The role of the World Guidelines for Falls Prevention and Management’s risk stratification algorithm in predicting falls: a retrospective analysis of the Osteoarthritis Initiative

Introduction Recurrent falls are observed frequently among older people, and they are responsible for significant morbidity and mortality. The aim of the present study was to verify sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of World Guidelines for Falls Prevention and Management (WGFPM) falls risk stratification algorithm using data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI). Methods Participants aged between 40 and 80 years were stratified as ‘low risk’, ‘intermediate risk’ or ‘high risk’ as per WGFPM stratification. Data from the OAI cohort study were used, a multi-centre, longitudinal, observational study focusing primarily on knee osteoarthritis. The assessment of the outcome was carried out at baseline and during the follow-up visit at 24 months. Data about sensitivity, specificity and accuracy were reported. Results Totally, 4796 participants were initially included. Participants were aged a mean of 61.4 years (SD = 9.1) and were predominantly women (58.0%). The population was divided into three groups: low risk (n = 3266; 82%), intermediate risk (n = 25; 0.6%) and high risk (n = 690; 17.3%). WGFPM algorithm applied to OAI, excluding the intermediate-risk group, produced a sensitivity score of 33.7% and specificity of 89.9% for predicting one or more falls, with an accuracy of 72.4%. Conclusion In our study, WGFPM risk assessment algorithm successfully distinguished older people at greater risk of falling using the opportunistic case finding method with a good specificity, but limited sensitivity, of WGFPM falls risk stratification algorithm.</p

Dynapenic abdominal obesity and incident multimorbidity: findings from the English longitudinal study on ageing

Dynapenic abdominal obesity (DAO) (i.e., impairment in muscle strength and high waist circumference) is gaining interest, as it is associated with several important adverse health outcomes. However, the association between DAO and multimorbidity is largely unclear. Thus, the aim of the present study was to investigate the association between DAO at baseline and new onset multimorbidity over ten years of follow-up

Mild cognitive impairment predicts the onset of sarcopenia: a longitudinal analysis from the English Longitudinal Study on Ageing

Background Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and sarcopenia are two common conditions in older people. It is not widely known if MCI could predict the onset of sarcopenia. Therefore, we aimed to investigate whether MCI could predict the occurrence of sarcopenia in a population of older adults. Methods In the ELSA (English Longitudinal Study on Ageing), MCI was defined as the absence of dementia, preserved functional capacity and low performance in three objective cognitive tests. Sarcopenia was diagnosed as having low handgrip strength and low skeletal muscle mass index during follow-up. The longitudinal association between MCI at the baseline and incident sarcopenia was assessed using a multivariable logistic regression model, reporting the data as adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). Results 3,106 participants (mean age of 63.1 years; 55.3% males) were included. People with MCI reported significantly lower mean handgrip strength values and Skeletal Mass Index (SMI), as well as a higher prevalence of obesity at baseline. At baseline, 729 people had MCI and during the ten years follow-up period, 12.1% of the initial population included had sarcopenia. On multivariate analysis, adjusted for 18 potential confounders, the presence of MCI (OR = 1.236; 95%CI: 1.090–1.596, p = 0.01) significantly predicted the onset of sarcopenia during follow-up. Conclusion The presence of MCI at baseline was associated with a higher incidence of sarcopenia at ten-years follow-up, demonstrating a likely role of MCI as a predictor of the onset of sarcopenia in older people.</p

Effect of the Mediterranean diet on incidence of heart failure in European countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

Introduction:  Heart failure (HF) is one of the most common cardiovascular disorders, and its prevalence is increased due to age, genetics, and lifestyle factors. Emerging evidence suggests that the Mediterranean Diet (Med Diet) is linked to lower all-cause mortality in patients with increased cardiovascular disease risk, such as those with HF.  Objective:  To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies into the relationship between the Med Diet on HF risk. Design: Several databases (PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science and Cochrane Library) until the 01st of May 2023 were searched. Our research was conducted based on the updated 2020 Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Data were reported as risk ratios (RRs) with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) as results of multivariate or univariate analyses.  Results   From the original 1,206 studies collected, six observational prospective studies were included, with a total of 216,385 European participants without evidence of HF at baseline. Over a mean period of 11 years of follow-up, a 1-point increase in the Med Diet score was associated with a significantly lower risk of HF (RR= 0.940; 95%CI: 0.912-0.969, p Conclusions: Higher adherence to Med Diet across European countries is associated with lower risk of HF, particularly in women. </p

Physical activity and persistence of supra-threshold depressive symptoms in older adults: a ten-year cohort study

Few multination-based studies have examined the longitudinal association between PA (physical activity) and persistence of supra-threshold depressive symptoms (SDS). This cohort study aimed to assess the influence of PA on persistence of SDS. Data were obtained from the Population Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE). The cohort was composed of individuals with SDS at baseline. Depressive symptoms were ascertained using the EURO-D scale, with a value over 4 indicatives of SDS. The study included 6,631 participants with SDS. After adjusting for nine different covariates at baseline and the changes of PA level during the follow-up period, compared to very low PA, moderately high (OR=0.82; 95 %CI: 0.69–0.98; p = 0.03), and high (OR=0.80; 95 %CI: 0.66–0.95; p = 0.01) PA levels were associated with significantly reduced persistence of depressive symptoms. In a propensity score analysis, matching low and high PA level for baseline scores of EURO-D, people with high PA levels reported a lower EURO-D of 0.53 points (p < 0.0001). In conclusion, among adults with depression, higher levels of PA were associated with a reduced persistence of depression. These real-world data complement evidence on efficacy of exercise as a treatment for depression and can inform clinical guidelines. </p