12,895 research outputs found
Probabilistic movement modeling for intention inference in human-robot interaction.
Intention inference can be an essential step toward efficient humanrobot interaction. For this purpose, we propose the Intention-Driven Dynamics Model (IDDM) to probabilistically model the generative process of movements that are directed by the intention. The IDDM allows to infer the intention from observed movements using Bayes ’ theorem. The IDDM simultaneously finds a latent state representation of noisy and highdimensional observations, and models the intention-driven dynamics in the latent states. As most robotics applications are subject to real-time constraints, we develop an efficient online algorithm that allows for real-time intention inference. Two human-robot interaction scenarios, i.e., target prediction for robot table tennis and action recognition for interactive humanoid robots, are used to evaluate the performance of our inference algorithm. In both intention inference tasks, the proposed algorithm achieves substantial improvements over support vector machines and Gaussian processes.
Inverse Problems and Data Assimilation
These notes are designed with the aim of providing a clear and concise
introduction to the subjects of Inverse Problems and Data Assimilation, and
their inter-relations, together with citations to some relevant literature in
this area. The first half of the notes is dedicated to studying the Bayesian
framework for inverse problems. Techniques such as importance sampling and
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are introduced; these methods have the
desirable property that in the limit of an infinite number of samples they
reproduce the full posterior distribution. Since it is often computationally
intensive to implement these methods, especially in high dimensional problems,
approximate techniques such as approximating the posterior by a Dirac or a
Gaussian distribution are discussed. The second half of the notes cover data
assimilation. This refers to a particular class of inverse problems in which
the unknown parameter is the initial condition of a dynamical system, and in
the stochastic dynamics case the subsequent states of the system, and the data
comprises partial and noisy observations of that (possibly stochastic)
dynamical system. We will also demonstrate that methods developed in data
assimilation may be employed to study generic inverse problems, by introducing
an artificial time to generate a sequence of probability measures interpolating
from the prior to the posterior
Robust Filtering and Smoothing with Gaussian Processes
We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing
in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and
the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)
models. GPs are gaining increasing importance in signal processing, machine
learning, robotics, and control for representing unknown system functions by
posterior probability distributions. This modern way of "system identification"
is more robust than finding point estimates of a parametric function
representation. In this article, we present a principled algorithm for robust
analytic smoothing in GP dynamic systems, which are increasingly used in
robotics and control. Our numerical evaluations demonstrate the robustness of
the proposed approach in situations where other state-of-the-art Gaussian
filters and smoothers can fail.Comment: 7 pages, 1 figure, draft version of paper accepted at IEEE
Transactions on Automatic Contro
Expectation Propagation for Poisson Data
The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving
counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In
this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on
expectation propagation for approximating the posterior distribution formed
from the Poisson likelihood function and a Laplace type prior distribution,
e.g., the anisotropic total variation prior. The approach iteratively yields a
Gaussian approximation, and at each iteration, it updates the Gaussian
approximation to one factor of the posterior distribution by moment matching.
We derive explicit update formulas in terms of one-dimensional integrals, and
also discuss stable and efficient quadrature rules for evaluating these
integrals. The method is showcased on two-dimensional PET images.Comment: 25 pages, to be published at Inverse Problem
Ensemble Kalman methods for high-dimensional hierarchical dynamic space-time models
We propose a new class of filtering and smoothing methods for inference in
high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, spatio-temporal state-space models.
The main idea is to combine the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, developed
in the geophysics literature, with state-space algorithms from the statistics
literature. Our algorithms address a variety of estimation scenarios, including
on-line and off-line state and parameter estimation. We take a Bayesian
perspective, for which the goal is to generate samples from the joint posterior
distribution of states and parameters. The key benefit of our approach is the
use of ensemble Kalman methods for dimension reduction, which allows inference
for high-dimensional state vectors. We compare our methods to existing ones,
including ensemble Kalman filters, particle filters, and particle MCMC. Using a
real data example of cloud motion and data simulated under a number of
nonlinear and non-Gaussian scenarios, we show that our approaches outperform
these existing methods
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