Estimating Movement from Mobile Telephony Data

Mobile enabled devices are ubiquitous in modern society. The information gathered by their normal service operations has become one of the primary data sources used in the understanding of human mobility, social connection and information transfer. This thesis investigates techniques that can extract useful information from anonymised call detail records (CDR). CDR consist of mobile subscriber data related to people in connection with the network operators, the nature of their communication activity (voice, SMS, data, etc.), duration of the activity and starting time of the activity and servicing cell identification numbers of both the sender and the receiver when available. The main contributions of the research are a methodology for distance measurements which enables the identification of mobile subscriber travel paths and a methodology for population density estimation based on significant mobile subscriber regions of interest. In addition, insights are given into how a mobile network operator may use geographically located subscriber data to create new revenue streams and improved network performance. A range of novel algorithms and techniques underpin the development of these methodologies. These include, among others, techniques for CDR feature extraction, data visualisation and CDR data cleansing. The primary data source used in this body of work was the CDR of Meteor, a mobile network operator in the Republic of Ireland. The Meteor network under investigation has just over 1 million customers, which represents approximately a quarter of the country’s 4.6 million inhabitants, and operates using both 2G and 3G cellular telephony technologies. Results show that the steady state vector analysis of modified Markov chain mobility models can return population density estimates comparable to population estimates obtained through a census. Evaluated using a test dataset, results of travel path identification showed that developed distance measurements achieved greater accuracy when classifying the routes CDR journey trajectories took compared to traditional trajectory distance measurements. Results from subscriber segmentation indicate that subscribers who have perceived similar relationships to geographical features can be grouped based on weighted steady state mobility vectors. Overall, this thesis proposes novel algorithms and techniques for the estimation of movement from mobile telephony data addressing practical issues related to sampling, privacy and spatial uncertainty

An Intelligent Mobility Prediction Scheme for Location-Based Service over Cellular Communications Network

One of the trickiest challenges introduced by cellular communications networks is mobility prediction for Location Based-Services (LBSs). Hence, an accurate and efficient mobility prediction technique is particularly needed for these networks. The mobility prediction technique incurs overheads on the transmission process. These overheads affect properties of the cellular communications network such as delay, denial of services, manual filtering and bandwidth. The main goal of this research is to enhance a mobility prediction scheme in cellular communications networks through three phases. Firstly, current mobility prediction techniques will be investigated. Secondly, innovation and examination of new mobility prediction techniques will be based on three hypothesises that are suitable for cellular communications network and mobile user (MU) resources with low computation cost and high prediction success rate without using MU resources in the prediction process. Thirdly, a new mobility prediction scheme will be generated that is based on different levels of mobility prediction. In this thesis, a new mobility prediction scheme for LBSs is proposed. It could be considered as a combination of the cell and routing area (RA) prediction levels. For cell level prediction, most of the current location prediction research is focused on generalized location models, where the geographic extent is divided into regular-shape cells. These models are not suitable for certain LBSs where the objectives are to compute and present on-road services. Such techniques are the New Markov-Based Mobility Prediction (NMMP) and Prediction Location Model (PLM) that deal with inner cell structure and different levels of prediction, respectively. The NMMP and PLM techniques suffer from complex computation, accuracy rate regression and insufficient accuracy. In this thesis, Location Prediction based on a Sector Snapshot (LPSS) is introduced, which is based on a Novel Cell Splitting Algorithm (NCPA). This algorithm is implemented in a micro cell in parallel with the new prediction technique. The LPSS technique, compared with two classic prediction techniques and the experimental results, shows the effectiveness and robustness of the new splitting algorithm and prediction technique. In the cell side, the proposed approach reduces the complexity cost and prevents the cell level prediction technique from performing in time slots that are too close. For these reasons, the RA avoids cell-side problems. This research discusses a New Routing Area Displacement Prediction for Location-Based Services (NRADP) which is based on developed Ant Colony Optimization (ACO). The NRADP, compared with Mobility Prediction based on an Ant System (MPAS) and the experimental results, shows the effectiveness, higher prediction rate, reduced search stagnation ratio, and reduced computation cost of the new prediction technique

Performance Enhancing of Heterogeneous Network through Optimisation and Machine Learning Techniques

