the role of model size, equivariance, and the implicit biases of optimization, for generalization in deep learning. Notably, we find large models can be compressed to a much greater extent than previously known, encapsulating Occam's razor. We also argue for data-independent bounds in explaining generalization.Comment: NeurIPS 2022. Code is available at https://github.com/activatedgeek/tight-pac-baye

Machine learning for managing structured and semi-structured data

As the digitalization of private, commercial, and public sectors advances rapidly, an increasing amount of data is becoming available. In order to gain insights or knowledge from these enormous amounts of raw data, a deep analysis is essential. The immense volume requires highly automated processes with minimal manual interaction. In recent years, machine learning methods have taken on a central role in this task. In addition to the individual data points, their interrelationships often play a decisive role, e.g. whether two patients are related to each other or whether they are treated by the same physician. Hence, relational learning is an important branch of research, which studies how to harness this explicitly available structural information between different data points. Recently, graph neural networks have gained importance. These can be considered an extension of convolutional neural networks from regular grids to general (irregular) graphs. Knowledge graphs play an essential role in representing facts about entities in a machine-readable way. While great efforts are made to store as many facts as possible in these graphs, they often remain incomplete, i.e., true facts are missing. Manual verification and expansion of the graphs is becoming increasingly difficult due to the large volume of data and must therefore be assisted or substituted by automated procedures which predict missing facts. The field of knowledge graph completion can be roughly divided into two categories: Link Prediction and Entity Alignment. In Link Prediction, machine learning models are trained to predict unknown facts between entities based on the known facts. Entity Alignment aims at identifying shared entities between graphs in order to link several such knowledge graphs based on some provided seed alignment pairs. In this thesis, we present important advances in the field of knowledge graph completion. For Entity Alignment, we show how to reduce the number of required seed alignments while maintaining performance by novel active learning techniques. We also discuss the power of textual features and show that graph-neural-network-based methods have difficulties with noisy alignment data. For Link Prediction, we demonstrate how to improve the prediction for unknown entities at training time by exploiting additional metadata on individual statements, often available in modern graphs. Supported with results from a large-scale experimental study, we present an analysis of the effect of individual components of machine learning models, e.g., the interaction function or loss criterion, on the task of link prediction. We also introduce a software library that simplifies the implementation and study of such components and makes them accessible to a wide research community, ranging from relational learning researchers to applied fields, such as life sciences. Finally, we propose a novel metric for evaluating ranking results, as used for both completion tasks. It allows for easier interpretation and comparison, especially in cases with different numbers of ranking candidates, as encountered in the de-facto standard evaluation protocols for both tasks.Mit der rasant fortschreitenden Digitalisierung des privaten, kommerziellen und öffentlichen Sektors werden immer größere Datenmengen verfügbar. Um aus diesen enormen Mengen an Rohdaten Erkenntnisse oder Wissen zu gewinnen, ist eine tiefgehende Analyse unerlässlich. Das immense Volumen erfordert hochautomatisierte Prozesse mit minimaler manueller Interaktion. In den letzten Jahren haben Methoden des maschinellen Lernens eine zentrale Rolle bei dieser Aufgabe eingenommen. Neben den einzelnen Datenpunkten spielen oft auch deren Zusammenhänge eine entscheidende Rolle, z.B. ob zwei Patienten miteinander verwandt sind oder ob sie vom selben Arzt behandelt werden. Daher ist das relationale Lernen ein wichtiger Forschungszweig, der untersucht, wie diese explizit verfügbaren strukturellen Informationen zwischen verschiedenen Datenpunkten nutzbar gemacht werden können. In letzter Zeit haben Graph Neural Networks an Bedeutung gewonnen. Diese können als eine Erweiterung von CNNs von regelmäßigen Gittern auf allgemeine (unregelmäßige) Graphen betrachtet werden. Wissensgraphen spielen eine wesentliche Rolle bei der Darstellung von Fakten über Entitäten in maschinenlesbaren Form. Obwohl große Anstrengungen unternommen werden, so viele Fakten wie möglich in diesen Graphen zu speichern, bleiben sie oft unvollständig, d. h. es fehlen Fakten. Die manuelle Überprüfung und Erweiterung der Graphen wird aufgrund der großen Datenmengen immer schwieriger und muss daher durch automatisierte Verfahren unterstützt oder ersetzt werden, die fehlende Fakten vorhersagen. Das Gebiet der Wissensgraphenvervollständigung lässt sich grob in zwei Kategorien einteilen: Link Prediction und Entity Alignment. Bei der Link Prediction werden maschinelle Lernmodelle trainiert, um unbekannte Fakten zwischen Entitäten auf der Grundlage der bekannten Fakten vorherzusagen. Entity Alignment zielt darauf ab, gemeinsame Entitäten zwischen Graphen zu identifizieren, um mehrere solcher Wissensgraphen auf der Grundlage einiger vorgegebener Paare zu verknüpfen. In dieser Arbeit stellen wir wichtige Fortschritte auf dem Gebiet der Vervollständigung von Wissensgraphen vor. Für das Entity Alignment zeigen wir, wie die Anzahl der benötigten Paare reduziert werden kann, während die Leistung durch neuartige aktive Lerntechniken erhalten bleibt. Wir erörtern auch die Leistungsfähigkeit von Textmerkmalen und zeigen, dass auf Graph-Neural-Networks basierende Methoden Schwierigkeiten mit verrauschten Paar-Daten haben. Für die Link Prediction demonstrieren wir, wie die Vorhersage für unbekannte Entitäten zur Trainingszeit verbessert werden kann, indem zusätzliche Metadaten zu einzelnen Aussagen genutzt werden, die oft in modernen Graphen verfügbar sind. Gestützt auf Ergebnisse einer groß angelegten experimentellen Studie präsentieren wir eine Analyse der Auswirkungen einzelner Komponenten von Modellen des maschinellen Lernens, z. B. der Interaktionsfunktion oder des Verlustkriteriums, auf die Aufgabe der Link Prediction. Außerdem stellen wir eine Softwarebibliothek vor, die die Implementierung und Untersuchung solcher Komponenten vereinfacht und sie einer breiten Forschungsgemeinschaft zugänglich macht, die von Forschern im Bereich des relationalen Lernens bis hin zu angewandten Bereichen wie den Biowissenschaften reicht. Schließlich schlagen wir eine neuartige Metrik für die Bewertung von Ranking-Ergebnissen vor, wie sie für beide Aufgaben verwendet wird. Sie ermöglicht eine einfachere Interpretation und einen leichteren Vergleich, insbesondere in Fällen mit einer unterschiedlichen Anzahl von Kandidaten, wie sie in den de-facto Standardbewertungsprotokollen für beide Aufgaben vorkommen

