Analisis Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Perekonomian, Konsumsi dan Investasi di Sumatera Barat

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the influence of consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports to the economy in West Sumatra, (2) the influence of the economy, disposable income of the previous period, the consumption of the previous period and the rate of consumption to consumption in West Sumatra (3) the influence of the economy, the investment rate, and the rate of investments in West Sumatra. Type of data is the documentary data, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2012. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tool with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous variables in the study was the economy, consumption and investment. While the disposable income variable is exogeneous previous period, the consumption of the previous period, real interest rates, exchange rates, government spending, and net exports. The research concludes that (1) Variable consumption, investment, government spending and net exports have a significant effect on the economy in West Sumatra. (2) Variable economy, disposable income of the previous period, and previous period consumption in West Sumatra affect consumption significantly. While the real interest rate variable does not significantly influence consumption in West Sumatra. (3) The economy, investment and interest rates have a significant effect on investment in West Sumatra. Whereas no significant effect on the rate of investment in West Sumatra. Based on these results the policies that can be suggested is the Local Government (LG) West Sumatra needs to provide incentives to productive sectors, addition, West Sumatra government needs to provide incentives to investors. Diversty export products needs to be improved as well as the local and export destinations of West Sumatra so that the increase in exports can be realized with either

Analisis Penawaran Agregat dan Permintaan Agregat di Sumatera Barat

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis (1) Pengaruh penawaran agregat, permintaan agregat, pengangguran, jumlah uang beredar, konsumsi dan suku bunga terhadap Inflasi di Sumatera Barat (2) Pengaruh inflasi dan pengangguran terhadap penawaran agregat di Sumatera Barat dan (3) Pengaruh inflasi, jumlah uang beredar, suku bunga, pengeluaran. Penelitian ini menggunakan alat analisis model persamaan simultan dengan metode Two Stage Least Square (TSLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa (1) Penawaran agregat, permintaan agregat, jumlah uang beredar, konsumsi dan suku bunga berpengaruh terhadap inflasi di Sumatera Barat. Sedangkan pengangguran tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi di Sumatera Barat. (2) Inflasi dan pengangguran berpengaruh terhadap penawaran agregat di Sumatera Barat. (3) Inflasi, jumlah uang beredar, suku bunga, pengeluaran pemerintah dan konsumsi berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan agregat di Sumatera Barat. Sedangkan kurs tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan agregat di Sumatera Barat

Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Kualitas Sumberdaya Manusia dan Perekonomian Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Jambi

This article focus to analyze (1) Effect of education budget, health budget and economy toword of human resources quality in Jambi province. (2) The influence of inflation, unemployment and human resources quality toword of economy in Jambi province. The data poaltime series was taken 2007-2011 of regency and city in Jambi province. The analyze use Simultaneous model. Before analysis, we also checked cointegration test and causalities between human resources quality and economy. The result of research concludes that (1) The have education budget a significant and positive impact toword of human resources quality, health budget have a unsignificant and positive impact toword of human resources quality and economy have unsignificant and positive toword of human resources in Jambi province. (2) Inflation have significant and negative impact toword of economy, unemployment and human resources quality unsignificantly influence impact toword economy in Jambi province. Policy implications of the results of this study are: 1) government efforts through education budget and health budget in the form of the government budget through health and education facilities in the form of facilities and infrastructure, as well as education and health services to improve the quality of human resources. 2) efforts to do next government in building the economy of the region is to maintain stable prices in the market to curb inflation and provide employment business for the community as well as providing training to workers in order to reduce unemployment

Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Konsumsi dan Tabungan di Sumatera Barat

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of consumption, investmen, government expenditure and the nett export to the economic growth in West Sumatera. (2) The influence of disposible income, consumption of previous period and the saving on the consumption in West Sumatera (3) Effect of disposible income, interest rate and consumption to the saving in West Sumatera. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2001 – IV year kuartal 2010). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). Th result of research concludes that (1) the consumption have a significant and positive impact on the economic growth, investment have significant and positive impact on the economic growth, government expenditure have significantly and positive on the economic growth and nett export have a significant and positive impact on the economic growth in West Sumatera. If the economic growth increases, the consumption will also increase. (2) disposible income, economic growth and consumption of previous period significantly influence the consumption in West Sumatera. While the saving is significant and negative effect on consumption in West Sumatera. (3) disposible income and consumption significantly influence the saving in West Sumatera. While the interest rate is not significant effect on saving in West Sumatera

Model Makroekonomi Tahun 2000 - Tahun 2010

ABSRACT This study aims to analyze and find out (1) the influence of consumption, investment, government spending, exports and imports to GDP in Indonesia, (2) the influence of disposable income and deposit rates on consumption in Indonesia, (3) the influence of interest rates on investment, GDP , and the rate of investment in Indonesia, (4) the influence of exchange rate and U.S. GDP to exports in Indonesia, and (5) the influence of exchange rate and GDP to imports in Indonesia. This study uses a macroeconomic model developed by Keynes with a simultaneous equation model analysis with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS) from the first quarter of 2000 - the first quarter of 2010. The study concluded that (1) consumption, investment, government spending, exports and imports significantly affect the GDP in Indonesia. (2) have a significant disposable income on consumption in Indonesia. (3) the investment rate, GDP, and significantly influence the rate of investment in Indonesia. (4) exchange rate and the GDP of the United States have a significant effect on exports in Indonesia, and (5) exchange rate and GDP have a significant effect on imports in Indonesia