Simulation of variability in the tropical Western Indian Ocean

Includes bibliographical references.The oceanic circulation and properties in the Tanzanian shelf region in the tropical western Indian Ocean have been studied in this thesis using a regional ocean model. The study investigated the influences of the Northeast Madagascar Current (NEMC) in the Tanzanian shelf waters at the annual cycle. Furthermore, the thesis examined the interannual variability of the sea surface temperature (SST) in the Tanzanian shelf region, and compares it with that offshore or with subsurface temperature. At the annual cycle, the westward-flowing NEMC advects relatively warm and fresh waters from the north of Madagascar towards the Tanzanian shelf region by interrupting the upwelled water from the Seychelles-Chagos ridge. At interannual timescales, the weakest interannual SST variations, which lie over the weak subsurface waters variations, occur in the coastal waters off Tanzania, where its variance is shared with waters to the north of Madagascar. Such SST variations are dominated by variability at about five year periods. The strongest interannual SST variations, which lie over the strongest subsurface temperature variations, occur offshore, being dominated by two periods, one at about 2.7 and the other near five years. The interannual variability of the region seems to be linked to El Niño- Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events, which induce changes in the thermocline and surface forcing in the region. Local surface heat flux exchanges driven by the anomalous shortwave radiation dominate the weakest interannual SST variability in the Tanzanian shelf region, with some contribution by the advection of heat anomalies from the NEMC. Further offshore, the strongest interannual variability of the SST is dominated by the thermocline variations induced by local Ekman pumping from local wind stress curl and by remote forcing from large-scale climate modes.

Design of Land Administration and Title Registration Model Based on Blockchain Technology

Land administration and title registration system is the system for storing land title information and managing transactions involving land titles. Due to the sensitivity of land issues, land administration and title registration system should be strong to avoid any document forgery, available all the time, and take a short time to complete tasks. Thus, this study aims at designing a model for such system based on blockchain technology. The proposed model is designed using UML diagrams and then tested for verification using statistical usage models (Markov chains). The proposed model integrates the Integrated Land Management Information System (ILMIS) with factom and bitcoin blockchains which enables encryption of information from ILMIS to get the fingerprint information of each land title and store it to the blockchains. The model further encrypts the land information from ILMIS when needed and then compare it with fingerprints from blockchains for verification. Such implementation of the proposed model will help ILMIS to have the capability of providing tamper proof for stored data, providing the self-notarization mechanism, and availability of evidence for the land title from distributed databases. Furthermore, the society is expected to benefit from this study as the time and cost for registering land title will decrease and the possibilities of a piece of land having more than one owner will not be there. Keywords: Blockchain, Bitcoin Blockchain, Factom Blockchain, Land Management System, Model Design.

A comparative study of ocean surface interannual variability in Northern Tanzania and the Northern Kenya Bank

The livelihoods of most residents of Tanga (Northern Tanzania) and Malindi (Northern Kenya), rely strongly on fishing activities in the East African shelf region. Thus, understanding variations in sea surface temperature (SST) and its related parameters such as thermocline depths and upper ocean circulation are crucial. This study applies a regional model to understand interannual spatial relationships between ocean circulation and SST off Northern Tanzania and on the Northern Kenya Bank. The results indicate slight differences in variations off the Northern Tanzanian shelf region and the Northern Kenya Bank. Such small variations might have local impacts on the human population through influencing primary productivity and fisheries. The coastal waters off Malindi indicate stronger variations, particularly in 1997 (cold SST) and 1998 (warm SST), than those off Tanga region. The SST anomalies seem to be associated with thermocline and sea surface height (SSH) off Malindi, while off Tanga they relate only to SSH. This information provides further understanding of parameters that may affect fishing activities in these regions and can be used for planning and management processes

Biophysical modelling of coastal upwelling variability and circulation along the Tanzanian and Kenyan coasts

Ocean circulation, upwelling phenomena and chlorophyll-a concentrations were investigated within the framework of numerical model simulations with 1/12° nested horizontal grid-size, in the tropical western Indian Ocean, along the coasts of Tanzania and Kenya. Ekman driven upwelling exhibited high levels of spatial and temporal variability in the region, characterized by a more vigorous occurrence/intensification during the Northeast than the Southwest Monsoon season. A similar trend was observed for chlorophyll-a distribution, but with an additional strong contribution during the inter-monsoon period from March to April. Trend analysis of a SST-derived coastal upwelling index (CUI) computed over the Pemba Channel and offshore of the East African Coastal Current (EACC), for 24 years (1990 - 2013), revealed a general linear relation of the form CUI(yr) = 2.4x10-7yr – 285, with a steady small annual increase of the upwelling phenomena by 0.0024/year ≃ 4% during the whole period of the simulation, which could be attributed to documented increasing trends of wind intensity and water volume transport in the region. The CUI exhibited the two most dominant peaks of variabilities on the range of annual and semi-annual timescales. The wind-stress southward component and the easting/westing veering of the northward EACC at 6°S revealed that these parameters were moderate and significantly correlated with the CUI (r = - 0.53 and 0.52, p<0.05) respectively, further suggesting its intensification during the Northeast Monsoon season