2,490 research outputs found
Development of accident prediction model by using artificial neural network (ANN)
Statistical or crash prediction model have frequently been used in highway
safety studies. They can be used in identify major contributing factors or establish
relationship between crashes and explanatory accident variables. The
measurements to prevent accident are from the speed reduction, widening the
roads, speed enforcement, or construct the road divider, or other else. Therefore,
the purpose of this study is to develop an accident prediction model at federal road
FT 050 Batu Pahat to Kluang. The study process involves the identification of
accident blackspot locations, establishment of general patterns of accident, analysis
of the factors involved, site studies, and development of accident prediction model
using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) applied software which named
NeuroShell2. The significant of the variables that are selected from these accident
factors are checked to ensure the developed model can give a good prediction
results. The performance of neural network is evaluated by using the Mean
Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The study result showed that the best neural
network for accident prediction model at federal road FT 050 is 4-10-1 with 0.1
learning rate and 0.2 momentum rate. This network model contains the lowest
value of MAPE and highest value of linear correlation, r which is 0.8986. This
study has established the accident point weightage as the rank of the blackspot
section by kilometer along the FT 050 road (km 1 ā km 103). Several main
accident factors also have been determined along this road, and after all the data
gained, it has successfully analyzed by using artificial neural network
Pembangunan dan penilaian modul berbantukan komputer bagi subjek pemasaran : Politeknik Port Dickson
Kajian ini bertujuan membangunkan Modul Berbantukan Komputer (MBK) bagi
subjek Pemasaran. MBK ini dibangunkan dengan menggunakan pensian AutoPlay
Media dan Flash MX. Sampel kajian ini terdiri daripada 30 orang pelajar Diploma
Pemasaran di Politeknik Port Dickson. Data dikumpulkan melalui kaedah soal
selidik dan dianalisis berdasarkan kekerpan, peratusan dan skor min dengan
menggunakan perisian Statistical Package For Social Sciene (SPSS) versi 11.0.
Dapatan kajian menunjukkan penilaian terhadap pembagunan MBK di dalam proses
P&P adalah tinggi. Ini bermakna MBK ini sesuai digunakan di Politeknik Port
Dickson di dalam proses P&P
The Relationship between Fuzzy Reasoning and Its Temporal Characteristics for Knowledge Management
The knowledge management systems based on artificial reasoning (KMAR) tries to provide computers the capabilities of performing various intelligent tasks for which their human users resort to their knowledge and collective intelligence. There is a need for incorporating aspects of time and imprecision into knowledge management systems, considering appropriate semantic foundations. The aim of this paper is to present the FRTES, a real-time fuzzy expert system, embedded in a knowledge management system. Our expert system is a special possibilistic expert system, developed in order to focus on fuzzy knowledge.Knowledge Management, Artificial Reasoning, predictability
Incorporating the Basic Elements of a First-degree Fuzzy Logic and Certain Elments of Temporal Logic for Dynamic Management Applications
The approximate reasoning is perceived as a derivation of new formulas with the corresponding temporal attributes, within a fuzzy theory defined by the fuzzy set of special axioms. For dynamic management applications, the reasoning is evolutionary because of unexpected events which may change the state of the expert system. In this kind of situations it is necessary to elaborate certain mechanisms in order to maintain the coherence of the obtained conclusions, to figure out their degree of reliability and the time domain for which these are true. These last aspects stand as possible further directions of development at a basic logic level. The purpose of this paper is to characterise an extended fuzzy logic system with modal operators, attained by incorporating the basic elements of a first-degree fuzzy logic and certain elements of temporal logic.Dynamic Management Applications, Fuzzy Reasoning, Formalization, Time Restrictions, Modal Operators, Real-Time Expert Decision System (RTEDS)
Operational Risk Management using a Fuzzy Logic Inference System
Operational Risk (OR) results from endogenous and exogenous risk factors, as diverse and complex to assess as human resources and technology, which may not be properly measured using traditional quantitative approaches. Engineering has faced the same challenges when designing practical solutions to complex multifactor and non-linear systems where human reasoning, expert knowledge or imprecise information are valuable inputs. One of the solutions provided by engineering is a Fuzzy Logic Inference System (FLIS). Despite the goal of the FLIS model for OR is its assessment, it is not an end in itself. The choice of a FLIS results in a convenient and sound use of qualitative and quantitative inputs, capable of effectively articulating risk management's identification, assessment, monitoring and mitigation stages. Different from traditional approaches, the proposed model allows evaluating mitigation efforts ex-ante, thus avoiding concealed OR sources from system complexity build-up and optimizing risk management resources. Furthermore, because the model contrasts effective with expected OR data, it is able to constantly validate its outcome, recognize environment shifts and issue warning signals.Operational Risk, Fuzzy Logic, Risk Management Classification JEL:G32, C63, D80
Hybrid Fuzzy Medical Expert Systems
Expert Systems are intelligent programs of Artificial Intelligence (AI). In many applications, information available to the expert system is incomplete like medical diagnosis. This incomplete information is fuzzy rather than probable. Hybrid fuzzy expert systems (HFMES) combination of different fuzzy expert systems of same type co-ordinate and co-operated. In this paper, Hybrid fuzzy medical expert Systems are studied. Fuzzy inference and fuzzy reasoning are discussed for HFMES Fuzzy knowledge representation is disused for HFMES. Some examples are given for HFMES
Hybrid Fuzzy Medical Expert Systems
Expert Systems are intelligent programs of Artificial Intelligence (AI). In many applications, information available to the expert system is incomplete like medical diagnosis. This incomplete information is fuzzy rather than probable. Hybrid fuzzy expert systems (HFMES) combination of different fuzzy expert systems of same type co-ordinate and co-operated. In this paper, Hybrid fuzzy medical expert Systems are studied. Fuzzy inference and fuzzy reasoning are discussed for HFMES Fuzzy knowledge representation is disused for HFMES. Some examples are given for HFMES
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