Knowledge-based FIS and ANFIS models development and comparison for residential real estate valuation

There has been an increasing concern on the development of alternative approaches to overcome the problems and deficiencies that occur during the application of real-estate valuation methods. This study was established to investigate the usability of the expert knowledge based fuzzy logic methodology in determining real-estates values. In addition, valuation with the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) method provided model comparison. Samples were administered a questionnaire for the parameters planned for these models regarding the parameters that affect real estate values. To make value estimations for the Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) model by using the parameters obtained from the questionnaire analyses, the criteria that produced the best results were acquired from the various criteria alternatives. An algorithm was created and the valuation process for real estate was performed using the FIS in Konya/Turkey. As a result of poll studies the area, age, floor conditions, physical properties and location of the real-estate property were considered as the input variables and the market value as the output variable. The memberships were established with poll analysis and were rule based on expert knowledge. The model structure was formed by using the Mamdani structure in the MATLAB fuzzy toolbox. Model prediction performance was evaluated statistically with the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and a high accuracy of the model results to the market values indicated the reliability of the established model for residential real-estate valuation

Valuations of building plots using the AHP method

Predicting the value of real estate is a complex endeavor due to the abundance of subjective criteria. Objective consideration of the value-affecting criteria in real estate and regulation of decision support systems will enable the acquisition of more accurate results. In this study, analytic hierarchy process (AHP), a type of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), is used to reproduce coefficients that serve as the basis for real estate valuation. A region in the Selcuklu district of Konya, Turkey was used to test the model created by AHP. Weighted criteria describing areas subjected to purchase/sale were generated by the AHP method and then validated. Additionally, a valuation model was created by the multiple regression analysis (MRA) method for comparison and performance analyses. Weighted values were transformed from AHP points and acquired from the MRA method and then joined with geographic information systems (GIS). Value maps of the study area and purchase/sale values were generated according to these newly created models. The performance comparison and value maps revealed that the AHP method is more successful than the MRA method. This study addressed the complexity of criteria issue by using the original hierarchical structure of AHP and thus contributes to the world economy by enabling the generation of more accurate estimations