6 research outputs found
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An Industrial Multi Agent System for real-time distributed collaborative prognostics
Despite increasing interest, real-time prognostics (failure prediction) is still not widespread in industry due to the di fficulties of existing systems to adapt to the dynamic and heterogeneous properties of real asset fleets. In order to
address this, we present an Industrial Multi Agent System for real-time distributed collaborative prognostics. Our system fufil ls all six core properties of Advanced Multi Agent Systems: Distribution, Flexibility, Adaptability, Scalability, Leanness, and Resilience. Experimental examples of each are provided for the case of prognostics using the C-MAPPS engine degradation data set, and data from a fleet of industrial gas turbines. Prognostics are performed using the Weibull Time To Event - Recurrent Neural Network algorithm. Collaboration is achieved by sharing information between agents in the system. We conclude that distributed collaborative prognostics is especially pertinent for systems with presence of sensor faults, limited computing capabilities or significant fleet heterogeneity
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Federated Learning for Collaborative Prognosis
Modern industrial assets generate prodigious condition monitoring data. Various prognosis techniques can use this data to predict the asset’s remaining useful life. But the data in most asset fleets is distributed across multiple assets, bound by the privacy policies of the operators, and often legally protected. Such peculiar characteristics make data-driven prognosis an interesting problem. In this paper, we propose Federated Learning as a solution to the above mentioned challenges. Federated Learning enables the manufacturer to utilise condition monitoring data without moving it away from the corresponding assets. Concretely, we demonstrate Federated Averaging algorithm to train feed-forward, and recurrent neural networks for predicting failures in a simulated turbofan fleet. We also analyse the dependence of prediction quality on the various learning parameters.1. Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery U
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Empirical convergence analysis of federated averaging for failure prognosis
Data driven prognosis involves machine learning algorithms to learn from previous failures and generate its prediction model. However, often a single asset does not fail so frequently to have enough training data in the form of historical failures. This problem can be addressed by learning from failures across a cluster of similar other assets, but often working in different environments. The algorithm therefore must learn from a distributed dataset which might be heterogenous but with underlying similarities. Federated Learning is an emerging technique that has recently also been proposed as a fitting solution for prognosis of industrial assets. However, even the most commonly used Federated Learning algorithms lack theoretical convergence guarantees, and therefore their convergence must be analysed empirically. This paper empirically analyses the convergence of the Federated Averaging (FedAvg) algorithm for a fleet of simulated turbofan engines. Results demonstrate that while FedAvg is applicable for prognosis, it cannot acknowledge the differences in asset failure mechanisms. As a result, the prognosis framework needs to be modified such that similar failures are clustered together before FedAvg can be implemented.This research was funded by the EPSRC and BT Prosperity Part- nership project: Next Generation Converged Digital Infrastructure, grant number EP/R004935/
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Distributed diagnostics, prognostics and maintenance planning: Realizing industry 4.0
In this paper, a novel distributed yet integrated approach for diagnostics and prognostics is presented. An experimental study is conducted to validate the performance. Results showed that distributed prognostics give better performance in leaser computational time. Also, the proposed approach helps in making the results of the machine learning techniques comprehensible and more accurate. These results will be handy in arriving at predictive maintenance schedule considering the criticality of the system, the dependency of the components, available maintenance resources and confidence level in the results of the prognostic.Royal Academy of Engineering London, UK (IAPP 18-19/31
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Multi-agent system architectures for collaborative prognostics
This paper provides a methodology to assess the optimal Multi-Agent architecture for collaborative prognostics in modern fleets of assets. The use of Multi- Agent Systems has been shown to improve the ability to predict equipment failures by enabling machines with communication and collaborative learning capabilities. Di fferent architectures have been postulated for industrial Multi-Agent Systems in general. A rigorous analysis of the implications of their implementation for collaborative prognostics is essential to guide industrial deployment. In this paper, we investigate the cost and reliability implications of using di fferent Multi-Agent Systems architectures for collaborative failure prediction and maintenance optimization in large fleets of industrial assets. Results show that purely distributed architectures are optimal for high-value assets, while hierarchical architectures optimize communication costs for low-value assets. This enables asset managers to design and implement Multi-Agent systems for predictive maintenance that signi ficantly decrease the whole-life cost of their assets.The project that has generated these results has been supported by a la Caixa Fellowship (ID 100010434), with code LCF/BQ/EU17/11590049. This research was partly supported by Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery UK. This research was also partly supported by the Next Generation Converged Digital Infrastructure project (EP/R004935/1) funded by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council and BT. The server used to perform the experiments in this paper was funded by the Centre for Digital Built Britain
An Industrial Multi Agent System for real-time distributed collaborative prognostics
Despite increasing interest, real-time prognostics (failure prediction) is still not widespread in industry due to the di fficulties of existing systems to adapt to the dynamic and heterogeneous properties of real asset fleets. In order to address this, we present an Industrial Multi Agent System for real-time distributed collaborative prognostics. Our system fufil ls all six core properties of Advanced Multi Agent Systems: Distribution, Flexibility, Adaptability, Scalability, Leanness, and Resilience. Experimental examples of each are provided for the case of prognostics using the C-MAPPS engine degradation data set, and data from a fleet of industrial gas turbines. Prognostics are performed using the Weibull Time To Event - Recurrent Neural Network algorithm. Collaboration is achieved by sharing information between agents in the system. We conclude that distributed collaborative prognostics is especially pertinent for systems with presence of sensor faults, limited computing capabilities or significant fleet heterogeneity