Congestion Mitigation for Planned Special Events: Parking, Ridesharing and Network Configuration

abstract: This dissertation investigates congestion mitigation during the ingress of a planned special event (PSE). PSEs would impact the regular operation of the transportation system within certain time periods due to increased travel demand or reduced capacities on certain road segments. For individual attendees, cruising for parking during a PSE could be a struggle given the severe congestion and scarcity of parking spaces in the network. With the development of smartphones-based ridesharing services such as Uber/Lyft, more and more attendees are turning to ridesharing rather than driving by themselves. This study explores congestion mitigation during a planned special event considering parking, ridesharing and network configuration from both attendees and planner’s perspectives. Parking availability (occupancy of parking facility) information is the fundamental building block for both travelers and planners to make parking-related decisions. It is highly valued by travelers and is one of the most important inputs to many parking models. This dissertation proposes a model-based practical framework to predict future occupancy from historical occupancy data alone. The framework consists of two modules: estimation of model parameters, and occupancy prediction. At the core of the predictive framework, a queuing model is employed to describe the stochastic occupancy change of a parking facility. From an attendee’s perspective, the probability of finding parking at a particular parking facility is more treasured than occupancy information for parking search. However, it is hard to estimate parking probabilities even with accurate occupancy data in a dynamic environment. In the second part of this dissertation, taking one step further, the idea of introducing learning algorithms into parking guidance and information systems that employ a central server is investigated, in order to provide estimated optimal parking searching strategies to travelers. With the help of the Markov Decision Process (MDP), the parking searching process on a network with uncertain parking availabilities can be modeled and analyzed. Finally, from a planner’s perspective, a bi-level model is proposed to generate a comprehensive PSE traffic management plan considering parking, ridesharing and route recommendations at the same time. The upper level is an optimization model aiming to minimize total travel time experienced by travelers. In the lower level, a link transmission model incorporating parking and ridesharing is used to evaluate decisions from and provide feedback to the upper level. A congestion relief algorithm is proposed and tested on a real-world network.Dissertation/ThesisDoctoral Dissertation Civil, Environmental and Sustainable Engineering 201

Assessing the Impact of Game Day Schedule and Opponents on Travel Patterns and Route Choice using Big Data Analytics

The transportation system is crucial for transferring people and goods from point A to point B. However, its reliability can be decreased by unanticipated congestion resulting from planned special events. For example, sporting events collect large crowds of people at specific venues on game days and disrupt normal traffic patterns. The goal of this study was to understand issues related to road traffic management during major sporting events by using widely available INRIX data to compare travel patterns and behaviors on game days against those on normal days. A comprehensive analysis was conducted on the impact of all Nebraska Cornhuskers football games over five years on traffic congestion on five major routes in Nebraska. We attempted to identify hotspots, the unusually high-risk zones in a spatiotemporal space containing traffic congestion that occur on almost all game days. For hotspot detection, we utilized a method called Multi-EigenSpot, which is able to detect multiple hotspots in a spatiotemporal space. With this algorithm, we were able to detect traffic hotspot clusters on the five chosen routes in Nebraska. After detecting the hotspots, we identified the factors affecting the sizes of hotspots and other parameters. The start time of the game and the Cornhuskers’ opponent for a given game are two important factors affecting the number of people coming to Lincoln, Nebraska, on game days. Finally, the Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBN) approach was applied to forecast the start times and locations of hotspot clusters in 2018 with a weighted mean absolute percentage error (WMAPE) of 13.8%

3D Visual Perception for Self-Driving Cars using a Multi-Camera System: Calibration, Mapping, Localization, and Obstacle Detection

Cameras are a crucial exteroceptive sensor for self-driving cars as they are low-cost and small, provide appearance information about the environment, and work in various weather conditions. They can be used for multiple purposes such as visual navigation and obstacle detection. We can use a surround multi-camera system to cover the full 360-degree field-of-view around the car. In this way, we avoid blind spots which can otherwise lead to accidents. To minimize the number of cameras needed for surround perception, we utilize fisheye cameras. Consequently, standard vision pipelines for 3D mapping, visual localization, obstacle detection, etc. need to be adapted to take full advantage of the availability of multiple cameras rather than treat each camera individually. In addition, processing of fisheye images has to be supported. In this paper, we describe the camera calibration and subsequent processing pipeline for multi-fisheye-camera systems developed as part of the V-Charge project. This project seeks to enable automated valet parking for self-driving cars. Our pipeline is able to precisely calibrate multi-camera systems, build sparse 3D maps for visual navigation, visually localize the car with respect to these maps, generate accurate dense maps, as well as detect obstacles based on real-time depth map extraction

