A survey of simulation techniques in commerce and defence

Despite the developments in Modelling and Simulation (M&S) tools and techniques over the past years, there has been a gap in the M&S research and practice in healthcare on developing a toolkit to assist the modellers and simulation practitioners with selecting an appropriate set of techniques. This study is a preliminary step towards this goal. This paper presents some results from a systematic literature survey on applications of M&S in the commerce and defence domains that could inspire some improvements in the healthcare. Interim results show that in the commercial sector Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) has been the most widely used technique with System Dynamics (SD) in second place. However in the defence sector, SD has gained relatively more attention. SD has been found quite useful for qualitative and soft factors analysis. From both the surveys it becomes clear that there is a growing trend towards using hybrid M&S approaches

Semantic data integration for supply chain management: with a specific focus on applications in the semiconductor industry

Supply Chain Management (SCM) is essential to monitor, control, and enhance the performance of SCs. Increasing globalization and diversity of Supply Chains (SC)s lead to complex SC structures, limited visibility among SC partners, and challenging collaboration caused by dispersed data silos. Digitalization is responsible for driving and transforming SCs of fundamental sectors such as the semiconductor industry. This is further accelerated due to the inevitable role that semiconductor products play in electronics, IoT, and security systems. Semiconductor SCM is unique as the SC operations exhibit special features, e.g., long production lead times and short product life. Hence, systematic SCM is required to establish information exchange, overcome inefficiency resulting from incompatibility, and adapt to industry-specific challenges. The Semantic Web is designed for linking data and establishing information exchange. Semantic models provide high-level descriptions of the domain that enable interoperability. Semantic data integration consolidates the heterogeneous data into meaningful and valuable information. The main goal of this thesis is to investigate Semantic Web Technologies (SWT) for SCM with a specific focus on applications in the semiconductor industry. As part of SCM, End-to-End SC modeling ensures visibility of SC partners and flows. Existing models are limited in the way they represent operational SC relationships beyond one-to-one structures. The scarcity of empirical data from multiple SC partners hinders the analysis of the impact of supply network partners on each other and the benchmarking of the overall SC performance. In our work, we investigate (i) how semantic models can be used to standardize and benchmark SCs. Moreover, in a volatile and unpredictable environment, SC experts require methodical and efficient approaches to integrate various data sources for informed decision-making regarding SC behavior. Thus, this work addresses (ii) how semantic data integration can help make SCs more efficient and resilient. Moreover, to secure a good position in a competitive market, semiconductor SCs strive to implement operational strategies to control demand variation, i.e., bullwhip, while maintaining sustainable relationships with customers. We examine (iii) how we can apply semantic technologies to specifically support semiconductor SCs. In this thesis, we provide semantic models that integrate, in a standardized way, SC processes, structure, and flows, ensuring both an elaborate understanding of the holistic SCs and including granular operational details. We demonstrate that these models enable the instantiation of a synthetic SC for benchmarking. We contribute with semantic data integration applications to enable interoperability and make SCs more efficient and resilient. Moreover, we leverage ontologies and KGs to implement customer-oriented bullwhip-taming strategies. We create semantic-based approaches intertwined with Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms to address semiconductor industry specifics and ensure operational excellence. The results prove that relying on semantic technologies contributes to achieving rigorous and systematic SCM. We deem that better standardization, simulation, benchmarking, and analysis, as elaborated in the contributions, will help master more complex SC scenarios. SCs stakeholders can increasingly understand the domain and thus are better equipped with effective control strategies to restrain disruption accelerators, such as the bullwhip effect. In essence, the proposed Sematic Web Technology-based strategies unlock the potential to increase the efficiency, resilience, and operational excellence of supply networks and the semiconductor SC in particular

A Taxonomy of Data Grids for Distributed Data Sharing, Management and Processing

Data Grids have been adopted as the platform for scientific communities that need to share, access, transport, process and manage large data collections distributed worldwide. They combine high-end computing technologies with high-performance networking and wide-area storage management techniques. In this paper, we discuss the key concepts behind Data Grids and compare them with other data sharing and distribution paradigms such as content delivery networks, peer-to-peer networks and distributed databases. We then provide comprehensive taxonomies that cover various aspects of architecture, data transportation, data replication and resource allocation and scheduling. Finally, we map the proposed taxonomy to various Data Grid systems not only to validate the taxonomy but also to identify areas for future exploration. Through this taxonomy, we aim to categorise existing systems to better understand their goals and their methodology. This would help evaluate their applicability for solving similar problems. This taxonomy also provides a "gap analysis" of this area through which researchers can potentially identify new issues for investigation. Finally, we hope that the proposed taxonomy and mapping also helps to provide an easy way for new practitioners to understand this complex area of research.Comment: 46 pages, 16 figures, Technical Repor

Architectures and GPU-Based Parallelization for Online Bayesian Computational Statistics and Dynamic Modeling

Recent work demonstrates that coupling Bayesian computational statistics methods with dynamic models can facilitate the analysis of complex systems associated with diverse time series, including those involving social and behavioural dynamics. Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) methods constitute a particularly powerful class of Bayesian methods combining aspects of batch Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and the sequential Monte Carlo method of Particle Filtering (PF). PMCMC can flexibly combine theory-capturing dynamic models with diverse empirical data. Online machine learning is a subcategory of machine learning algorithms characterized by sequential, incremental execution as new data arrives, which can give updated results and predictions with growing sequences of available incoming data. While many machine learning and statistical methods are adapted to online algorithms, PMCMC is one example of the many methods whose compatibility with and adaption to online learning remains unclear. In this thesis, I proposed a data-streaming solution supporting PF and PMCMC methods with dynamic epidemiological models and demonstrated several successful applications. By constructing an automated, easy-to-use streaming system, analytic applications and simulation models gain access to arriving real-time data to shorten the time gap between data and resulting model-supported insight. The well-defined architecture design emerging from the thesis would substantially expand traditional simulation models' potential by allowing such models to be offered as continually updated services. Contingent on sufficiently fast execution time, simulation models within this framework can consume the incoming empirical data in real-time and generate informative predictions on an ongoing basis as new data points arrive. In a second line of work, I investigated the platform's flexibility and capability by extending this system to support the use of a powerful class of PMCMC algorithms with dynamic models while ameliorating such algorithms' traditionally stiff performance limitations. Specifically, this work designed and implemented a GPU-enabled parallel version of a PMCMC method with dynamic simulation models. The resulting codebase readily has enabled researchers to adapt their models to the state-of-art statistical inference methods, and ensure that the computation-heavy PMCMC method can perform significant sampling between the successive arrival of each new data point. Investigating this method's impact with several realistic PMCMC application examples showed that GPU-based acceleration allows for up to 160x speedup compared to a corresponding CPU-based version not exploiting parallelism. The GPU accelerated PMCMC and the streaming processing system can complement each other, jointly providing researchers with a powerful toolset to greatly accelerate learning and securing additional insight from the high-velocity data increasingly prevalent within social and behavioural spheres. The design philosophy applied supported a platform with broad generalizability and potential for ready future extensions. The thesis discusses common barriers and difficulties in designing and implementing such systems and offers solutions to solve or mitigate them