597 research outputs found

    Based on Fuzzy Bayesian Network of Oil Wharf Handling Risk Assessment

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    In order to make the risk assessment method of oil wharf handling more reasonable, basic data calibration method more accurate, and assessment findings more objective, the fuzzy weights of the relative probability of basic events are calibrated by ANP decision-making (Analytic Network Process). ANP decision-making is appropriate for reflecting the dependence between the basic events and the feedback relationship. The calibration value is used as the probability value of each basic event. Based on the fault tree model, the relationship between the accidents caused by the Bayesian network is constructed, and the important degree of the basic events is quantitatively evaluated. The case focuses on wharf handling gasoline fire and explosions, using ANP method to calibrate probability, and analyzing and sorting the structural importance, the probability importance, and critical degree of each basic event through forward and backward reasoning. The results showed that the evaluation model can better characterize the effect of the basic events on the top events, which can be targeted to identify security weaknesses in oil wharf handling process. It has some practical significance for finding security risks and improving working conditions and the overall system safety level

    Using risk data as a source for human reliability assessment during shipping LNG offloading work

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    This manuscript has been made open access under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) licence under the terms of the University of Aberdeen Research Publications Policy. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Peer reviewe

    Crustal velocity structure in the South Yellow Sea revealed by the joint tomographic inversion of reflected and refracted seismic waves

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    The crustal velocity structure in the South Yellow Sea (SYS) Basin is crucial for understanding the basin’s geological structure and evolution. OBS (ocean-bottom station) data from the OBS2013 line have been used to determine the crustal velocity structure in the SYS. The velocity model of the upper crust in the northern SYS was determined using first-arrival traveltime tomography. The model showed a higher resolution shallow crustal velocity structure but a lower resolution middle-lower crustal velocity structure. The crustal velocity structure, together with the Moho discontinuity in the SYS Basin, was also constructed using a human–computer interactive traveltime simulation, and the result was highly dependent on the prior knowledge of the operator. In this study, we reconstructed a crustal velocity model in the SYS Basin using a joint tomographic inversion of the traveltime and its gradient data of the reflected and refracted waves picked from the OBS data. The resolution of the inverted velocity structure from shallow-to-deep crust was improved. The results revealed that the massive high-velocity body below the Haiyang Sag of the Jiaolai Basin extends to the Qianliyan Uplift in the SYS; the low-velocity Cretaceous strata directly cover the pre-Sinitic metamorphic rock basement of the Sulu orogenic belt; and the thick Meso-Paleozoic marine strata are retained beneath the Meso–Cenozoic continental strata in the northern depression. The Moho depth in the SYS Basin ranges from 28 to 32 km
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