37 research outputs found

    Investigation of Some Physical Properties of Accretion Induced Collapse in Producing Millisecond Pulsars

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    We investigate some physical characteristics of Millisecond Pulsar (MSP) such as magnetic fields, spin periods and masses, that are produced by Accretion Induced Collapse (AIC) of an accreting white dwarf (WD) in stellar binary systems. We also investigate the changes of these characteristics during the mass-transfer phase of the system in its way to become a MSP. Our approach allows us to follow the changes in magnetic fields and spin periods during the conversion of WDs to MSPs via AIC process. We focus our attention mainly on the massive binary WDs (M > 1.0Msun) forming cataclysmic variables, that could potentially evolve to reach Chandrasekhar limit, thereafter they collapse and become MSPs. Knowledge about these parameters might be useful for further modeling of the observed features of AIC.Comment: 9 Pages, 4 figure

    A multidisciplinary perspective on COVID-19 exit strategies

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    Lockdowns and associated measures imposed in response to the COVID-19 crisis inflict severe damage to society. Across the globe, scientists and policymakers study ways to lift measures while maintaining control of virus spread in circumstances that continuously change due to the evolution of new variants and increasing vaccination coverage. In this process, it has become clear that finding and analysing exit strategies, which are a key aspect of pandemic mitigation in all consecutive waves of infection, is not solely a matter of epidemiological modeling but has many different dimensions that need to be balanced and therefore requires input from many different disciplines. Here, we document an attempt to investigate exit strategies from a multidisciplinary perspective through the Science versus Corona project in the Netherlands. In this project, scientists and laypeople were challenged to submit (components of) exit strategies. A selection of these were implemented in a formal model, and we have evaluated the scenarios from a multidisciplinary perspective, utilizing expertise in epidemiology, economics, psychology, law, mathematics, and history. We argue for the integration of multidisciplinary perspectives on COVID-19 and more generally in pandemic mitigation, highlight open challenges, and present an agenda for further research into exit strategies and their assessmen

    Modelling ingestion as exposure rout for organic chemicals in earthworms (Oligochaeta).

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    Earthworms take up chemicals from both soil pore water and food, but the quantitative contribution of each route is unclear. In this paper, a model is presented for the accumulation of organic chemicals in earthworms, including a compartment for the gut contents. A Monte Carlo screening method is used to calibrate the model simultaneously to four experimental data sets for hexachlorobenzene (HCB) in the compost worm (Eisenia andrei). The calibration procedure shows that the dominant route of exposure is across the gut wall. Nevertheless, predicted body residues of HCB are generally no more than 20% higher than the estimate based on equilibrium partitioning (EP), independent of the uncertainties in all of the model parameters. The deviation from EP is mainly related to the digestive efficiency of the earthworm. Body residues are not expected to exceed the EP estimate by more than 50% for other chemicals or other earthworm species. The model is particularly useful when the organism's food source is specifically contaminated and EP cannot be applied. © 2003 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved

    Estimation methods for bioaccumulation in risk assessment of organic chemicals.

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    The methodology for estimating bioaccumulation of organic chemicals is evaluated. This study is limited to three types of organisms: fish, earthworms and plants (leaf crops, root crops and grass). We propose a simple mechanistic model for estimating BCFs which performs well against measured data. To evaluate the dynamics of bioaccumulation, simple one-compartment models are selected and parameterised. For specific chemical properties, the concentration in the organism reacts slowly to changes in the environmental concentration. This does not generally affect the estimation of long-term average concentrations which are relevant for risk assessment

    Modeling receptor kinetics in the analysis of survival data for organophosphorus pesticides.

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    Acute ecotoxicological tests usually focus on survival at a standardized exposure time. However, LC50's decrease in time in a manner that depends both on the chemical and on the organism. DEBtox is an existing approach to analyze toxicity data in time, based on hazard modeling (the internal concentration increases the probability to die). However, certain chemicals elicit their response through (irreversible) interaction with a specific receptor, such as inhibition of acetylcholinesterase (AChE). Effects therefore do not solely depend on the actual internal concentration, but also on its (recent) past. In this paper, the DEBtox method is extended with a simple mechanistic model to deal with receptor interactions. We analyzed data from the literature for organophosphorus pesticides in guppies, fathead minnows, and springtails. Overall, the observed survival patterns do not clearly differ from those of chemicals with a less-specific mode of action. However, using the receptor model, resulting parameter estimates are easier to interpret in terms of underlying mechanisms and reveal similarities between the various pesticides. We observed that the no-effect concentration estimated from the receptor model is basically identical to the value from standard DEBtox, illustrating the robustness of this summary statistic. © 2005 American Chemical Society

    The relationship between elimination rates and partition coefficients of chemical compounds.

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    Rate constants for uptake and elimination of chemicals in organisms are often related to partition coefficients (typically the octanol-water partition coefficient). We show that the well-mixed one-compartment model for toxico-kinetics implies that the elimination rate is inversely proportional to the square root of the partition coefficient. When chemical exchange is limited by diffusion in the boundary layers adjacent to the interface, two-film models are appropriate, which have more complex implications for the relationships between the exchange rates and the partition coefficient. We also show that the popular steady-flux approximation of the two-film model is not a conceptual generalization of the one-compartment model, although it shares the first-order kinetics. We compare the kinetics of a series of models with an increasing number of well-mixed compartments for exchange, such that the two-film model results for an infinite number of compartments. The latter model formulation in terms of partial differential equations, and more in particular its boundary condition at the interface of the two media, is believed to be new. In the steady-flux approximation and in the model with single well-mixed boundary layers and low diffusivities, the elimination rate depends hyperbolically on the partition coefficient. The available data for abiotic systems (SPME fibers) supports a hyperbolic relationship, whereas the data for aquatic biota are less discriminating between a hyperbolic or a square root relationship with the partition coefficient. The daphnia data showed less scatter than the fish data, possibly due to the small variance in body sizes, since elimination rates are inversely proportional to body length. The square root relationship fitted these data best. © 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

    Using process-based modelling to analyse earthworm life cycles.

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    To understand the life cycle of an organism, it is important to understand the physiological processes that govern growth and reproduction. In this paper, we re-analyse a life-cycle data set for the earthworm Eisenia veneta, using a process-based model. The data set comprises measurements of body size and cocoon production over 200 days, at two temperatures (15-25°C) and two densities (five and 10 worms per container, but with the same worm:soil weight ratio). The model consists of a set of simple equations, derived from Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) theory. The dynamics of growth and reproduction are simultaneously described by the model, using very few parameters (five parameters for four curves). This supports the use of this model for efficient analysis of earthworm life-cycle data, and to interpret the effects of stressors. However, there was considerable inter-individual variation in the response, hampering the interpretation of the temperature and density effects. A temperature increase corresponded to an increase in the rate constants for growth and reproduction (with the same factor), without affecting the other parameters, as expected from DEB theory. Changing the earthworm density hardly affected the growth curves, but had an unexpected effect on reproduction: at higher densities, the worms start to produce cocoons at a larger body size and the maximum reproduction rate was lower. This study confirms the use of DEB as a reference model for earthworms, and using this model, we can recognise that temperature has a predictable effect on the life cycle of E. veneta. Furthermore, this analysis reveals that the effects of density are less clear and may involve a change in energy allocation that requires further study. © 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved
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