34 research outputs found

    Transport demand evolution in Europe - factors of change, scenarios and challenges

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    In the transport sector, where change comes with inertia and investments are made with a long term perspective, decision makers need to consider how the future may look like in the very long term. The work presented in this paper is a scenario analysis focusing on the evolution of transport demand towards 2050, aiming to identify related challenges for European industrial and policy players. It follows up on the work of other recent attempts to study the future of transport from a European perspective, integrating findings from these studies, updating new trends and applying a specific scenario analysis methodology relying also on expert consultation. The diversity of the scenarios created unfolds aspects of the future transport system with rather different outcomes on issues like the volume of transport, travel motives, the prevalent spatial scales of transport and logistics, people’s preferences towards different transport attributes, the relevancy of the State versus the private initiative in transport production, the level of competition, or the relative importance of environment and resource scarcity in setting an agenda for innovation and regulations. Beyond the subsequent challenges and opportunities identified in this work, the scenarios developed may be a useful basis for individual actors of distinct backgrounds to build their own specific futures, supporting them in defining strategies for the future

    Vertical cable as a subsalt imaging tool

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    GHG Mitigation Strategy in the European Transport Sector

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    Transport accounts for roughly one quarter of all greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) in Europe. Transport is the only sector that has not reduced its GHG in recent years. To meet the European and global targets to reduce GHG in industrialized countries by 80 to 95% until 2050 compared with 1990 requires that the transport sector is put on a pathway to drastically reduce its emissions. The chapter demonstrates that with a combined R&D and transport policy strategy, reductions of 60 to 70% of GHG until 2050 will be achievable for the European transport sector. The analysis to develop the transport strategy combines an analysis of the innovation system of the transport sector with respect to developing GHG reduction technologies of all modes and a model-based quantitative scenario exercise to assess the transport, economic and environmental impact of the scenarios. We intend to support R&D for biofuels for air transport, and R&D for cross-modal transport

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