22,013 research outputs found

    California Voting and Suburbanization Patterns: Implications for Transit Policy, MTI Report 12-05

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    Public transit is an environmentally friendly transportation mode that usually focuses on transporting people within and to the city center. However, over the last 60 years, population and employment has been suburbanizing. As the median voter lives further from the city center, and thus enjoys fewer benefits from accessing public transit, does this reduce such a voter’s propensity to support public investment in public transit improvements? We analyze voting patterns on 20 transit-related ballot propositions from state-wide elections in California between 1990 and 2010. Controlling for demographic, socio-economic and political ideological factors, we focus on the role of suburbanization as a possible causal factor in determining public support for public transit investment. The results provide a rich picture of the attitudes towards transportation policy among California voters, and will help policy makers to better understand citizen preferences and to better predict how future trends will shift support towards or against transit. Finally, we suggest ways policy makers can use urban land markets to increase support for trans

    Proof of a conjecture of N. Konno for the 1D contact process

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    Consider the one-dimensional contact process. About ten years ago, N. Konno stated the conjecture that, for all positive integers n,mn,m, the upper invariant measure has the following property: Conditioned on the event that OO is infected, the events {\{All sites −n,...,−1-n,...,-1 are healthy}\} and {\{All sites 1,...,m1,...,m are healthy}\} are negatively correlated. We prove (a stronger version of) this conjecture, and explain that in some sense it is a dual version of the planar case of one of our results in \citeBHK.Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/074921706000000031 in the IMS Lecture Notes--Monograph Series (http://www.imstat.org/publications/lecnotes.htm) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
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