Static Analysis of Programs with Imprecise Probabilistic Inputs

International audienceHaving a precise yet sound abstraction of the inputs of numerical programs is important to analyze their behavior. For many programs, these inputs are probabilistic, but the actual distribution used is only partially known. We present a static analysis framework for reasoning about programs with inputs given as imprecise probabilities: we define a collecting semantics based on the notion of previsions and an abstract semantics based on an extension of Dempster-Shafer structures. We prove the correctness of our approach and show on some realistic examples the kind of invariants we are able to infer.Il est important de disposer d'une abstraction précise mais correcte des entrées d'un programme numérique pour analyser ses comportements. Pour de nombreux programmes, ces entrées sont probabilistes, mais la distribution réellement utilisée n'est connue que partiellement. Nous présentons un cadre d'analyse statique permettant le raisonnement sur des programmes dont les entrées sont données sous forme de probabilités imprécises: nous définissons une sémantique collectrice fondée sur la notion de prévisions et une sémantique abstraite fondée sur une extension des structures de Dempster-Shafer. Nous démontrons la correction de notre approche et montrons sur des exemples réalistes le genre d'invariants que nous sommes capables d'inférer

Quantitative Static Analysis of Communication Protocols using Abstract Markov Chains

International audienceIn this paper we present a static analysis of probabilistic programs to quantify their performance properties by taking into account both the stochastic aspects of the language and those related to the execution environment. More particularly, we are interested in the analysis of communication protocols in lossy networks and we aim at inferring statically parametric bounds of some important metrics such as the expectation of the throughput or the energy consumption. Our analysis is formalized within the theory of abstract interpretation and soundly takes all possible executions into account. We model the concrete executions as a set of Markov chains and we introduce a novel notion of abstract Markov chains that provides a finite and symbolic representation to over-approximate the (possi-bly unbounded) set of concrete behaviors. We show that our proposed formalism is expressive enough to handle both probabilistic and pure non-deterministic choices within the same semantics. Our analysis operates in two steps. The first step is a classic abstract interpretation of the source code, using stock numerical abstract domains and a specific automata domain, in order to extract the abstract Markov chain of the program. The second step extracts from this chain particular invari-ants about the stationary distribution and computes its symbolic bounds using a parametric Fourier-Motzkin elimination algorithm. We present a prototype implementation of the analysis and we discuss some preliminary experiments on a number of communication protocols. We compare our prototype to the state-of-the-art probabilistic model checker Prism and we highlight the advantages and shortcomings of both approaches

Computing DOI 10.1007/s00607-011-0182-8 A generalization of p-boxes to affine arithmetic

Abstract We often need to deal with information that contains both interval and probabilistic uncertainties. P-boxes and Dempster–Shafer structures are models that unify both kind of information, but they suffer from the main defect of intervals, the wrapping effect. We present here a new arithmetic that mixes, in a guaranteed manner, interval uncertainty with probabilities, while using some information about variable dependencies, hence limiting the loss from not accounting for correlations. This increases the precision of the result and decreases the computation time compared to standard p-box arithmetic