Physics-Based and Data-Driven Analytics for Enhanced Planning and Operations in Power Systems with Deep Renewable Penetration

This dissertation is motivated by the lack of combined physics-based and data-driven framework for solving power system challenges that are introduced by the integration of new devices and new system components. As increasing number of stochastic generation, responsive loads, and dynamic measurements are involved in the planning and operations of modern power systems, utilities and system operators are in great need of new analysis framework that could combine physical models and measuring data together for solving challenging planning and operational problems. In view of the above challenges, the high-level objective of this dissertation is to develop a framework for integrating measurement data into large physical systems modeled by dynamical equations. To this end, the dissertation first identifies four critical tasks for the planning and operations of the modern power systems: the data collection and pre-processing, the system situational awareness, the decision making process, as well as the post-event analysis. The dissertation then takes one concrete application in each of these critical tasks as the example, and proposes the physics-based/data-driven approach for solving the challenging problems faced by this specific application. To this end, this dissertation focuses on solving the following specific problems using physics-based/data-driven approaches. First, for the data collection and pre-processing platform, a purely data-driven approach is proposed to detect bad metering data in the phasor measurement unit (PMU) monitoring systems, and ensure the overall PMU data quality. Second, for the situational awareness platform, a physics-based voltage stability assessment method is presented to improve the situational awareness of system voltage instabilities. Third, for the decision making platform, a combined physics-based and data-driven framework is proposed to support the decision making process of PMU-based power plant model validation. Forth, for the post-event analysis platform, a physics-based post-event analysis is presented to identify the root causes of the sub-synchronous oscillations induced by the wind farm integration. The above problems and proposed solutions are discussed in detail in Section 2 through Section 5. The results of this work can be integrated to address practical problems in modern power system planning and operations

A Backend Framework for the Efficient Management of Power System Measurements

Increased adoption and deployment of phasor measurement units (PMU) has provided valuable fine-grained data over the grid. Analysis over these data can provide insight into the health of the grid, thereby improving control over operations. Realizing this data-driven control, however, requires validating, processing and storing massive amounts of PMU data. This paper describes a PMU data management system that supports input from multiple PMU data streams, features an event-detection algorithm, and provides an efficient method for retrieving archival data. The event-detection algorithm rapidly correlates multiple PMU data streams, providing details on events occurring within the power system. The event-detection algorithm feeds into a visualization component, allowing operators to recognize events as they occur. The indexing and data retrieval mechanism facilitates fast access to archived PMU data. Using this method, we achieved over 30x speedup for queries with high selectivity. With the development of these two components, we have developed a system that allows efficient analysis of multiple time-aligned PMU data streams.Comment: Published in Electric Power Systems Research (2016), not available ye

An Unsupervised Deep Learning Approach for Scenario Forecasts

In this paper, we propose a novel scenario forecasts approach which can be applied to a broad range of power system operations (e.g., wind, solar, load) over various forecasts horizons and prediction intervals. This approach is model-free and data-driven, producing a set of scenarios that represent possible future behaviors based only on historical observations and point forecasts. It first applies a newly-developed unsupervised deep learning framework, the generative adversarial networks, to learn the intrinsic patterns in historical renewable generation data. Then by solving an optimization problem, we are able to quickly generate large number of realistic future scenarios. The proposed method has been applied to a wind power generation and forecasting dataset from national renewable energy laboratory. Simulation results indicate our method is able to generate scenarios that capture spatial and temporal correlations. Our code and simulation datasets are freely available online.Comment: Accepted to Power Systems Computation Conference 2018 Code available at https://github.com/chennnnnyize/Scenario-Forecasts-GA

General Purpose Data-Driven Online System Health Monitoring with Applications to Space Operations

Modern space transportation and ground support system designs are becoming increasingly sophisticated and complex. Determining the health state of these systems using traditional parameter limit checking, or model-based or rule-based methods is becoming more difficult as the number of sensors and component interactions grows. Data-driven monitoring techniques have been developed to address these issues by analyzing system operations data to automatically characterize normal system behavior. System health can be monitored by comparing real-time operating data with these nominal characterizations, providing detection of anomalous data signatures indicative of system faults, failures, or precursors of significant failures. The Inductive Monitoring System (IMS) is a general purpose, data-driven system health monitoring software tool that has been successfully applied to several aerospace applications and is under evaluation for anomaly detection in vehicle and ground equipment for next generation launch systems. After an introduction to IMS application development, we discuss these NASA online monitoring applications, including the integration of IMS with complementary model-based and rule-based methods. Although the examples presented in this paper are from space operations applications, IMS is a general-purpose health-monitoring tool that is also applicable to power generation and transmission system monitoring

A Dynamic Response Recovery Framework Using Ambient Synchrophasor Data

Wide-area dynamic studies are of paramount importance to ensure the stability and reliability of power grids. The rising deployment synchrophasor and other sensing technologies has made data-driven modeling and analysis possible using the synchronized fast-rate dynamic measurements. This paper presents a general model-free framework of inferring the grid dynamic responses using the ubiquitous ambient data collected during normal grid operations. Building upon the second-order dynamic model, we have established the connection from the cross-correlation of various types of angle, frequency, and line flow data at any two locations, to their corresponding dynamic responses. The theoretical results enabled a fully data-driven framework for estimating the latter using real-time ambient data. Numerical results using the WSCC 9-bus system and a synthetic 2000-bus Texas system have demonstrated the effectiveness of proposed approaches for dynamic modeling of realistic power systems

Modeling and Detecting False Data Injection Attacks against Railway Traction Power Systems

Modern urban railways extensively use computerized sensing and control technologies to achieve safe, reliable, and well-timed operations. However, the use of these technologies may provide a convenient leverage to cyber-attackers who have bypassed the air gaps and aim at causing safety incidents and service disruptions. In this paper, we study false data injection (FDI) attacks against railways' traction power systems (TPSes). Specifically, we analyze two types of FDI attacks on the train-borne voltage, current, and position sensor measurements - which we call efficiency attack and safety attack -- that (i) maximize the system's total power consumption and (ii) mislead trains' local voltages to exceed given safety-critical thresholds, respectively. To counteract, we develop a global attack detection (GAD) system that serializes a bad data detector and a novel secondary attack detector designed based on unique TPS characteristics. With intact position data of trains, our detection system can effectively detect the FDI attacks on trains' voltage and current measurements even if the attacker has full and accurate knowledge of the TPS, attack detection, and real-time system state. In particular, the GAD system features an adaptive mechanism that ensures low false positive and negative rates in detecting the attacks under noisy system measurements. Extensive simulations driven by realistic running profiles of trains verify that a TPS setup is vulnerable to the FDI attacks, but these attacks can be detected effectively by the proposed GAD while ensuring a low false positive rate.Comment: IEEE/IFIP DSN-2016 and ACM Trans. on Cyber-Physical System