44 research outputs found

    Review on Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) approach in spatial analysis

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    In spatial analysis, it is important to identify the nature of the relationship that exists between variables. Normally, it is done by estimating parameters with observations which taken from different spatial units that across a study area where parameters are assumed to be constant across space. However, this is not so as the spatial non-stationarity is a condition in which a simple model cannot explain the relationship between some sets of variables. The nature of the model must alter over space to reflect the structure within the data. Non-stationarity means that the relationship between variables under study varies from one location to another depending on physical factors of the environment that are spatially autocorrelated. Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is a technique in which it applied to capture the variation by calibrating a multiple regression model, which allows different relationships to exist at different points in space. A robust algorithm has been successfully used in spatial analysis. GWR can theoretically integrate geographical location, altitude, and other factors for spatial analysis estimations, and reflects the non-stationary spatial relationship between these variables. The main goal of this study is to review the potential of the GWR in modelling the spatial relationship between variables either dependent or independent and its used as the spatial prediction models. Based on the application of GWR such as house property indicates that GWR is the best model in estimating the parameters. Hence, from the GWR model, the significance of the variation can also be tested

    Generalized linear models (GLMS) approach in modelling rainfall data over Johor and Kelantan area

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    Observations of rainfall data are always changing over time . With the concern over climate change , this study is done to demonstrate how Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) could be utilized to model daily rainfall amount over Johor and Kelantan areas. Hence, in modeling rainfall amount, Fourier series are used as the smoothing techn ique. This re earch concentrated on the daily rainfall series with the dura tion period of 1985 to 201 1 from three rainfall stations in Johor and another three in Kelantan area. The results indicated that the rainfall stations demonstrate different behaviours of rainfall patterns. One harmonic is sufficient to model the mean rainfall per rainy day at the stations that are located at the Johor area while four harmonics are best described the rainfall pattern at Kelantan area . Based on the resulting curve s with fitted smoothing parameters, a good summary of statistics of the six stations were obtained. The result s from the model will then be used to compare the rainfall patterns among the stations

    Temperature effect on HFMD transmission in Selangor, Malaysia

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    Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) has become a major concern for health authorities all over the world including Malaysia. In Malaysia, it has been reported that more than fifteen thousand people were affected by this disease in the year 2016 and it is suspected that climate variables play an important role in the incidence of HFMD. Previous studies showed that HFMD disease is associated with climatic factors such as temperature, humidity, and rainfall. Hence, this paper attempts to examine the pattern of HFMD and scrutinize the effect of temperature on HFMD in Selangor from the year 2010 to 2016. Correlation analysis is conducted to measure the relationship between HFMD incidence and temperature with a lag time effect. The generalized linear model (GLM) is then carried out to determine the influence of climate variables on HFMD disease in Selangor. Our findings discovered that the weekly mean temperature is significantly associated with HFMD incidence in Selangor. A comparison between models shows that HFMD with 2 weeks lag time mean temperature is the best-fitted model of HFMD in Selangor. This result helps to lay sound evidence for the implementation of strategies to reduce the effect of climate change especially temperature towards HFMD

    Keperluan intervensi kaunseling berasaskan pendekatan terapi bermain Adlerian terhadap kesejahteraan kendiri holistik kanak-kanak mangsa pengabaian: satu kajian kes

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    Pendekatan terapi bermain dalam intervensi kaunseling membantu kaunselor untuk berkomunikasi dengan klien yang sukar berkomunikasi secara lisan dalam sesi terutama klien kanak-kanak. Tujuan kajian ini adalah untuk meneroka pandangan kaunselor terhadap keperluan intervensi kaunseling berasaskan pendekatan terapi bermain dalam membantu kesejahteraan kendiri holistik kanak-kanak mangsa pengabaian. Reka bentuk kajian ini adalah kualitatif kajian kes. Peserta Kajian terdiri daripada sepuluh orang kaunselor yang dipilih melalui pensampelan bertujuan. Kriteria pemilihan peserta kajian adalah (i) kaunselor yang telah berkhidmat lebih daripada lima tahun, (ii) pengamal kreatif kaunseling terapi bermain dan (iii) mempunyai setting untuk melaksanakan terapi bermain. Analisis tematik telah digunakan untuk mendapatkan data perbincangan. Teknik pengumpulan data menggunakan kaedah temu bual mendalam secara separa berstruktur. Data yang diperoleh kemudian dianalisis kepada tema-tema menggunakan perisian Atlas.ti. Dapatan kajian mendapati terdapat keperluan intervensi kaunseling berasaskan pendekatan terapi bermain Adlerian. Pendekatan terapi bermain Adlerian membantu meningkatkan kesejahteraan holistik kanak-kanak mangsa pengabaian. Penggunaan alat-alat mainan sebagai medium komunikasi yang amat penting dalam sesi kaunseling bersama kanak-kanak. Selain itu, terdapat beberapa faktor lain yang penting bagi menentukan kejayaan intervensi adalah minat bertugas di setting kanak-kanak, memahami ciri-ciri psikologi kanak-kanak mangsa pengabaian dan kemahiran-kemahiran dalam melaksanakan terapi bermain. Dapatan kajian turut mencadangkan kit terapi bermain bagi kaunselor yang tidak mempunyai setting bilik terapi bermain yang mana kaunselor boleh membawa alat-alat mainan ke tempat intervensi. Dapatan ini dapat memberi cadangan kepada agensi yang menjalankan kaunseling terhadap kanak-kanak menggunakan pendekatan terapi bermain Adlerian dalam meningkatkan kesejahteraan kendiri holistik kanak-kanak mangsa pengabaian

