Data-free metrics for Dirichlet and generalized Dirichlet mixture-based HMMs - A practical study.

Approaches to design metrics between hidden Markov models (HMM) can be divided into two classes: data-based and parameter-based. The latter has the clear advantage of being deterministic and faster but only a very few similarity measures that can be applied to mixture-based HMMs have been proposed so far. Most of these metrics apply to the discrete or Gaussian HMMs and no comparative study have been led to the best of our knowledge. With the recent development of HMMs based on the Dirichlet and generalized Dirichlet distributions for proportional data modeling, we propose to design three new parametric similarity measures between these HMMs. Extensive experiments on synthetic data show the reliability of these new measures where the existing ones fail at giving expected results when some parameters vary. Illustration on real data show the clustering capability of these measures and their potential applications

A sticky HDP-HMM with application to speaker diarization

We consider the problem of speaker diarization, the problem of segmenting an audio recording of a meeting into temporal segments corresponding to individual speakers. The problem is rendered particularly difficult by the fact that we are not allowed to assume knowledge of the number of people participating in the meeting. To address this problem, we take a Bayesian nonparametric approach to speaker diarization that builds on the hierarchical Dirichlet process hidden Markov model (HDP-HMM) of Teh et al. [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 101 (2006) 1566--1581]. Although the basic HDP-HMM tends to over-segment the audio data---creating redundant states and rapidly switching among them---we describe an augmented HDP-HMM that provides effective control over the switching rate. We also show that this augmentation makes it possible to treat emission distributions nonparametrically. To scale the resulting architecture to realistic diarization problems, we develop a sampling algorithm that employs a truncated approximation of the Dirichlet process to jointly resample the full state sequence, greatly improving mixing rates. Working with a benchmark NIST data set, we show that our Bayesian nonparametric architecture yields state-of-the-art speaker diarization results.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOAS395 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Non-Gaussian data modeling with hidden Markov models

In 2015, 2.5 quintillion bytes of data were daily generated worldwide of which 90% were unstructured data that do not follow any pre-defined model. These data can be found in a great variety of formats among them are texts, images, audio tracks, or videos. With appropriate techniques, this massive amount of data is a goldmine from which one can extract a variety of meaningful embedded information. Among those techniques, machine learning algorithms allow multiple processing possibilities from compact data representation, to data clustering, classification, analysis, and synthesis, to the detection of outliers. Data modeling is the first step for performing any of these tasks and the accuracy and reliability of this initial step is thus crucial for subsequently building up a complete data processing framework. The principal motivation behind my work is the over-use of the Gaussian assumption for data modeling in the literature. Though this assumption is probably the best to make when no information about the data to be modeled is available, in most cases studying a few data properties would make other distributions a better assumption. In this thesis, I focus on proportional data that are most commonly known in the form of histograms and that naturally arise in a number of situations such as in bag-of-words methods. These data are non-Gaussian and their modeling with distributions belonging the Dirichlet family, that have common properties, is expected to be more accurate. The models I focus on are the hidden Markov models, well-known for their capabilities to easily handle dynamic ordered multivariate data. They have been shown to be very effective in numerous fields for various applications for the last 30 years and especially became a corner stone in speech processing. Despite their extensive use in almost all computer vision areas, they are still mainly suited for Gaussian data modeling. I propose here to theoretically derive different approaches for learning and applying to real-world situations hidden Markov models based on mixtures of Dirichlet, generalized Dirichlet, Beta-Liouville distributions, and mixed data. Expectation-Maximization and variational learning approaches are studied and compared over several data sets, specifically for the task of detecting and localizing unusual events. Hybrid HMMs are proposed to model mixed data with the goal of detecting changes in satellite images corrupted by different noises. Finally, several parametric distances for comparing Dirichlet and generalized Dirichlet-based HMMs are proposed and extensively tested for assessing their robustness. My experimental results show situations in which such models are worthy to be used, but also unravel their strength and limitations

Unraveling the Thousand Word Picture: An Introduction to Super-Resolution Data Analysis

Super-resolution microscopy provides direct insight into fundamental biological processes occurring at length scales smaller than light’s diffraction limit. The analysis of data at such scales has brought statistical and machine learning methods into the mainstream. Here we provide a survey of data analysis methods starting from an overview of basic statistical techniques underlying the analysis of super-resolution and, more broadly, imaging data. We subsequently break down the analysis of super-resolution data into four problems: the localization problem, the counting problem, the linking problem, and what we’ve termed the interpretation problem

