Does bounded rationality lead to individual heterogeneity? The impact of the experimentation process and of memory constraints

In this paper we explore the effect of bounded rationality on the convergence of individual behavior toward equilibrium. In the context of a Cournot game with a unique and symmetric Nash equilibrium, firms are modeled as adaptive economic agents through a genetic algorithm. Computational experiments show that (1) there is remarkable heterogeneity across identical but boundedly rational agents; (2) such individual heterogeneity is not simply a consequence of the random elements contained in the genetic algorithm; (3) the more rational agents are in terms of memory abilities and pre-play evaluation of strategies, the less heterogeneous they are in their actions. At the limit case of full rationality, the outcome converges to the standard result of uniform individual behavior.bounded rationality; genetic algorithms; individual heterogeneitybounded rationality; genetic algorithms; individual heterogeneity

Incremental evolution strategy for function optimization

This paper presents a novel evolutionary approach for function optimization Incremental Evolution Strategy (IES). Two strategies are proposed. One is to evolve the input variables incrementally. The whole evolution consists of several phases and one more variable is focused in each phase. The number of phases is equal to the number of variables in maximum. Each phase is composed of two stages: in the single-variable evolution (SVE) stage, evolution is taken on one independent variable in a series of cutting planes; in the multi-variable evolving (MVE) stage, the initial population is formed by integrating the populations obtained by the SVE and the MVE in the last phase. And the evolution is taken on the incremented variable set. The other strategy is a hybrid of particle swarm optimization (PSO) and evolution strategy (ES). PSO is applied to adjust the cutting planes/hyper-planes (in SVEs/MVEs) while (1+1)-ES is applied to searching optima in the cutting planes/hyper-planes. The results of experiments show that the performance of IES is generally better than that of three other evolutionary algorithms, improved normal GA, PSO and SADE_CERAF, in the sense that IES finds solutions closer to the true optima and with more optimal objective values

Using GWAS Data to Identify Copy Number Variants Contributing to Common Complex Diseases

Copy number variants (CNVs) account for more polymorphic base pairs in the human genome than do single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). CNVs encompass genes as well as noncoding DNA, making these polymorphisms good candidates for functional variation. Consequently, most modern genome-wide association studies test CNVs along with SNPs, after inferring copy number status from the data generated by high-throughput genotyping platforms. Here we give an overview of CNV genomics in humans, highlighting patterns that inform methods for identifying CNVs. We describe how genotyping signals are used to identify CNVs and provide an overview of existing statistical models and methods used to infer location and carrier status from such data, especially the most commonly used methods exploring hybridization intensity. We compare the power of such methods with the alternative method of using tag SNPs to identify CNV carriers. As such methods are only powerful when applied to common CNVs, we describe two alternative approaches that can be informative for identifying rare CNVs contributing to disease risk. We focus particularly on methods identifying de novo CNVs and show that such methods can be more powerful than case-control designs. Finally we present some recommendations for identifying CNVs contributing to common complex disorders.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/09-STS304 the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Multiobjective optimization for multiproduct batch plant design under economic and environmental considerations

This work deals with the multicriteria cost–environment design of multiproduct batch plants, where the design variables are the size of the equipment items as well as the operating conditions. The case study is a multiproduct batch plant for the production of four recombinant proteins. Given the important combinatorial aspect of the problem, the approach used consists in coupling a stochastic algorithm, indeed a genetic algorithm (GA) with a discrete-event simulator (DES). Another incentive to use this kind of optimization method is that, there is no easy way of calculating derivatives of the objective functions, which then discards gradient optimization methods. To take into account the conflicting situations that may be encountered at the earliest stage of batch plant design, i.e. compromise situations between cost and environmental consideration, a multiobjective genetic algorithm (MOGA) was developed with a Pareto optimal ranking method. The results show how the methodology can be used to find a range of trade-off solutions for optimizing batch plant design

Improved sampling of the pareto-front in multiobjective genetic optimizations by steady-state evolution: a Pareto converging genetic algorithm

Previous work on multiobjective genetic algorithms has been focused on preventing genetic drift and the issue of convergence has been given little attention. In this paper, we present a simple steady-state strategy, Pareto Converging Genetic Algorithm (PCGA), which naturally samples the solution space and ensures population advancement towards the Pareto-front. PCGA eliminates the need for sharing/niching and thus minimizes heuristically chosen parameters and procedures. A systematic approach based on histograms of rank is introduced for assessing convergence to the Pareto-front, which, by definition, is unknown in most real search problems. We argue that there is always a certain inheritance of genetic material belonging to a population, and there is unlikely to be any significant gain beyond some point; a stopping criterion where terminating the computation is suggested. For further encouraging diversity and competition, a nonmigrating island model may optionally be used; this approach is particularly suited to many difficult (real-world) problems, which have a tendency to get stuck at (unknown) local minima. Results on three benchmark problems are presented and compared with those of earlier approaches. PCGA is found to produce diverse sampling of the Pareto-front without niching and with significantly less computational effort

Can genetic algorithms explain experimental anomalies? An application to common property resources

It is common to find in experimental data persistent oscillations in the aggregate outcomes and high levels of heterogeneity in individual behavior. Furthermore, it is not unusual to find significant deviations from aggregate Nash equilibrium predictions. In this paper, we employ an evolutionary model with boundedly rational agents to explain these findings. We use data from common property resource experiments (Casari and Plott, 2003). Instead of positing individual-specific utility functions, we model decision makers as selfish and identical. Agent interaction is simulated using an individual learning genetic algorithm, where agents have constraints in their working memory, a limited ability to maximize, and experiment with new strategies. We show that the model replicates most of the patterns that can be found in common property resource experiments.Bounded rationality, Experiments, Common-pool resources, Genetic algorithms

Genetic algorithms: a tool for optimization in econometrics - basic concept and an example for empirical applications

This paper discusses a tool for optimization of econometric models based on genetic algorithms. First, we briefly describe the concept of this optimization technique. Then, we explain the design of a specifically developed algorithm and apply it to a difficult econometric problem, the semiparametric estimation of a censored regression model. We carry out some Monte Carlo simulations and compare the genetic algorithm with another technique, the iterative linear programming algorithm, to run the censored least absolute deviation estimator. It turns out that both algorithms lead to similar results in this case, but that the proposed method is computationally more stable than its competitor. --Genetic Algorithm,Semiparametrics,Monte Carlo Simulation