Navigation with uncertain spatio-temporal resources

Supporting people with intelligent navigation instructions enables users to efficiently achieve trip-related objectives (e.g., minimum travel time or fuel consumption) and preserves them from making unnecessary detours. This, in turn, enables them to save time, money and, additionally, minimize $CO_2$ emissions. For these reasons, manufacturers integrate navigation systems into almost all modern automobiles. Nevertheless, most of them support only simple routing instructions, i.e., how to drive from location A to B. Albeit, people are regularly faced with more complex decisions, e.g. navigating to a cheap gas station on the route while incorporating dynamic gas price changes. Another example-scenario is after reaching the destination, an available facility to park needs to be found. So far, people cruise almost randomly around the goal area in the search for a parking space. As a consequence, persons valuable time is consumed and unnecessary traffic arises. Besides private persons, transportation companies have to make complex mobility decisions. For instance, taxi drivers have to find out where to move next whenever the taxi is idle. There are plenty possibilities for where the taxi driver could go. In case the last drop-off was in a sparsely populated region, waiting for a call from the taxi office will likely result in a longer drive to the next customer. In turn, customer satisfaction decreases with a longer waiting time and implies a potential loss of customers. Recently, the number of data sources that potentially improve these mobility decisions increased. For instance, on-street parking sensors track the current state of the spaces (e.g. Melbourne), mobile applications collect taxi requests from customers and gas stations publish the current prices all in real-time. This thesis investigates the question of how to design algorithms such that they exploit this volatile data. Standard routing algorithms assume a static world. But the availability of passengers, gas prices and the availability of parking spots change over time in a non-deterministic manner. Hence, we model multiple real-world applications as Markov decision processes (MDP), i.e., a framework for sequential decision making under uncertainty. Depending on the task, we propose to solve the MDP with dynamic programming, replanning and hindsight planning or reinforcement learning. Ultimately, we combine all applications in a single problem domain. Subsequently, we propose a reinforcement learning approach that solves all applications in this domain without modification. Furthermore, it decouples the routing task from solving the application itself. Hence, it is transferable to previously unseen street networks without further training.Durch intelligente Navigationssysteme werden Verkehrsteilnehmer davor bewahrt, Umwege zu fahren. Dadurch sparen sie Zeit, Geld und verringern den $CO_2$-Ausstoß. Aus diesem Grund verbauen Hersteller Navigationssysteme in fast allen Neuwägen. Bis heute unterstützen die meisten Systeme nur einfache Routenplanung, die den kürzesten oder schnellsten Pfad von A nach B berechnen. Dennoch müssen Fahrer regelmäßig Entscheidungen darüber hinaus treffen. Beispielsweise soll eine möglichst günstige Tankstelle auf dem Weg zum eigentlichen Ziel besucht werden. Allerdings kann diese ihre Preise, während der Fahrer oder die Fahrerin auf dem Weg dort hin ist, dynamisch ändern. Anschließend muss, sobald das eigentliche Ziel erreicht ist, ein Parkplatz gefunden werden. Bisher fahren Parkplatzsuchende zufällig durch das Zielgebiet in der Hoffnung möglichst schnell einen freien Parkplatz zu finden. Die Suche verursacht zusätzlichen Verkehr und der Fahrer oder die Fahrerin verbringt mehr Zeit auf der Straße. Neben Privatpersonen müssen auch Transportunternehmen komplexe Entscheidungen über Bewegungen treffen. Zum Beispiel muss ein Taxifahrer, wenn er gerade keinen Fahrgast hat, entscheiden, wo er sich als nächstes positioniert. Zwar könnte er am letzten Zielort warten, bis er einen Anruf der Taxizentrale bekommt. Falls jedoch der letzte Zielort in einem entlegenen Gebiet ist, muss der nächste Fahrgast wahrscheinlich lange warten, bis der Fahrer oder die Fahrerin bei ihm ankommt. Damit sinkt die Kundenzufriedenheit, was wiederum einen potentiellen Verlust der Kunden bedeutet. Seit Kurzem gibt es immer mehr Datenquellen, die Entscheidungen für diese Probleme verbessern. Beispielsweise wird durch Parkplatzsensoren die Verfügbarkeit der Parkplätze verfolgt, mobile Anwendungen sammeln Anfragen über Fahrgäste und Tankstellen veröffentlichen ihren aktuellen Preis in Echtzeit. In dieser Arbeit wird der Forschungsfrage nachgegangen, wie Algorithmen gestaltet werden können, sodass diese veränderlichen Informationen verwendet werden können. Standard-Routing-Algorithmen gehen von einer statischen Welt aus. Aber die Verfügbarkeit von Fahrgästen, die Tankstellenpreise und die Parkplatzzustände ändern sich nicht deterministisch. Aus diesem Grund modellieren wir eine Reihe von Anwendungen als Markov-Entscheidungsproblem (MDP). Applikationsabhängig schlagen wir vor, das MDP mit dynamischer Programmierung, Replanning bzw. Hindsight Planning oder Reinforcement Learning zu lösen. Abschließend fassen wir alle Anwendungen in einer Domäne zusammen. Dadurch können wir einen Reinforcement Learning Ansatz definieren, der alle Anwendungen in dieser Domäne ohne Änderung lösen kann. Dieser Ansatz ermöglicht es, die Routenplanung von der eigentlichen Problemstellung zu lösen. Dadurch ist die gelernte Funktionsapproximation auch auf bisher unbekannte Straßennetze ohne weiteres Training anwendbar

Towards Autonomous and Safe Last-mile Deliveries with AI-augmented Self-driving Delivery Robots

In addition to its crucial impact on customer satisfaction, last-mile delivery (LMD) is notorious for being the most time-consuming and costly stage of the shipping process. Pressing environmental concerns combined with the recent surge of e-commerce sales have sparked renewed interest in automation and electrification of last-mile logistics. To address the hurdles faced by existing robotic couriers, this paper introduces a customer-centric and safety-conscious LMD system for small urban communities based on AI-assisted autonomous delivery robots. The presented framework enables end-to-end automation and optimization of the logistic process while catering for real-world imposed operational uncertainties, clients' preferred time schedules, and safety of pedestrians. To this end, the integrated optimization component is modeled as a robust variant of the Cumulative Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows, where routes are constructed under uncertain travel times with an objective to minimize the total latency of deliveries (i.e., the overall waiting time of customers, which can negatively affect their satisfaction). We demonstrate the proposed LMD system's utility through real-world trials in a university campus with a single robotic courier. Implementation aspects as well as the findings and practical insights gained from the deployment are discussed in detail. Lastly, we round up the contributions with numerical simulations to investigate the scalability of the developed mathematical formulation with respect to the number of robotic vehicles and customers