A Survey of Methods, Challenges and Perspectives in Causality

Deep Learning models have shown success in a large variety of tasks by extracting correlation patterns from high-dimensional data but still struggle when generalizing out of their initial distribution. As causal engines aim to learn mechanisms independent from a data distribution, combining Deep Learning with Causality can have a great impact on the two fields. In this paper, we further motivate this assumption. We perform an extensive overview of the theories and methods for Causality from different perspectives, with an emphasis on Deep Learning and the challenges met by the two domains. We show early attempts to bring the fields together and the possible perspectives for the future. We finish by providing a large variety of applications for techniques from Causality.Comment: 40 pages, 37 pages for the main paper and 3 pages for the supplement, 8 figures, submitted to ACM Computing Survey

Context-awareness for mobile sensing: a survey and future directions

The evolution of smartphones together with increasing computational power have empowered developers to create innovative context-aware applications for recognizing user related social and cognitive activities in any situation and at any location. The existence and awareness of the context provides the capability of being conscious of physical environments or situations around mobile device users. This allows network services to respond proactively and intelligently based on such awareness. The key idea behind context-aware applications is to encourage users to collect, analyze and share local sensory knowledge in the purpose for a large scale community use by creating a smart network. The desired network is capable of making autonomous logical decisions to actuate environmental objects, and also assist individuals. However, many open challenges remain, which are mostly arisen due to the middleware services provided in mobile devices have limited resources in terms of power, memory and bandwidth. Thus, it becomes critically important to study how the drawbacks can be elaborated and resolved, and at the same time better understand the opportunities for the research community to contribute to the context-awareness. To this end, this paper surveys the literature over the period of 1991-2014 from the emerging concepts to applications of context-awareness in mobile platforms by providing up-to-date research and future research directions. Moreover, it points out the challenges faced in this regard and enlighten them by proposing possible solutions

A survey on the evolution of the notion of context-awareness

The notion of Context has been considered for a long time in different areas of Computer Science. This article considers the use of context-based reasoning from the earlier perspective of AI as well as the newer developments in Ubiquitous Computing. Both communities have been somehow interested in the potential of context-reasoning to support real-time meaningful reactions from systems. We explain how the concept evolved in each of these different approaches. We found initially each of them considered this topic quite independently and separated from each other, however latest developments have started to show signs of cross-fertilization amongst these areas. The aim of our survey is to provide an understanding on the way context and context-reasoning were approached, to show that work in each area is complementary, and to highlight there are positive synergies arising amongst them. The overarching goal of this article is to encourage further and longer-term synergies between those interested in further understanding and using context-based reasoning