The response of corporate investments in the US to oil price changes: the role of asymmetries

This paper investigates the influence of oil price changes on corporate investment in the US using a large sample of 15,411 companies from 1984 to 2017. It adds to the literature by showing an asymmetric response of capital investments to oil price changes for non-oil companies. Particularly, positive oil price changes have a larger adverse impact on investments than the positive impact created by negative oil price changes. These results are important in assessing the impact of energy price fluctuations on the long-term investment decisions of US companies

The connectedness and hedging between gold and Islamic securities in the short, medium and long term

This paper investigates the dynamic connectedness between gold, sukuk and Islamic equities at multiple investment horizons, it also computes optimal hedge ratios and portfolio weights for these assets. Our findings suggest that gold hedges the risk of sukuk in the short and medium terms. We find also that gold plays an average but stable role in hedging and diversifying Islamic equities across all investment horizons. Moreover, we find that gold–Islamic assets portfolio provided a better risk diversification in the short term. These empirical findings are important as they highlight the role of gold in diversifying and managing the risks of portfolios that invest in Islamic assets

The effects of investor emotions sentiments on crude oil returns: A time and frequency dynamics analysis

In this paper, we use wavelet coherence analysis to find that sentiment has a significant effect on crude oil returns that lasts over various investment horizons. While oil returns are positively associated with the sentiments of optimism and trust, it is negatively linked to fear and anger. These relations are more pronounced over the medium and the long term. Additionally, we find that short-term oil returns are relatively more sentiment-sensitive during turbulent periods than in normal conditions. These results highlight the importance of sentiment and investor psychology in the crude oil market

The co-movement between oil and clean energy stocks: A wavelet-based analysis of horizon associations

The production of clean energy is crucial for protecting the environment and satisfying the future demand for energy. However, the growth in clean energy production and consumption is influenced by the developments in the oil and the clean energy technology markets. Thus, it is crucial to study the association among these markets and this is the main objective of this research. Compared to the existing literature, we provide evidence from multiple time horizons. In particular, we combine wavelets over various time scales with multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) to find significant bidirectional return and risk transfer from oil and technology to the clean energy market. The transmissions are found to be more pronounced at longer time horizons. These results highlight the importance of certainty and stability in the oil and technology markets for the growth of clean energy particularly in the long term

Oil price changes and industrial output in the MENA region: nonlinearities and asymmetries

In this paper, we investigate the nature of asymmetry in the influence of oil price changes on output in six MENA countries. To get more observations for our analysis, we proxy GDP with industrial output and hence our inference is based on a relatively larger sample compared to previous studies. The results that we obtain are interesting and intuitive. First, we find that growth in MENA countries is linked to oil in the sense that it benefits from higher oil prices and it gets hurt by a fall in the oil market. Moreover, there are pronounced short- and long-term asymmetries in the influence of oil on output. In particular, the output is faster to respond to increases in the oil price than it responds to decreases. The long-term influence to a rise in oil is also higher, though it is realized over a longer period. These results are important and can be used to guide policies that are concerned with stabilizing the economies of the MENA region against oil price fluctuations

Time-varying transmission between oil and equities in the MENA region: New evidence from DCC-MIDAS analyses

In this paper we use the DCC-MIDAS (Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Mixed Data Sampling) model to infer the association between oil and equities in five MENA countries between February 2006 and April 2017. The model indicates that higher oil returns tends to reduce the long-term risk of the Saudi market, but to increase it in other markets. The risk transfer from oil to MENA equities is found to be weak. The dynamic conditional correlation between oil and equities is not always positive and it unexpectedly changes sign during the sample period. However, the association always strengthens when there is a large draw down in oil prices as well as during periods of high volatility. Finally, we find that short term association occasionally breaks from the longer-term correlation particularly in Egypt and Turkey. These patterns of influence and associations are unique, and have important implications for equity portfolio managers who are interested in investing in energy and MENA equities

The directional volatility connectedness between crude oil and equity markets: New evidence from implied volatility indexes

In this paper, we use a set of newly introduced implied volatility indexes to investigate the directional connectedness between oil and equities in eleven major stock exchanges around the globe from 2008 to 2015. The inference on the oil–equity implied volatility relationships depends on Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 2014, 2015) who proposed a set of directional measures that enable the dynamic and directional characterization of the relationships among financial variables. We find uniform results across the sample countries indicating that the connectedness between oil and equity is established by the bi-directional information spillovers between the two markets. However, we find that the bulk of association is largely dominated by the transmissions from the oil market to equity markets and not the other way around. The pattern of transmissions is varying over the sample period; however most of the linkages between oil and equities are established from the mid of 2009 to the mid of 2012 which is a period that witnessed the start of global recovery

Volatility spillovers and cross-hedging between gold, oil and equities: Evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council countries

The paper examines the return and volatility spillovers between crude oil, gold and equities, and investigates the usefulness of the two commodities in hedging equity portfolios. Using daily data from January 20043 to May 2016 for the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, a DCC-GARCH model is used to estimate dynamic correlations and hedge ratios. We find significant spillovers from oil to equities, highlighting the heavy dependence of the local economies on oil. Moreover, the spillovers of gold on the stock markets are insignificant, suggesting that gold price fluctuations do not necessarily influence equity investment decisions. In the opposite direction, we find that equities do not exert significant influence on the two commodities, which we attribute to the relatively small capitalisation of the exchanges. Our results reveal low dynamic correlations and hedge ratios, with a few spikes during crises, indicating that oil and gold are cheap hedges for stocks, albeit not good ones, while they could be considered as weak safe havens, but at a considerable cost