In the last two decades, by the benefit of advanced wireless technology, growing data service cause the explosive traffic demand, and it brings many new challenges to the network operators. In order to match the growing traffic demand, operators shall deploy new base stations to increase the total cellular network capacity. Meanwhile, a new type of low-power base stations are frequently deployed within the network, providing extra access points to subscribers. However, even the new base station can be operated in low power, the total network energy consumption is still increased proportional to the total number of base station, and considerable network energy consumption will become one of the main issues to the network operators. The way of reducing network energy consumption become crucial, especially in 5G when multiple antennas are deployed within one site. However, the base station cannot be always operated in low power because it will damage the network performance, and power can be only reduced in light-traffic period. Therefore, the way of balancing traffic demand and energy consumption will be come the main investigation direction in this thesis, and how to link the operated power of base station to the current traffic demand is investigated. In this thesis, algorithms and optimisations are utilised to reduce the network energy consumption and improve the network performance. To reduce the energy consumption in light-traffic period, base stations switch-off strategy is proposed in the first chapter. However, the network performance should be carefully estimated before the switch-off strategy is applied. The NP-hard energy efficiency optimisation problem is summarised, and it proposes the method that some of the base stations can be grouped together due to the limited interference from other Pico cells, reducing the complexity of the optimisation problem. Meanwhile, simulated annealing is proposed to obtain the optimal base stations combination to achieve optimal energy efficiency. By the optimisation algorithm, it can obtain the optimal PCs combination without scarifying the overall network throughput. The simulation results show that not only the energy consumption can be reduced but also the significant energy efficiency improvement can achieve by the switched-off strategy. The average energy efficiency improvement over thirty simulation is 17.06%. The second chapter will tackle the issue of how to raise the power of base stations after they are switched off. These base stations shall back to regular power level to prepare the incoming traffic. However, not all base stations shall be back to normal power due to the uneven traffic distribution. By analysing the information within the collected subscriber data, such as moving speed, direction, downlink and time, Naive Bayesian classifier will be utilised to obtain the user movement pattern and predict the future traffic distribution, and the system can know which base station will become the user's destination. The load adaptive power control is utilised to inform the corresponding base stations to increased the transmission power, base stations can prepare for the incoming traffic, avoiding the performance degradation. The simulation results show that the machine learning can accurately predict the destination of the subscriber, achieving average 90.8% accuracy among thirty simulation. The network energy can be saved without damage the network performance after the load adaptive function is applied, the average energy efficiency improvement among three scenarios is 4.3%, the improvement is significant. The significant improvement prove that the proposed machine learning and load adaptive power modification method can help the network reduce the energy consumption. In the last chapter, it will utilise cell range expansion to tackle the resources issue in cooperative base station in joint transmission, improving downlink performance and tackle the cell-edge problem. Due to the uneven traffic distribution, it will cause the insufficient resources problem in cooperative base station in joint transmission, and the system throughput will be influenced if cooperative base station executes joint transmission in high load. Therefore, the cell range expansion is utilised to solve the problem of unbalanced traffic between base station tier, and flow water algorithm is utilised to tackle the resources distribution issue during the traffic offloading. The simulation shows the NP-hard problem can be sufficiently solved by the flow water algorithm, and the downlink throughput gain can be obtained, it can obtain 26% gain in the M-P scenario, and the gain in P-M scenario is 24%. The result prove that the proposed method can provide significant gain to the subscriber without losing any total network throughput

A survey of machine learning techniques applied to self organizing cellular networks

In this paper, a survey of the literature of the past fifteen years involving Machine Learning (ML) algorithms applied to self organizing cellular networks is performed. In order for future networks to overcome the current limitations and address the issues of current cellular systems, it is clear that more intelligence needs to be deployed, so that a fully autonomous and flexible network can be enabled. This paper focuses on the learning perspective of Self Organizing Networks (SON) solutions and provides, not only an overview of the most common ML techniques encountered in cellular networks, but also manages to classify each paper in terms of its learning solution, while also giving some examples. The authors also classify each paper in terms of its self-organizing use-case and discuss how each proposed solution performed. In addition, a comparison between the most commonly found ML algorithms in terms of certain SON metrics is performed and general guidelines on when to choose each ML algorithm for each SON function are proposed. Lastly, this work also provides future research directions and new paradigms that the use of more robust and intelligent algorithms, together with data gathered by operators, can bring to the cellular networks domain and fully enable the concept of SON in the near future

Separation Framework: An Enabler for Cooperative and D2D Communication for Future 5G Networks

Soaring capacity and coverage demands dictate that future cellular networks need to soon migrate towards ultra-dense networks. However, network densification comes with a host of challenges that include compromised energy efficiency, complex interference management, cumbersome mobility management, burdensome signaling overheads and higher backhaul costs. Interestingly, most of the problems, that beleaguer network densification, stem from legacy networks' one common feature i.e., tight coupling between the control and data planes regardless of their degree of heterogeneity and cell density. Consequently, in wake of 5G, control and data planes separation architecture (SARC) has recently been conceived as a promising paradigm that has potential to address most of aforementioned challenges. In this article, we review various proposals that have been presented in literature so far to enable SARC. More specifically, we analyze how and to what degree various SARC proposals address the four main challenges in network densification namely: energy efficiency, system level capacity maximization, interference management and mobility management. We then focus on two salient features of future cellular networks that have not yet been adapted in legacy networks at wide scale and thus remain a hallmark of 5G, i.e., coordinated multipoint (CoMP), and device-to-device (D2D) communications. After providing necessary background on CoMP and D2D, we analyze how SARC can particularly act as a major enabler for CoMP and D2D in context of 5G. This article thus serves as both a tutorial as well as an up to date survey on SARC, CoMP and D2D. Most importantly, the article provides an extensive outlook of challenges and opportunities that lie at the crossroads of these three mutually entangled emerging technologies.Comment: 28 pages, 11 figures, IEEE Communications Surveys & Tutorials 201

