1,344,878 research outputs found
Why Risk Models should be Parameterised
Risk models using fault and event trees can be extended with explicit factors, which are states of the system, its users or its environment that influence event probabilities. The factors act as parameters in the risk model, enabling the model to be re-used and also providing a new way to estimate the overall risk of a system with many instances of the risk. A risk model with parameters can also be clearer
Modeling Complex Systems
Abstract Empirical observations suggest that linear dynamics are not an adequate representa- tion of ecological systems and that a realistic representation would require adoption of complex nonlinear dynamical systems with characteristics encountered in complex adaptive systems (CAS). Adequate modelling should include and combine, among others, strategic interactions among economic agents, nonconvexities induced by non-linear feedbacks, separate spatial and temporal scales and modeling of spatiotempo-ral dynamics, and allowance of alternative time scales. Ignoring these characteristics might obscure very important features that we observe in reality such as bifurcations and irreversibilities or hysteresis. As a consequence, the design of policies that do not take CAS characteristics into account might lead to erroneous results and undesirable states of managed economic-ecological systems.Complex adaptive systems, differential games, spatiotemporal dynamics, fast-slow variables.
Structured analysis and modeling of complex systems
The Aircrew Evaluation Sustained Operations Performance (AESOP) facility at Brooks AFB, Texas, combines the realism of an operational environment with the control of a research laboratory. In recent studies we collected extensive data from the Airborne Warning and Control Systems (AWACS) Weapons Directors subjected to high and low workload Defensive Counter Air Scenarios. A critical and complex task in this environment involves committing a friendly fighter against a hostile fighter. Structured Analysis and Design techniques and computer modeling systems were applied to this task as tools for analyzing subject performance and workload. This technology is being transferred to the Man-Systems Division of NASA Johnson Space Center for application to complex mission related tasks, such as manipulating the Shuttle grappler arm
Editorial Comment on the Special Issue of "Information in Dynamical Systems and Complex Systems"
This special issue collects contributions from the participants of the
"Information in Dynamical Systems and Complex Systems" workshop, which cover a
wide range of important problems and new approaches that lie in the
intersection of information theory and dynamical systems. The contributions
include theoretical characterization and understanding of the different types
of information flow and causality in general stochastic processes, inference
and identification of coupling structure and parameters of system dynamics,
rigorous coarse-grain modeling of network dynamical systems, and exact
statistical testing of fundamental information-theoretic quantities such as the
mutual information. The collective efforts reported herein reflect a modern
perspective of the intimate connection between dynamical systems and
information flow, leading to the promise of better understanding and modeling
of natural complex systems and better/optimal design of engineering systems
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