78 research outputs found

    The Weight of Economic Growth and Urbanization on Electricity Demand in UAE

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    This study aims to explore the relationship between economic growth, urbanization, financial development and electricity consumption in case of United Arab Emirates. The study covers the time period of 1975-2011. We have applied the ARDL bounds testing to examine long run relationship between the variables in the presence of structural breaks. The VECM Granger causality is applied to investigate the direction of causal relationship between the variables. Our empirical exercise found cointegration between the series in case of United Arab Emirates. Further, results reveal that inverted U-shaped relationship is found between economic growth and electricity consumption i.e. economic growth raises electricity consumption initially and declines it after a threshold level of income per capita. Financial development adds in electricity consumption. The relationship between urbanization and electricity consumption is also inverted U-shaped. This implies that urbanization increases electricity consumption initially and after a threshold level of urbanization, electricity demand falls. The causality analysis finds feedback hypothesis between economic growth and electricity consumption i.e. economic growth and electricity consumption are interdependent. The bidirectional causality is found between financial development and electricity consumption. Economic growth and urbanization Granger cause each other. The feedback hypothesis is also found between urbanization and financial development, financial development and economic growth and same is true for electricity consumption and urbanization.

    Financial deepening and economic growth in Gulf Cooperation Council countries

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    The aim of this paper is to investigate the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in GCC countries for the period 1980-2010. To this end we use a multivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) framework by including investment as an additional variable to the finance and growth nexus. Our empirical analysis is based on a modified version of the Granger non-causality test by applying the Toda and Yamamoto procedure. The overall empirical results reveal that financial development contributes significantly to economic growth in the GCC context. Our results could be of great interest for policymakers since the financial sector could play a crucial role in lowering the dependence of the governments to oil revenues and could contribute significantly to spur economic growth

    Does Financial Development Induce Economic Growth in UAE? The Role of Capitalization and Foreign Direct Investment

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    This paper examines the association between financial progress and economic growth in the United Arab Emirates over the period 1975Q1-2012Q4. We have employed Bayer-Hanck (2013) combined non-cointegration to test the long run relationship. Our analysis revealed the existence of cointegration between financial development and economic growth. It also revealed that capitalization and FDI stimulate economic growth. The findings suggest that proper use of FDI and financial policy redesign will sustain economic growth in long term. Keywords: Financial Development, FDI, Capital investment, Growth, UAE. JEL Classifications: E22, C32, F43, G18, G2

    Are Investment and Saving Cointegrated Evidence From Middle East and North African Countries

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    The aim of this paper is to empirically examine the relationship between saving and investment for 6 Middle East and North African Countries for the period 1980-2008. To this end, we use panel cointegration analysis and Error Correction Model techniques. The long run estimation reveals causality between investment and saving for the entire sample. The Granger causality tests confirm this result and validate the presence of bidirectional causal relationship between investment and saving. However, the short run estimation shows no causality between the two variables for the entire sample. At the individual level, saving Granger cause investment for Bahrain and Saudi Arabia only

    Error-correction based panel estimates of the relationship between CO2 emissions, energy usage and output in Gulf Cooperation Council countries

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    This study examines the causal relationship between carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and real output within a panel vector error correction model for six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries namely Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and United Arab Emirates over the period 1980–2009. In the long-run, there is a dynamic relationship between carbon emissions and income, which confirms the presence of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) for GCC countries. The short-run dynamics results reveal a bi-directional causality between carbon and energy usage but reject the existence of EKC

    Natural resource rents, fiscal policy and economic growth in Algeria

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    The aim of this paper is to examine the dynamic relationship between natural resource rents, government spending, government revenues and economic growth in Algeria during the period 1980-2011. The empirical results reveal a bidirectional causal relationship between economic growth and natural resource rents and another bidirectional relationship between total revenues and naturel resource revenues. We also find no cointegration between government spending and government revenues

    Short-run and Long-run causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in a small open economy

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    The aim of this paper is to investigate the causal relationship between electricity consumption and GDP growth for the kingdom of Bahrain during the period 1980–2008. By performing an error-correction model, our results reveal that electricity consumption and GDP are cointegrated. The granger causality tests indicate bi-directional relationship between electricity consumption and GDP growth in the long-run while results of the short-run reveal unidirectional causality relationship between the two variables

    Are Investment and Saving Cointegrated Evidence From Middle East and North African Countries

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    The aim of this paper is to empirically examine the relationship between saving and investment for 6 Middle East and North African Countries for the period 1980-2008. To this end, we use panel cointegration analysis and Error Correction Model techniques. The long run estimation reveals causality between investment and saving for the entire sample. The Granger causality tests confirm this result and validate the presence of bidirectional causal relationship between investment and saving. However, the short run estimation shows no causality between the two variables for the entire sample. At the individual level, saving Granger cause investment for Bahrain and Saudi Arabia only

    Modeling causality between Electricity consumption and Economic Growth in BIICS Countries

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    This paper tests the causal relationship between electricity consumption per capita and gross domestic product (GDP) per capita for Brazil, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa for the period 1971–2009. To reach this goal, we use panel cointegration analysis and Granger causality tests. Our results reveal that electricity consumption and GDP are cointegrated and the granger causality tests indicate a long-run relationship between electricity consumption and GDP growth for all countries except for South Africa. The short-run estimations indicate that GDP granger cause electricity consumption but not the reverse; hence the existence of unidirectional short-run causality relationship the two variables
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