Shipping business risk modeling in the function of maritime market cycle forecasting

Abstract

Pomorsko tržište je definirano kao složen sustav odnosa ponude i potražnje brodskog prostora, rabljenih brodova, novih brodova te dotrajalih brodova za staro željezo. Cijene tržišta su snažno povezane sa vozarinama kao cijenama prijevozne usluge i, stoga je cikličnost vozarinskih stavova svojstvena i tržištu samih brodova. Zaključak koji se sam po sebi javlja jest taj da je vrijeme ulaganja ključno te je jedan od najvažnijih faktora poslovnog uspjeha.The maritime market is defined as a complex system of relations between the supply and demand of ship space, used ships, new ships, and scrapped ships for scrap metal. Market prices are strongly related to freight rates as transport service prices and, therefore, the cyclical nature of freight rates is also inherent in the ship market itself. The conclusion that emerges in itself is that investment time is crucial, and is one of the most important factors of business success