Anomaly Detection in Streaming Sensor Data

In this chapter we consider a cell phone network as a set of automatically deployed sensors that records movement and interaction patterns of the population. We discuss methods for detecting anomalies in the streaming data produced by the cell phone network. We motivate this discussion by describing the Wireless Phone Based Emergency Response (WIPER) system, a proof-of-concept decision support system for emergency response managers. We also discuss some of the scientific work enabled by this type of sensor data and the related privacy issues. We describe scientific studies that use the cell phone data set and steps we have taken to ensure the security of the data. We describe the overall decision support system and discuss three methods of anomaly detection that we have applied to the data.Comment: 35 pages. Book chapter to appear in "Intelligent Techniques for Warehousing and Mining Sensor Network Data" (IGI Global), edited by A. Cuzzocre

Efficient radio resource management in next generation wireless networks

The current decade has witnessed a phenomenal growth in mobile wireless communication networks and subscribers. In 2015, mobile wireless devices and connections were reported to have grown to about 7.9 billion, exceeding human population. The explosive growth in mobile wireless communication network subscribers has created a huge demand for wireless network capacity, ubiquitous wireless network coverage, and enhanced Quality of Service (QoS). These demands have led to several challenging problems for wireless communication networks operators and designers. The Next Generation Wireless Networks (NGWNs) will support high mobility communications, such as communication in high-speed rails. Mobile users in such high mobility environment demand reliable QoS, however, such users are plagued with a poor signal-tonoise ratio, due to the high vehicular penetration loss, increased transmission outage and handover information overhead, leading to poor QoS provisioning for the networks' mobile users. Providing a reliable QoS for high mobility users remains one of the unique challenges for NGWNs. The increased wireless network capacity and coverage of NGWNs means that mobile communication users at the cell-edge should have enhanced network performance. However, due to path loss (path attenuation), interference, and radio background noise, mobile communication users at the cell-edge can experience relatively poor transmission channel qualities and subsequently forced to transmit at a low bit transmission rate, even when the wireless communication networks can support high bit transmission rate. Furthermore, the NGWNs are envisioned to be Heterogeneous Wireless Networks (HWNs). The NGWNs are going to be the integration platform of diverse homogeneous wireless communication networks for a convergent wireless communication network. The HWNs support single and multiple calls (group calls), simultaneously. Decision making is an integral core of radio resource management. One crucial decision making in HWNs is network selection. Network selection addresses the problem of how to select the best available access network for a given network user connection. For the integrated platform of HWNs to be truly seamless and efficient, a robust and stable wireless access network selection algorithm is needed. To meet these challenges for the different mobile wireless communication network users, the NGWNs will have to provide a great leap in wireless network capacity, coverage, QoS, and radio resource utilization. Moving wireless communication networks (mobile hotspots) have been proposed as a solution to providing reliable QoS to high mobility users. In this thesis, an Adaptive Thinning Mobility Aware (ATMA) Call Admission Control (CAC) algorithm for improving the QoS and radio resource utilization of the mobile hotspot networks, which are of critical importance for communicating nodes in moving wireless networks is proposed. The performance of proposed ATMA CAC scheme is investigated and compare it with the traditional CAC scheme. The ATMA scheme exploits the mobility events in the highspeed mobility communication environment and the calls (new and handoff calls) generation pattern to enhance the QoS (new call blocking and handoff call dropping probabilities) of the mobile users. The numbers of new and handoff calls in wireless communication networks are dynamic random processes that can be effectively modeled by the Continuous Furthermore, the NGWNs are envisioned to be Heterogeneous Wireless Networks (HWNs). The NGWNs are going to be the integration platform of diverse homogeneous wireless communication networks for a convergent wireless communication network. The HWNs support single and multiple calls (group calls), simultaneously. Decision making is an integral core of radio resource management. One crucial decision making in HWNs is network selection. Network selection addresses the problem of how to select the best available access network for a given network user connection. For the integrated platform of HWNs to be truly seamless and efficient, a robust and stable wireless access network selection algorithm is needed. To meet these challenges for the different mobile wireless communication network users, the NGWNs will have to provide a great leap in wireless network capacity, coverage, QoS, and radio resource utilization. Moving wireless communication networks (mobile hotspots) have been proposed as a solution to providing reliable QoS to high mobility users. In this thesis, an Adaptive Thinning Mobility Aware (ATMA) Call Admission Control (CAC) algorithm for improving the QoS and radio resource utilization of the mobile hotspot networks, which are of critical importance for communicating nodes in moving wireless networks is proposed