Monte Carlo optimization of decentralized estimation networks over directed acyclic graphs under communication constraints

Motivated by the vision of sensor networks, we consider decentralized estimation networks over bandwidth–limited communication links, and are particularly interested in the tradeoff between the estimation accuracy and the cost of communications due to, e.g., energy consumption. We employ a class of in–network processing strategies that admits directed acyclic graph representations and yields a tractable Bayesian risk that comprises the cost of communications and estimation error penalty. This perspective captures a broad range of possibilities for processing under network constraints and enables a rigorous design problem in the form of constrained optimization. A similar scheme and the structures exhibited by the solutions have been previously studied in the context of decentralized detection. Under reasonable assumptions, the optimization can be carried out in a message passing fashion. We adopt this framework for estimation, however, the corresponding optimization scheme involves integral operators that cannot be evaluated exactly in general. We develop an approximation framework using Monte Carlo methods and obtain particle representations and approximate computational schemes for both the in–network processing strategies and their optimization. The proposed Monte Carlo optimization procedure operates in a scalable and efficient fashion and, owing to the non-parametric nature, can produce results for any distributions provided that samples can be produced from the marginals. In addition, this approach exhibits graceful degradation of the estimation accuracy asymptotically as the communication becomes more costly, through a parameterized Bayesian risk

Monte Carlo optimization approach for decentralized estimation networks under communication constraints

We consider designing decentralized estimation schemes over bandwidth limited communication links with a particular interest in the tradeoff between the estimation accuracy and the cost of communications due to, e.g., energy consumption. We take two classes of in–network processing strategies into account which yield graph representations through modeling the sensor platforms as the vertices and the communication links by edges as well as a tractable Bayesian risk that comprises the cost of transmissions and penalty for the estimation errors. This approach captures a broad range of possibilities for “online” processing of observations as well as the constraints imposed and enables a rigorous design setting in the form of a constrained optimization problem. Similar schemes as well as the structures exhibited by the solutions to the design problem has been studied previously in the context of decentralized detection. Under reasonable assumptions, the optimization can be carried out in a message passing fashion. We adopt this framework for estimation, however, the corresponding optimization schemes involve integral operators that cannot be evaluated exactly in general. We develop an approximation framework using Monte Carlo methods and obtain particle representations and approximate computational schemes for both classes of in–network processing strategies and their optimization. The proposed Monte Carlo optimization procedures operate in a scalable and efficient fashion and, owing to the non-parametric nature, can produce results for any distributions provided that samples can be produced from the marginals. In addition, this approach exhibits graceful degradation of the estimation accuracy asymptotically as the communication becomes more costly, through a parameterized Bayesian risk

Monte Carlo optimization approach for decentralized estimation networks under communication constraints

We consider designing decentralized estimation schemes over bandwidth limited communication links with a particular interest in the tradeoff between the estimation accuracy and the cost of communications due to, e.g., energy consumption. We take two classes of in–network processing strategies into account which yield graph representations through modeling the sensor platforms as the vertices and the communication links by edges as well as a tractable Bayesian risk that comprises the cost of transmissions and penalty for the estimation errors. This approach captures a broad range of possibilities for “online” processing of observations as well as the constraints imposed and enables a rigorous design setting in the form of a constrained optimization problem. Similar schemes as well as the structures exhibited by the solutions to the design problem has been studied previously in the context of decentralized detection. Under reasonable assumptions, the optimization can be carried out in a message passing fashion. We adopt this framework for estimation, however, the corresponding optimization schemes involve integral operators that cannot be evaluated exactly in general. We develop an approximation framework using Monte Carlo methods and obtain particle representations and approximate computational schemes for both classes of in–network processing strategies and their optimization. The proposed Monte Carlo optimization procedures operate in a scalable and efficient fashion and, owing to the non-parametric nature, can produce results for any distributions provided that samples can be produced from the marginals. In addition, this approach exhibits graceful degradation of the estimation accuracy asymptotically as the communication becomes more costly, through a parameterized Bayesian risk

Sequential Bayesian optimal experimental design for structural reliability analysis

Structural reliability analysis is concerned with estimation of the probability of a critical event taking place, described by $P(g(\textbf{X}) \leq 0)$ for some $n$-dimensional random variable $\textbf{X}$ and some real-valued function $g$. In many applications the function $g$ is practically unknown, as function evaluation involves time consuming numerical simulation or some other form of experiment that is expensive to perform. The problem we address in this paper is how to optimally design experiments, in a Bayesian decision theoretic fashion, when the goal is to estimate the probability $P(g(\textbf{X}) \leq 0)$ using a minimal amount of resources. As opposed to existing methods that have been proposed for this purpose, we consider a general structural reliability model given in hierarchical form. We therefore introduce a general formulation of the experimental design problem, where we distinguish between the uncertainty related to the random variable $\textbf{X}$ and any additional epistemic uncertainty that we want to reduce through experimentation. The effectiveness of a design strategy is evaluated through a measure of residual uncertainty, and efficient approximation of this quantity is crucial if we want to apply algorithms that search for an optimal strategy. The method we propose is based on importance sampling combined with the unscented transform for epistemic uncertainty propagation. We implement this for the myopic (one-step look ahead) alternative, and demonstrate the effectiveness through a series of numerical experiments.Comment: 27 pages, 13 figure

Planning Algorithms for Multi-Robot Active Perception

A fundamental task of robotic systems is to use on-board sensors and perception algorithms to understand high-level semantic properties of an environment. These semantic properties may include a map of the environment, the presence of objects, or the parameters of a dynamic field. Observations are highly viewpoint dependent and, thus, the performance of perception algorithms can be improved by planning the motion of the robots to obtain high-value observations. This motivates the problem of active perception, where the goal is to plan the motion of robots to improve perception performance. This fundamental problem is central to many robotics applications, including environmental monitoring, planetary exploration, and precision agriculture. The core contribution of this thesis is a suite of planning algorithms for multi-robot active perception. These algorithms are designed to improve system-level performance on many fronts: online and anytime planning, addressing uncertainty, optimising over a long time horizon, decentralised coordination, robustness to unreliable communication, predicting plans of other agents, and exploiting characteristics of perception models. We first propose the decentralised Monte Carlo tree search algorithm as a generally-applicable, decentralised algorithm for multi-robot planning. We then present a self-organising map algorithm designed to find paths that maximally observe points of interest. Finally, we consider the problem of mission monitoring, where a team of robots monitor the progress of a robotic mission. A spatiotemporal optimal stopping algorithm is proposed and a generalisation for decentralised monitoring. Experimental results are presented for a range of scenarios, such as marine operations and object recognition. Our analytical and empirical results demonstrate theoretically-interesting and practically-relevant properties that support the use of the approaches in practice