Density scatter plot of the estimated joint probability distribution .

<p> is data from the virulent strain.</p

The observed number of cells with bacteria (blue) compared with 95% credibility intervals (red) predicted by Model 3 with respect to the virulent strain.

<p>The observed number of cells with bacteria (blue) compared with 95% credibility intervals (red) predicted by Model 3 with respect to the virulent strain.</p

Estimates of the marginal probability distributions and .

<p> is data from the virulent strain.</p

Estimates of the marginal probability distributions and .

<p> is data from the attenuated strain.</p

estimates for all models.

<p> estimates for all models.</p

The observed number of cells with bacteria (blue) compared with 95% credibility intervals (red) predicted by Model 7 with respect to the attenuated strain.

<p>The observed number of cells with bacteria (blue) compared with 95% credibility intervals (red) predicted by Model 7 with respect to the attenuated strain.</p

Algorithm 2: An implementation of Algorithm 1 in which practical adjustments are included.

<p>Algorithm 2: An implementation of Algorithm 1 in which practical adjustments are included.</p

Algorithm 1: The nested sampling algorithm.

<p>Algorithm 1: The nested sampling algorithm.</p

Median estimated for Models 1 to 6.

<p>The highest model evidence (bold) and second highest model evidence (italic) models are highlighted.</p

The observed number of cells with bacteria (blue) compared with 95% credibility intervals (red) predicted by Model 11 with respect to the attenuated strain.

<p>The observed number of cells with bacteria (blue) compared with 95% credibility intervals (red) predicted by Model 11 with respect to the attenuated strain.</p