Une formulation simplifiée du théorème de Bayes généralisé

International audienceIn this paper we present a simple formulation of the Generalized Bayes' Theorem (GBT) which extends Bayes' theorem in the framework of belief functions. We also present the condition under which this new formulation is valid. We illustrate our theoretical results with simple examples

On the behavior of Dempster's rule of combination and the foundations of Dempster-Shafer Theory

6 pagesInternational audienceOn the base of simple emblematic example we analyze and explain the inconsistent and inadequate behavior of Dempster-Shafer's rule of combination as a valid method to combine sources of evidences. We identify the cause and the effect of the dictatorial power behavior of this rule and of its impossibility to manage the conflicts between the sources. For a comparison purpose, we present the respective solution obtained by the more efficient PCR5 fusion rule proposed originally in Dezert-Smarandache Theory framework. Finally, we identify and prove the inherent contradiction of Dempster-Shafer Theory foundations

Total belief theorem and conditional belief functions

In this paper new theoretical results for reasoning with belief functions are obtained and discussed. After a judicious decomposition of the set of focal elements of a belief function, we establish the Total Belief Theorem (TBT) which is the direct generalization of the Total Probability Theorem when working in the framework of belief functions. The TBT is also generalized for dealing with different frames of discernments thanks to Cartesian product space. From TBT, we can derive and define formally the expressions of conditional belief functions which are consistent with the bounds of imprecise conditional probability. This work provides a direct establishment and solid justification of Fagin-Halpern belief conditioning formulas. The well-known Bayes' Theorem of Probability Theory is then generalized in the framework of belief functions and we illustrate it with an example at the end of this paper

Advances and Applications of Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) for Information Fusion (Collected Works), Vol. 4

The fourth volume on Advances and Applications of Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) for information fusion collects theoretical and applied contributions of researchers working in different fields of applications and in mathematics. The contributions (see List of Articles published in this book, at the end of the volume) have been published or presented after disseminating the third volume (2009, http://fs.unm.edu/DSmT-book3.pdf) in international conferences, seminars, workshops and journals. First Part of this book presents the theoretical advancement of DSmT, dealing with Belief functions, conditioning and deconditioning, Analytic Hierarchy Process, Decision Making, Multi-Criteria, evidence theory, combination rule, evidence distance, conflicting belief, sources of evidences with different importance and reliabilities, importance of sources, pignistic probability transformation, Qualitative reasoning under uncertainty, Imprecise belief structures, 2-Tuple linguistic label, Electre Tri Method, hierarchical proportional redistribution, basic belief assignment, subjective probability measure, Smarandache codification, neutrosophic logic, Evidence theory, outranking methods, Dempster-Shafer Theory, Bayes fusion rule, frequentist probability, mean square error, controlling factor, optimal assignment solution, data association, Transferable Belief Model, and others. More applications of DSmT have emerged in the past years since the apparition of the third book of DSmT 2009. Subsequently, the second part of this volume is about applications of DSmT in correlation with Electronic Support Measures, belief function, sensor networks, Ground Moving Target and Multiple target tracking, Vehicle-Born Improvised Explosive Device, Belief Interacting Multiple Model filter, seismic and acoustic sensor, Support Vector Machines, Alarm classification, ability of human visual system, Uncertainty Representation and Reasoning Evaluation Framework, Threat Assessment, Handwritten Signature Verification, Automatic Aircraft Recognition, Dynamic Data-Driven Application System, adjustment of secure communication trust analysis, and so on. Finally, the third part presents a List of References related with DSmT published or presented along the years since its inception in 2004, chronologically ordered