Visualizing Trials with Large DNA Databases

poster abstractAbstract: This essay seeks to help the reader understand the use of probability theory in assessing DNA evidence drawn from large databases. I first guide the reader through visualizing a slightly simpler paradox of probability theory, the rare disease test. I then offer a visual understanding of the Puckett setting: DNA evidence from a large database identifies an individual but a deceased prime suspect exists whose DNA is not available. Effectively, the court needs to ascertain the probability that the third of three possible worlds has materialized. In the first possible world, the prime suspect, Baker, is the perpetrator and the court observes a false positive. The second possible world has an unknown perpetrator and again the court observes a false positive. The third world has Puckett as the perpetrator and the court observes a true positive. It turns out that the resulting posterior probabilities are strongly but not overwhelmingly in favor of the third possibility, true guilt

The Paradoxical Effects of Blockchain Technology on Social Networking Practices

Blockchain technology is a promising, yet not well understood, enabler of large-scale societal and economic change. For instance, blockchain makes it possible for users to securely and profitably share content on social media platforms. In this study, w

Is Classical Mathematics Appropriate for Theory of Computation?

Throughout this paper, we are trying to show how and why our Mathematical frame-work seems inappropriate to solve problems in Theory of Computation. More exactly, the concept of turning back in time in paradoxes causes inconsistency in modeling of the concept of Time in some semantic situations. As we see in the first chapter, by introducing a version of “Unexpected Hanging Paradox”,first we attempt to open a new explanation for some paradoxes. In the second step, by applying this paradox, it is demonstrated that any formalized system for the Theory of Computation based on Classical Logic and Turing Model of Computation leads us to a contradiction. We conclude that our mathematical frame work is inappropriate for Theory of Computation. Furthermore, the result provides us a reason that many problems in Complexity Theory resist to be solved.(This work is completed in 2017 -5- 2, it is in vixra in 2017-5-14, presented in Unilog 2018, Vichy

From eco-efficiency to eco-effectiveness: The policy-performance paradox

The internalisation level of sustainability issues varies among topics and among countries. Companies give up less internalised issues for more internalised ones. Discrepancies between legal, market and cultural internalisation lead to different escape strategies: firms develop a high level environmental management system and they have nice sustainability policy and reports. These achievements cover the fact that their total emission keeps increasing and they do not proceed in solving the most crucial global community or corporate governance problems. ‘Escaper’ firms are often qualified as ‘leading’ ones, as a current stream of research is also ‘escapist’: it puts too much emphasis on sustainability efforts as compared to sustainability performance. Genuine strategies focus on hardcore sustainability issues and absolute effects rather than on issues easily solved and having high PR effects. They allow for growth in innovative firms, if they crowd out less efficient or more polluting ones. They produce positive environmental value added when sector average eco-efficiency is used as benchmark and do not accelerate market expansion and consumerism