18,730 research outputs found
Is One Hyperparameter Optimizer Enough?
Hyperparameter tuning is the black art of automatically finding a good
combination of control parameters for a data miner. While widely applied in
empirical Software Engineering, there has not been much discussion on which
hyperparameter tuner is best for software analytics. To address this gap in the
literature, this paper applied a range of hyperparameter optimizers (grid
search, random search, differential evolution, and Bayesian optimization) to
defect prediction problem. Surprisingly, no hyperparameter optimizer was
observed to be `best' and, for one of the two evaluation measures studied here
(F-measure), hyperparameter optimization, in 50\% cases, was no better than
using default configurations.
We conclude that hyperparameter optimization is more nuanced than previously
believed. While such optimization can certainly lead to large improvements in
the performance of classifiers used in software analytics, it remains to be
seen which specific optimizers should be applied to a new dataset.Comment: 7 pages, 2 columns, accepted for SWAN1
Connecting Software Metrics across Versions to Predict Defects
Accurate software defect prediction could help software practitioners
allocate test resources to defect-prone modules effectively and efficiently. In
the last decades, much effort has been devoted to build accurate defect
prediction models, including developing quality defect predictors and modeling
techniques. However, current widely used defect predictors such as code metrics
and process metrics could not well describe how software modules change over
the project evolution, which we believe is important for defect prediction. In
order to deal with this problem, in this paper, we propose to use the
Historical Version Sequence of Metrics (HVSM) in continuous software versions
as defect predictors. Furthermore, we leverage Recurrent Neural Network (RNN),
a popular modeling technique, to take HVSM as the input to build software
prediction models. The experimental results show that, in most cases, the
proposed HVSM-based RNN model has a significantly better effort-aware ranking
effectiveness than the commonly used baseline models
DeepSoft: A vision for a deep model of software
Although software analytics has experienced rapid growth as a research area,
it has not yet reached its full potential for wide industrial adoption. Most of
the existing work in software analytics still relies heavily on costly manual
feature engineering processes, and they mainly address the traditional
classification problems, as opposed to predicting future events. We present a
vision for \emph{DeepSoft}, an \emph{end-to-end} generic framework for modeling
software and its development process to predict future risks and recommend
interventions. DeepSoft, partly inspired by human memory, is built upon the
powerful deep learning-based Long Short Term Memory architecture that is
capable of learning long-term temporal dependencies that occur in software
evolution. Such deep learned patterns of software can be used to address a
range of challenging problems such as code and task recommendation and
prediction. DeepSoft provides a new approach for research into modeling of
source code, risk prediction and mitigation, developer modeling, and
automatically generating code patches from bug reports.Comment: FSE 201
Learning from accidents : machine learning for safety at railway stations
In railway systems, station safety is a critical aspect of the overall structure, and yet, accidents at stations still occur. It is time to learn from these errors and improve conventional methods by utilizing the latest technology, such as machine learning (ML), to analyse accidents and enhance safety systems. ML has been employed in many fields, including engineering systems, and it interacts with us throughout our daily lives. Thus, we must consider the available technology in general and ML in particular in the context of safety
in the railway industry. This paper explores the employment of the decision tree (DT) method in safety classification and the analysis of accidents at railway stations to predict the traits of passengers affected by accidents. The critical contribution of this study is the presentation of ML and an explanation of how this technique is applied for ensuring safety, utilizing automated processes, and gaining benefits from this powerful technology. To apply and explore this method, a case study has been selected that focuses on the fatalities caused by accidents at railway stations. An analysis of some of these fatal accidents as reported by the Rail Safety and Standards Board (RSSB) is performed and presented in this paper to provide a broader summary of the application of supervised ML for improving safety at railway stations. Finally, this research shows the vast potential of the innovative application of ML in safety analysis for the railway industry
Is "Better Data" Better than "Better Data Miners"? (On the Benefits of Tuning SMOTE for Defect Prediction)
We report and fix an important systematic error in prior studies that ranked
classifiers for software analytics. Those studies did not (a) assess
classifiers on multiple criteria and they did not (b) study how variations in
the data affect the results. Hence, this paper applies (a) multi-criteria tests
while (b) fixing the weaker regions of the training data (using SMOTUNED, which
is a self-tuning version of SMOTE). This approach leads to dramatically large
increases in software defect predictions. When applied in a 5*5
cross-validation study for 3,681 JAVA classes (containing over a million lines
of code) from open source systems, SMOTUNED increased AUC and recall by 60% and
20% respectively. These improvements are independent of the classifier used to
predict for quality. Same kind of pattern (improvement) was observed when a
comparative analysis of SMOTE and SMOTUNED was done against the most recent
class imbalance technique. In conclusion, for software analytic tasks like
defect prediction, (1) data pre-processing can be more important than
classifier choice, (2) ranking studies are incomplete without such
pre-processing, and (3) SMOTUNED is a promising candidate for pre-processing.Comment: 10 pages + 2 references. Accepted to International Conference of
Software Engineering (ICSE), 201
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