Mixture-Based Clustering and Hidden Markov Models for Energy Management and Human Activity Recognition: Novel Approaches and Explainable Applications

In recent times, the rapid growth of data in various fields of life has created an immense need for powerful tools to extract useful information from data. This has motivated researchers to explore and devise new ideas and methods in the field of machine learning. Mixture models have gained substantial attention due to their ability to handle high-dimensional data efficiently and effectively. However, when adopting mixture models in such spaces, four crucial issues must be addressed, including the selection of probability density functions, estimation of mixture parameters, automatic determination of the number of components, identification of features that best discriminate the different components, and taking into account the temporal information. The primary objective of this thesis is to propose a unified model that addresses these interrelated problems. Moreover, this thesis proposes a novel approach that incorporates explainability. This thesis presents innovative mixture-based modelling approaches tailored for diverse applications, such as household energy consumption characterization, energy demand management, fault detection and diagnosis and human activity recognition. The primary contributions of this thesis encompass the following aspects: Initially, we propose an unsupervised feature selection approach embedded within a finite bounded asymmetric generalized Gaussian mixture model. This model is adept at handling synthetic and real-life smart meter data, utilizing three distinct feature extraction methods. By employing the expectation-maximization algorithm in conjunction with the minimum message length criterion, we are able to concurrently estimate the model parameters, perform model selection, and execute feature selection. This unified optimization process facilitates the identification of household electricity consumption profiles along with the optimal subset of attributes defining each profile. Furthermore, we investigate the impact of household characteristics on electricity usage patterns to pinpoint households that are ideal candidates for demand reduction initiatives. Subsequently, we introduce a semi-supervised learning approach for the mixture of mixtures of bounded asymmetric generalized Gaussian and uniform distributions. The integration of the uniform distribution within the inner mixture bolsters the model's resilience to outliers. In the unsupervised learning approach, the minimum message length criterion is utilized to ascertain the optimal number of mixture components. The proposed models are validated through a range of applications, including chiller fault detection and diagnosis, occupancy estimation, and energy consumption characterization. Additionally, we incorporate explainability into our models and establish a moderate trade-off between prediction accuracy and interpretability. Finally, we devise four novel models for human activity recognition (HAR): bounded asymmetric generalized Gaussian mixture-based hidden Markov model with feature selection~(BAGGM-FSHMM), bounded asymmetric generalized Gaussian mixture-based hidden Markov model~(BAGGM-HMM), asymmetric generalized Gaussian mixture-based hidden Markov model with feature selection~(AGGM-FSHMM), and asymmetric generalized Gaussian mixture-based hidden Markov model~(AGGM-HMM). We develop an innovative method for simultaneous estimation of feature saliencies and model parameters in BAGGM-FSHMM and AGGM-FSHMM while integrating the bounded support asymmetric generalized Gaussian distribution~(BAGGD), the asymmetric generalized Gaussian distribution~(AGGD) in the BAGGM-HMM and AGGM-HMM respectively. The aforementioned proposed models are validated using video-based and sensor-based HAR applications, showcasing their superiority over several mixture-based hidden Markov models~(HMMs) across various performance metrics. We demonstrate that the independent incorporation of feature selection and bounded support distribution in a HAR system yields benefits; Simultaneously, combining both concepts results in the most effective model among the proposed models

Bayesian inference for spline-based hidden Markov models

B-spline-based hidden Markov models (HMMs), where the emission densities are specified as mixtures of normalized B-spline basis functions, offer a more flexible modelling approach to data than conventional parametric HMMs. We introduce a fully Bayesian framework for inference in these nonparametric models where the number of states may be unknown along with other model parameters. We propose the use of a trans-dimensional Markov chain inference algorithm to identify a parsimonious knot configuration of the B-splines while model selection regarding the number of states can be performed within a parallel sampling framework. The feasibility and efficiency of our proposed methodology is shown in a simulation study. Its explorative use for real data is demonstrated for activity acceleration data in animals, i.e. whitetip-sharks. The flexibility of a Bayesian approach allows us to extend the modelling framework in a straightforward way and we demonstrate this by developing a hierarchical conditional HMM to analyse human accelerator activity data to focus on studying small movements and/or inactivity during sleep