Modeling and Predicting Future Trajectories of Moving Objects in a Constrained Network

http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/Advances in wireless sensor networks and positioning technologies enable traffic management (e.g. routing traffic) that uses real-time data monitored by GPS-enabled cars. Location management has become an enabling technology in such application. The location modeling and trajectory prediction of moving objects are the fundamental components of location management in mobile locationaware applications. In this paper, we model the road network and moving objects in a graph of cellular automata (GCA), which makes full use of the constraints of the network and the stochastic behavior of the traffic. A simulation-based method based on graphs of cellular automata is proposed to predict future trajectories. Our technique strongly differs from the linear prediction method, which has low prediction accuracy and requires frequent updates when applied to real traffic with velocity changes. The experiments, carried on two different datasets, show that the simulation-based prediction method provides higher accuracy than the linear prediction method

THREE TEMPORAL PERSPECTIVES ON DECENTRALIZED LOCATION-AWARE COMPUTING: PAST, PRESENT, FUTURE

Durant les quatre dernières décennies, la miniaturisation a permis la diffusion à large échelle des ordinateurs, les rendant omniprésents. Aujourd’hui, le nombre d’objets connectés à Internet ne cesse de croitre et cette tendance n’a pas l’air de ralentir. Ces objets, qui peuvent être des téléphones mobiles, des véhicules ou des senseurs, génèrent de très grands volumes de données qui sont presque toujours associés à un contexte spatiotemporel. Le volume de ces données est souvent si grand que leur traitement requiert la création de système distribués qui impliquent la coopération de plusieurs ordinateurs. La capacité de traiter ces données revêt une importance sociétale. Par exemple: les données collectées lors de trajets en voiture permettent aujourd’hui d’éviter les em-bouteillages ou de partager son véhicule. Un autre exemple: dans un avenir proche, les données collectées à l’aide de gyroscopes capables de détecter les trous dans la chaussée permettront de mieux planifier les interventions de maintenance à effectuer sur le réseau routier. Les domaines d’applications sont par conséquent nombreux, de même que les problèmes qui y sont associés. Les articles qui composent cette thèse traitent de systèmes qui partagent deux caractéristiques clés: un contexte spatiotemporel et une architecture décentralisée. De plus, les systèmes décrits dans ces articles s’articulent autours de trois axes temporels: le présent, le passé, et le futur. Les systèmes axés sur le présent permettent à un très grand nombre d’objets connectés de communiquer en fonction d’un contexte spatial avec des temps de réponses proche du temps réel. Nos contributions dans ce domaine permettent à ce type de système décentralisé de s’adapter au volume de donnée à traiter en s’étendant sur du matériel bon marché. Les systèmes axés sur le passé ont pour but de faciliter l’accès a de très grands volumes données spatiotemporelles collectées par des objets connectés. En d’autres termes, il s’agit d’indexer des trajectoires et d’exploiter ces indexes. Nos contributions dans ce domaine permettent de traiter des jeux de trajectoires particulièrement denses, ce qui n’avait pas été fait auparavant. Enfin, les systèmes axés sur le futur utilisent les trajectoires passées pour prédire les trajectoires que des objets connectés suivront dans l’avenir. Nos contributions permettent de prédire les trajectoires suivies par des objets connectés avec une granularité jusque là inégalée. Bien qu’impliquant des domaines différents, ces contributions s’articulent autour de dénominateurs communs des systèmes sous-jacents, ouvrant la possibilité de pouvoir traiter ces problèmes avec plus de généricité dans un avenir proche. -- During the past four decades, due to miniaturization computing devices have become ubiquitous and pervasive. Today, the number of objects connected to the Internet is in- creasing at a rapid pace and this trend does not seem to be slowing down. These objects, which can be smartphones, vehicles, or any kind of sensors, generate large amounts of data that are almost always associated with a spatio-temporal context. The amount of this data is often so large that their processing requires the creation of a distributed system, which involves the cooperation of several computers. The ability to process these data is important for society. For example: the data collected during car journeys already makes it possible to avoid traffic jams or to know about the need to organize a carpool. Another example: in the near future, the maintenance interventions to be carried out on the road network will be planned with data collected using gyroscopes that detect potholes. The application domains are therefore numerous, as are the prob- lems associated with them. The articles that make up this thesis deal with systems that share two key characteristics: a spatio-temporal context and a decentralized architec- ture. In addition, the systems described in these articles revolve around three temporal perspectives: the present, the past, and the future. Systems associated with the present perspective enable a very large number of connected objects to communicate in near real-time, according to a spatial context. Our contributions in this area enable this type of decentralized system to be scaled-out on commodity hardware, i.e., to adapt as the volume of data that arrives in the system increases. Systems associated with the past perspective, often referred to as trajectory indexes, are intended for the access to the large volume of spatio-temporal data collected by connected objects. Our contributions in this area makes it possible to handle particularly dense trajectory datasets, a problem that has not been addressed previously. Finally, systems associated with the future per- spective rely on past trajectories to predict the trajectories that the connected objects will follow. Our contributions predict the trajectories followed by connected objects with a previously unmet granularity. Although involving different domains, these con- tributions are structured around the common denominators of the underlying systems, which opens the possibility of being able to deal with these problems more generically in the near future

SchNet: A continuous-filter convolutional neural network for modeling quantum interactions

Deep learning has the potential to revolutionize quantum chemistry as it is ideally suited to learn representations for structured data and speed up the exploration of chemical space. While convolutional neural networks have proven to be the first choice for images, audio and video data, the atoms in molecules are not restricted to a grid. Instead, their precise locations contain essential physical information, that would get lost if discretized. Thus, we propose to use continuous-filter convolutional layers to be able to model local correlations without requiring the data to lie on a grid. We apply those layers in SchNet: a novel deep learning architecture modeling quantum interactions in molecules. We obtain a joint model for the total energy and interatomic forces that follows fundamental quantum-chemical principles. This includes rotationally invariant energy predictions and a smooth, differentiable potential energy surface. Our architecture achieves state-of-the-art performance for benchmarks of equilibrium molecules and molecular dynamics trajectories. Finally, we introduce a more challenging benchmark with chemical and structural variations that suggests the path for further work