3 research outputs found
Dynamical variety of shapes in financial multifractality
The concept of multifractality offers a powerful formal tool to filter out
multitude of the most relevant characteristics of complex time series. The
related studies thus far presented in the scientific literature typically limit
themselves to evaluation of whether or not a time series is multifractal and
width of the resulting singularity spectrum is considered a measure of the
degree of complexity involved. However, the character of the complexity of time
series generated by the natural processes usually appears much more intricate
than such a bare statement can reflect. As an example, based on the long-term
records of S&P500 and NASDAQ - the two world leading stock market indices - the
present study shows that they indeed develop the multifractal features, but
these features evolve through a variety of shapes, most often strongly
asymmetric, whose changes typically are correlated with the historically most
significant events experienced by the world economy. Relating at the same time
the index multifractal singularity spectra to those of the component stocks
that form this index reflects the varying degree of correlations involved among
the stocks.Comment: 26 pages, 10 figure