HYPE with stochastic events

The process algebra HYPE was recently proposed as a fine-grained modelling approach for capturing the behaviour of hybrid systems. In the original proposal, each flow or influence affecting a variable is modelled separately and the overall behaviour of the system then emerges as the composition of these flows. The discrete behaviour of the system is captured by instantaneous actions which might be urgent, taking effect as soon as some activation condition is satisfied, or non-urgent meaning that they can tolerate some (unknown) delay before happening. In this paper we refine the notion of non-urgent actions, to make such actions governed by a probability distribution. As a consequence of this we now give HYPE a semantics in terms of Transition-Driven Stochastic Hybrid Automata, which are a subset of a general class of stochastic processes termed Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes.Comment: In Proceedings QAPL 2011, arXiv:1107.074

Hybrid performance modelling of opportunistic networks

We demonstrate the modelling of opportunistic networks using the process algebra stochastic HYPE. Network traffic is modelled as continuous flows, contact between nodes in the network is modelled stochastically, and instantaneous decisions are modelled as discrete events. Our model describes a network of stationary video sensors with a mobile ferry which collects data from the sensors and delivers it to the base station. We consider different mobility models and different buffer sizes for the ferries. This case study illustrates the flexibility and expressive power of stochastic HYPE. We also discuss the software that enables us to describe stochastic HYPE models and simulate them.Comment: In Proceedings QAPL 2012, arXiv:1207.055

Modelling dynamic reliability via Fluid Petri Nets

Combinatorial models for reliability analysis (like fault-trees or block diagram) are static models that cannot include any type of component dependence. In the CTMC (Continuous Time Markov Chain) framework, the transition rates can depend on the state of the system thus allowing the analyst to include some dependencies among components. However, in more general terms, the system reliability may depend on parameters or quantities that vary continuously in time (like temperature, pressure, distance, etc.). Systems whose behavior in time can be described by discrete as well as continuous variables, are called hybrid systems. In the dependability literature, the case in which the reliability characteristics vary continuously versus a process parameter, is sometimes referred to as dynamic reliability [1]. The modelling and analysis of hybrid dynamic systems is an open research area. The present paper discusses the evaluation of a benchmark on dynamic reliability proposed in [1] via a modelling framework called Fluid Stochastic Petri Net (FSPN)

HYPE: Hybrid modelling by composition of flows

Abstract Hybrid systems are manifest in both the natural and the engineered world, and their complex nature, mixing discrete control and continuous evolution, make it difficult to predict their behaviour. In recent years several process algebras for modelling hybrid systems have appeared in the literature, aimed at addressing this problem. These all assume that continuous variables in the system are modelled monolithically, often with differential equations embedded explicitly in the syntax of the process algebra expression. In HYPE an alternative approach is taken which offers finer-grained modelling with each flow or influence affecting a variable modelled separately. The overall behaviour then emerges as the composition of flows. In this paper we give a detailed account of the HYPE process algebra, its semantics, and its use for verification of systems. We establish both syntactic conditions (well-definedness) and operational restrictions (well-behavedness) to ensure reasonable behaviour in HYPE models. Furthermore we consider how the equivalence relation defined for HYPE relates to other relations previously proposed in the literature, demonstrating that our fine-grained approach leads to a more discriminating notion of equivalence. We present the HYPE model of a standard hybrid system example, both establishing that our approach can reproduce the previously obtained results and demonstrating how our compositional approach supports variations of the problem in a straightforward and flexible way

Methodologies synthesis

This deliverable deals with the modelling and analysis of interdependencies between critical infrastructures, focussing attention on two interdependent infrastructures studied in the context of CRUTIAL: the electric power infrastructure and the information infrastructures supporting management, control and maintenance functionality. The main objectives are: 1) investigate the main challenges to be addressed for the analysis and modelling of interdependencies, 2) review the modelling methodologies and tools that can be used to address these challenges and support the evaluation of the impact of interdependencies on the dependability and resilience of the service delivered to the users, and 3) present the preliminary directions investigated so far by the CRUTIAL consortium for describing and modelling interdependencies

Scalable Performance Analysis of Massively Parallel Stochastic Systems

The accurate performance analysis of large-scale computer and communication systems is directly inhibited by an exponential growth in the state-space of the underlying Markovian performance model. This is particularly true when considering massively-parallel architectures such as cloud or grid computing infrastructures. Nevertheless, an ability to extract quantitative performance measures such as passage-time distributions from performance models of these systems is critical for providers of these services. Indeed, without such an ability, they remain unable to offer realistic end-to-end service level agreements (SLAs) which they can have any confidence of honouring. Additionally, this must be possible in a short enough period of time to allow many different parameter combinations in a complex system to be tested. If we can achieve this rapid performance analysis goal, it will enable service providers and engineers to determine the cost-optimal behaviour which satisfies the SLAs. In this thesis, we develop a scalable performance analysis framework for the grouped PEPA stochastic process algebra. Our approach is based on the approximation of key model quantities such as means and variances by tractable systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Crucially, the size of these systems of ODEs is independent of the number of interacting entities within the model, making these analysis techniques extremely scalable. The reliability of our approach is directly supported by convergence results and, in some cases, explicit error bounds. We focus on extracting passage-time measures from performance models since these are very commonly the language in which a service level agreement is phrased. We design scalable analysis techniques which can handle passages defined both in terms of entire component populations as well as individual or tagged members of a large population. A precise and straightforward specification of a passage-time service level agreement is as important to the performance engineering process as its evaluation. This is especially true of large and complex models of industrial-scale systems. To address this, we introduce the unified stochastic probe framework. Unified stochastic probes are used to generate a model augmentation which exposes explicitly the SLA measure of interest to the analysis toolkit. In this thesis, we deploy these probes to define many detailed and derived performance measures that can be automatically and directly analysed using rapid ODE techniques. In this way, we tackle applicable problems at many levels of the performance engineering process: from specification and model representation to efficient and scalable analysis