    The influence of climate factors on hand-foot-mouth disease: a five-state study in Malaysia

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    Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) has become an important public health problem worldwide due to its tendency to cause outbreaks and human death. The outbreak of HFMD with clinical and fatal complications has been noticed in the Asia Pacific region since the late 1990s. The increasing evidence of climate change effect on HFMD has motivated the need for further investigations. Numerous previous studies conducted in several countries have established a significant association between climate factors and HFMD. However, there are currently only a few studies in Malaysia addressing these issues. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the link between climate factors and the occurrences of HFMD in five states representing each region of Malaysia by using a generalized linear model approach. The weekly HFMD cases and four climate variables, including temperature, humidity, rainfall, and wind speed, were examined. The findings indicate that climate variables significantly influence HFMD in Malaysia; however, it varies between states as different states experience different climates. Additionally, the results revealed that humidity and temperature were the primary climate factors affecting the incidence of HFMD in Malaysia. This study could guide policymakers, health agencies, and local communities in determining the most effective prevention and control strategies

    Exponential growth model and stochastic population models: a comparison via goat population data

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    A population dynamic model explains the changes of a population in the near future, given its current status and the environmental conditions that the population is exposed to. In modelling a population dynamic, deterministic model and stochastic models are used to describe and predict the observed population. For modelling population size, deterministic model may provide sufficient biological understanding about the system, but if the population numbers become small, then a stochastic model is necessary with certain conditions. In this study, both types of models such as exponential, discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC), continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) and stochastic differential equation (SDE) are applied to goat population data of small size. Results from the simulations of stochastic realizations as well as deterministic counterparts are shown and tested by root mean square error (RMSE). The SDE model gives the smallest RMSE value which indicate the best model in fitting the data

    Composting of food waste and its product performance on ipomoea aquatica

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    Food wastage is a serious problem reported currently, and their disposal at landfills caused environmental problems such as leachate and odour. Apart from being disposed, FW is biodegradable, and hence it can be treated through composting. Composting involves the activity of microbes to convert the FW into compost which can be used as organic fertiliser. While most of the previous studies focused on one type of composting method, the comparison between two methods to determine the efficient one in producing good quality compost is scarce. Hence, this study aimed to compare the physicochemical parameters of FW in conventional and spinning barrel composting method. Physicochemical parameters (temperature, pH, moisture content except for C/N ratio) were measured every three days interval throughout 30 composting days and analysed using SPSS. For the results, only moisture content differed significantly between both methods in which spinning barrel reach an optimum range of 54.61% in the end. The FW compost from both composting methods was then combined for application on I. aquatica. Four fertilisation treatments; control, NPK fertiliser, FW compost and combination of NPK fertiliser + FW compost were used to measure and compare the growth of I. aquatica in determining the best fertilisation treatment by looking at growth parameters (height, number of leaves and leaf width). The growth parameters were measured weekly for five weeks, and data were analysed using SASS. It was found that the best fertilisation treatment was the combination of NPK fertiliser + FW compost that recorded a better growth of I. aquatica (significant tallest height, the highest number of leaves and largest leaf width) most probably due to the synergetic effect of nutrients released from both fertilisers. To conclude, apart from reducing the FW disposed at landfills, composting also produce a valuable end product known as compost which can be used in combined with NPK fertiliser to promote the planting of I. aquatica

    Fitting the statistical distribution for daily rainfall in Peninsular Malaysia based on AIC criterion

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    This paper presents several types of exponential distributions to describe rainfall distribution in Peninsular Malaysia over a multi-year period. The exponential, gamma, mixed exponential and mixed gamma distributions are compared to identify the optimal model for daily rainfall amount based on data recorded at rain gauges stations in Peninsular Malaysia. The models are evaluated based on the Akaike Information criterion (AIC). The log likelihood ratio test has been employed to determine whether the differences in AIC between tested models are statistically significant. However, this test is restricted by the need of the models to be nested. Since the gamma is not nested in the mixed exponential model so comparison has been done indirectly using the mixed gamma as the nested model. Overall, this study has shown that the mixture of two distributions is better than single distributions for describing the daily rainfall amount in Peninsular Malaysia based on the AIC criterion and their differences in AIC are statistically significan
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