THE DESIGN AND PRICING OF FIXED AND MOVING WINDOW CONTRACTS: AN APPLICATION OF ASIAN-BASKET OPTION PRICING METHODS TO THE HOG FINISHING SECTOR

Asian-Basket type moving window contracts are an increasingly used risk management tool in US hog sector. The moving window contract is decomposed into a portfolio of a long Asian-Basket put and a short Asian-Basket call option. A projected breakeven price is used to determine the floor price, and then Monte Carlo simulation methods are used to price both a moving and a fixed window contract. These methods provide unbiased pricing of fixed and moving window hog finishing contracts of one-year duration.Livestock Production/Industries,

On the Window Size for Classification in Changing Environments

Classification in changing environments (commonly known as concept drift) requires adaptation of the classifier to accommodate the changes. One approach is to keep a moving window on the streaming data and constantly update the classifier on it. Here we consider an abrupt change scenario where one set of probability distributions of the classes is instantly replaced with another. For a fixed ‘transition period’ around the change, we derive a generic relationship between the size of the moving window and the classification error rate. We derive expressions for the error in the transition period and for the optimal window size for the case of two Gaussian classes where the concept change is a geometrical displacement of the whole class configuration in the space. A simple window resize strategy based on the derived relationship is proposed and compared with fixed-size windows on a real benchmark data set data set (Electricity Market)

Dynamics in systematic liquidity

We develop the principal component analysis (PCA) approach to systematic liquidity measurement by introducing moving and expanding estimation windows. We evaluate these methods along with traditional estimation techniques (full sample PCA and market average) in terms of ability to explain (1) cross-sectional stock liquidity and (2) cross-sectional stock returns. For several traditional liquidity measures our results suggest an expanding window specification for systematic liquidity estimation. However, for price impact liquidity measures we find support for a moving window specification. The market average proxy of systematic liquidity produces the same degree of commonality, but does not have the same ability to explain stock returns as the PCA-based estimates.Liquidity (Economics)

Simple and effective method to lock buoy position to ocean currents

Window-shade drogue, used with drifting buoys to keep them moving with current at speed as close to that of current as possible, has drag coefficient of 1.93 compared to maximum of 1.52 for previous drogues. It is remarkably simple to construct, use, and store