48,435 research outputs found
Fluctuation scaling in complex systems: Taylor's law and beyond
Complex systems consist of many interacting elements which participate in
some dynamical process. The activity of various elements is often different and
the fluctuation in the activity of an element grows monotonically with the
average activity. This relationship is often of the form "", where the exponent is predominantly in
the range . This power law has been observed in a very wide range of
disciplines, ranging from population dynamics through the Internet to the stock
market and it is often treated under the names \emph{Taylor's law} or
\emph{fluctuation scaling}. This review attempts to show how general the above
scaling relationship is by surveying the literature, as well as by reporting
some new empirical data and model calculations. We also show some basic
principles that can underlie the generality of the phenomenon. This is followed
by a mean-field framework based on sums of random variables. In this context
the emergence of fluctuation scaling is equivalent to some corresponding limit
theorems. In certain physical systems fluctuation scaling can be related to
finite size scaling.Comment: 33 pages, 20 figures, 2 tables, submitted to Advances in Physic
Correlated dynamics in egocentric communication networks
We investigate the communication sequences of millions of people through two
different channels and analyze the fine grained temporal structure of
correlated event trains induced by single individuals. By focusing on
correlations between the heterogeneous dynamics and the topology of egocentric
networks we find that the bursty trains usually evolve for pairs of individuals
rather than for the ego and his/her several neighbors thus burstiness is a
property of the links rather than of the nodes. We compare the directional
balance of calls and short messages within bursty trains to the average on the
actual link and show that for the trains of voice calls the imbalance is
significantly enhanced, while for short messages the balance within the trains
increases. These effects can be partly traced back to the technological
constrains (for short messages) and partly to the human behavioral features
(voice calls). We define a model that is able to reproduce the empirical
results and may help us to understand better the mechanisms driving technology
mediated human communication dynamics.Comment: 7 pages, 6 figure
The origin of bursts and heavy tails in human dynamics
The dynamics of many social, technological and economic phenomena are driven
by individual human actions, turning the quantitative understanding of human
behavior into a central question of modern science. Current models of human
dynamics, used from risk assessment to communications, assume that human
actions are randomly distributed in time and thus well approximated by Poisson
processes. In contrast, there is increasing evidence that the timing of many
human activities, ranging from communication to entertainment and work
patterns, follow non-Poisson statistics, characterized by bursts of rapidly
occurring events separated by long periods of inactivity. Here we show that the
bursty nature of human behavior is a consequence of a decision based queuing
process: when individuals execute tasks based on some perceived priority, the
timing of the tasks will be heavy tailed, most tasks being rapidly executed,
while a few experience very long waiting times. In contrast, priority blind
execution is well approximated by uniform interevent statistics. These findings
have important implications from resource management to service allocation in
both communications and retail.Comment: Supplementary Material available at http://www.nd.edu/~network
Multi-Product Firms and Product Switching
This paper examines the frequency, pervasiveness and determinants of product switching among U.S. manufacturing firms. We find that two-thirds of firms alter their mix of five-digit SIC products every five years, that one-third of the increase in real U.S. manufacturing shipments between 1972 and 1997 is due to the net adding and dropping of products by survivors, and that firms are more likely to drop products which are younger and have smaller production volumes relative to other firms producing the same product. The product-switching behavior we observe is consistent with an extended model of industry dynamics emphasizing firm heterogeneity and self-selection into individual product markets. Our findings suggest that product switching contributes towards a reallocation of economic activity within firms towards more productive uses.
Multi-Product Firms and Product Switching
This paper examines the frequency, pervasiveness and determinants of product switching among U.S. manufacturing firms. We find that two-thirds of firms alter their mix of five-digit SIC products every five years, that one-third of the increase in real U.S. manufacturing shipments between 1972 and 1997 is due to the net adding and dropping of products by survivors, and that firms are more likely to drop products which are younger and have smaller production volumes relative to other firms producing the same product. The product-switching behavior we observe is consistent with an extended model of industry dynamics emphasizing firm heterogeneity and self-selection into individual product markets. Our findings suggest that product switching contributes towards a reallocation of economic activity within firms towards more productive uses.Heterogeneous firms, Product differentiation, Product market entry and exit
Guns, germs, and stealing: exploring the link between infectious disease and crime.
Can variation in crime rates be traced to the threat of infectious disease? Pathogens pose an ongoing challenge to survival, leading humans to adapt defenses to manage this threat. In addition to the biological immune system, humans have psychological and behavioral responses designed to protect against disease. Under persistent disease threat, xenophobia increases and people constrict social interactions to known in-group members. Though these responses reduce disease transmission, they can generate favorable crime conditions in two ways. First, xenophobia reduces inhibitions against harming and exploiting out-group members. Second, segregation into in-group factions erodes people's concern for the welfare of their community and weakens the collective ability to prevent crime. The present study examined the effects of infection incidence on crime rates across the United States. Infection rates predicted violent and property crime more strongly than other crime covariates. Infections also predicted homicides against strangers but not family or acquaintances, supporting the hypothesis that in-group-out-group discrimination was responsible for the infections-crime link. Overall, the results add to evidence that disease threat shapes interpersonal behavior and structural characteristics of groups
Characterization of Sleep Stages by Correlations of Heartbeat Increments
We study correlation properties of the magnitude and the sign of the
increments in the time intervals between successive heartbeats during light
sleep, deep sleep, and REM sleep using the detrended fluctuation analysis
method. We find short-range anticorrelations in the sign time series, which are
strong during deep sleep, weaker during light sleep and even weaker during REM
sleep. In contrast, we find long-range positive correlations in the magnitude
time series, which are strong during REM sleep and weaker during light sleep.
We observe uncorrelated behavior for the magnitude during deep sleep. Since the
magnitude series relates to the nonlinear properties of the original time
series, while the signs series relates to the linear properties, our findings
suggest that the nonlinear properties of the heartbeat dynamics are more
pronounced during REM sleep. Thus, the sign and the magnitude series provide
information which is useful in distinguishing between the sleep stages.Comment: 7 pages, 4 figures, revte
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