856 research outputs found
Minimum Description Length Induction, Bayesianism, and Kolmogorov Complexity
The relationship between the Bayesian approach and the minimum description
length approach is established. We sharpen and clarify the general modeling
principles MDL and MML, abstracted as the ideal MDL principle and defined from
Bayes's rule by means of Kolmogorov complexity. The basic condition under which
the ideal principle should be applied is encapsulated as the Fundamental
Inequality, which in broad terms states that the principle is valid when the
data are random, relative to every contemplated hypothesis and also these
hypotheses are random relative to the (universal) prior. Basically, the ideal
principle states that the prior probability associated with the hypothesis
should be given by the algorithmic universal probability, and the sum of the
log universal probability of the model plus the log of the probability of the
data given the model should be minimized. If we restrict the model class to the
finite sets then application of the ideal principle turns into Kolmogorov's
minimal sufficient statistic. In general we show that data compression is
almost always the best strategy, both in hypothesis identification and
prediction.Comment: 35 pages, Latex. Submitted IEEE Trans. Inform. Theor
Implementation of the Combined--Nonlinear Condensation Transformation
We discuss several applications of the recently proposed combined
nonlinear-condensation transformation (CNCT) for the evaluation of slowly
convergent, nonalternating series. These include certain statistical
distributions which are of importance in linguistics, statistical-mechanics
theory, and biophysics (statistical analysis of DNA sequences). We also discuss
applications of the transformation in experimental mathematics, and we briefly
expand on further applications in theoretical physics. Finally, we discuss a
related Mathematica program for the computation of Lerch's transcendent.Comment: 23 pages, 1 table, 1 figure (Comput. Phys. Commun., in press
Applying MDL to Learning Best Model Granularity
The Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle is solidly based on a provably
ideal method of inference using Kolmogorov complexity. We test how the theory
behaves in practice on a general problem in model selection: that of learning
the best model granularity. The performance of a model depends critically on
the granularity, for example the choice of precision of the parameters. Too
high precision generally involves modeling of accidental noise and too low
precision may lead to confusion of models that should be distinguished. This
precision is often determined ad hoc. In MDL the best model is the one that
most compresses a two-part code of the data set: this embodies ``Occam's
Razor.'' In two quite different experimental settings the theoretical value
determined using MDL coincides with the best value found experimentally. In the
first experiment the task is to recognize isolated handwritten characters in
one subject's handwriting, irrespective of size and orientation. Based on a new
modification of elastic matching, using multiple prototypes per character, the
optimal prediction rate is predicted for the learned parameter (length of
sampling interval) considered most likely by MDL, which is shown to coincide
with the best value found experimentally. In the second experiment the task is
to model a robot arm with two degrees of freedom using a three layer
feed-forward neural network where we need to determine the number of nodes in
the hidden layer giving best modeling performance. The optimal model (the one
that extrapolizes best on unseen examples) is predicted for the number of nodes
in the hidden layer considered most likely by MDL, which again is found to
coincide with the best value found experimentally.Comment: LaTeX, 32 pages, 5 figures. Artificial Intelligence journal, To
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