Portfolio-aspects in real options management

Real options theory applies techniques known from finance theory to the valuation of capital investments. The present paper investigates further into this analogy, considering the case of a portfolio of real options. An implementation of real option models in practice will mostly be concerned with a portfolio of real options, so the analysis of portfolio aspects is of both academic and practical interest. Is a portfolio of real options special? In order to shed some light on this question, the present paper will outline the relevant features of a portfolio of real options. It will show that the analogy to financial options remains great if compound option models are applied. As a result, a portfolio of real options, and therefore the firm as such, generally is to be understood as one single compound, real option

Real Options at Bell Canada

In this report, we first develop a simplified example that illustrates the importance of considering the option ``waiting to invest'' when valuing an investment. This is followed by a short description of other options that could be embedded in an investment opportunity. In order to stress the importance of the real option mind-set in strategic planning and competitive assessment, we present three examples of possible applications of real options for evaluating investments at Bell Canada. A brief discussion follows on the importance of a real options mind-set in the telecommunications regulation context. Finally we conclude by underlining the importance of an efficient information gathering and processing framework to implement a real options framework. Two technical appendices provide more details on both the modeling and the solving techniques that are commonly used to implement real options. The complete version of this publication is confidential. Nous débutons ce rapport en développant un exemple simplifié qui illustre l'importance de valoriser l'option de retarder un investissement. Une courte description des différentes options susceptibles d'être incorporées dans un projet d'investissement est ensuite donnée. Pour illustrer l'importance d'adopter un cadre d'analyse basé sur la méthodologie des options réelles pour la planification stratégique et l'analyse concurrentielle, nous présentons trois applications possibles d'options réelles dans l'évaluation d'investissements chez Bell Canada. La nécessité de l'adoption d'un tel cadre d'analyse dans le contexte de la réglementation des télécommunications fait ensuite l'objet d'une brève discussion. Nous terminons en soulignant que le succès de la mise en pratique d'un cadre «options réelles» dépend essentiellement d'un système efficace de collecte et de traitement de l'information. Deux appendices techniques fournissent plus de détails sur les techniques de modélisation et de solution qui sont couramment utilisées pour des problèmes d'options réelles. La version complète de cette publication est confidentielle.Real options, option value, volatility, risk, irreversibility, telecommunications, Options réelles, valeur d'option, volatilité, risque, irréversibilité, télécommunications

Real Options Valuation : an application to the portuguese real estate market

The contribution of real options analysis on the valuation of Portuguese undeveloped building sites is significant on the decision making regarding the apartment-buildings construction. Using the options model developed by Quigg (1993), and including the necessary readjustments for the Portuguese market, it was found that the scale price elasticity parameter and construction expenditures’ elasticity of scale parameter had a strong impact on building sites’ values. The empirical analysis revealed that the option to defer adds value to undeveloped building sites’ valuations. This fact cannot be ignored when deciding upon an investment’s implementation.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Applying the real options theory for identifying flexibility in project delivery of health organisations

Healthcare is influenced by many uncertainties. Uncertainties affecting health organisations also influence real estate since this facilitates the primary process. Within real estate management, decisions have to be made today while there is little knowledge about the future. Therefore, flexibility is needed in the process of designing, constructing and operating real estate. A case study has been done to gain insight about how health organisations deal with flexibility. The real options approach is used to show what types of flexibility have been used, and that uncertainty can also generate opportunities. Of the five types of flexibility, only in two types real options were identified in the case study. These were stage, abandon, defer and scale within process flexibility and the options growth and switch within product flexibility. This is partly a result of the fact that the project in the case study is not further advanced than the preliminary design phase. Nevertheless it can be concluded that project managers already act as using real options. Consciously using this concept might create even more real options to be used in project management

Real Options Theory for Law Maker.

In rapidly changing areas of law, the writing of rules is a challenging issue for lawmakers. Obsolescence impede law to capture the objective of an underlying policy. The legislator, the judge and the regulator are considered as producers of law who have to decide whether or not to invest in a particular type of law. In order to get more information on the context, lawmakers may also choose to wait before investing in law. Using the real options framework, we show that the degree of precision should be considered as a degree of flexibility of legal rules and we describe how it affects the value of the investment. We then analyze the trade-off between waiting and reducing the degree of precision and we show that the degree of precision of legal rules positively affects the value of waiting in lawmaking.Obsolescence, Rulemaking, Degree of Precision, Real Options.

Sensemaking of real estate management using real options and scenario planning

Healthcare across the world is facing many uncertainties. In Dutch healthcare, a recent policy change forces health organisations to deal more efficiently with real estate which makes flexibility more necessary. In order to support real estate managers in decision making in flexibility, we developed a method combining scenario planning and real options. This method is aimed to enhance sensemaking on both the consequences of future uncertainties on the organisation which influences real estate management, and on the types of flexibility needed to enable adapting to these changes. In this way, better real estate strategies can be developed. Through testing the method in one pilot case, this study shows sensemaking had taken place. Based on these results, propositions are developed focusing on the relation between real options, backcasting scenario planning and sensemaking