Prospek Perdagangan Luar Negeri Indonesia – Amerika Serikat Dan Kurs

This study aims to identify and analyze: (a) the effect of the ratio of the money supply, real output ratio, the difference in inflation, interest rate differentials and foreign trade Indonesia-USA on the exchange rate IDR/US $, (b) the influence of the ratio of real output Indonesi -the United States, the ratio of real output and the Indonesia-Japan exchange rate IDR/U.S.$ against Indonesia\u27s foreign trade-the United States, and (c) foreign trade prospects for Indonesia and the United States. The data used in the study is the time series of the year 1997:3 until 2009:4. The data are stationary at different degrees, but both models cointegration analysis. Furthermore, both models are tested in the identification, reduced form and causality endogenous variables, the two models are estimated using the method of simultaneous equations with 2SLS (Two Stage Least Squares. The results of this study show that: (a) the ratio of the money supply, real output ratio, the difference in inflation, interest rate differentials and foreign trade of the United States Indonesia-significant effect on the exchange rate of IDR/U.S. $, (b) the real output ratio of Indonesia-USA, the ratio of real output the Indonesia-Japan and exchange rate IDR/U.S.$ significant effect on Indonesia\u27s foreign trade-the United States, and (c) foreign trade Indonesia and the United States have a positive outlook until 2017. From this research, the study recommends to the government of Indonesia through the Ministry of Industry and Trade to continue to give encouragement to the foreign trade sector to increase the quantity and the quality and diversification of exported commodities that Indonesia\u27s foreign trade prospects-the United States can be realized

Analisis Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Produktivitas dan Tingkat Pengangguran di Indonesia

This study aimed to analyze the influence (1) education and health on labor productivity in Indonesia. (2) productivity, economic growth, investment, government spending, wages and inflation to the unemployment rate in Indonesia. This study uses simultaneous equation model analysis tools with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS) from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2011. The research concludes that (1) health education and significant effect on productivity in Indonesia (2) produktivitias, economic growth, investment, government spending, and wages affect Indonesia's unemployment rate significantly. However, no significant effect on the inflation rate of unemployment in Indonesia. Of research. be advised the government needs to improve the quality of education as well as the budget for public health. The government needs to increase income through employment or investment opening in Indonesia, especially in the real secto

Analisis Produksi, Ekspor Tembaga Indonesia ke Jepang dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Sektor Pertambanganindonesia

The study aims to determine and analyze (1)the influence of price of copper, interest rate, domestic consumption of copper,capital and exports to copper production,(2) the influence of price of copper, interest rate, consumption domestic of copper, GDP Japan and copper production to exports,(3) the influence of domestic consumption of copper, capital and exports to Indonesian economic growthin mining sector,(4)Prospect the exports of copper Indonesian to Japan in 2014-2019 to Indonesian economic growthin mining sector. This study utilize a model of simultaneous equation by means of Two-Stage Least Square (TSLS) from 1979-2011. The study concluded that (1) price of copper, interest rate, domestic consumption of copper, capital and exports significantly affect the copper production.(2) price of copper, interest rate, domestic consumption of copper, GDP Jepang and copper productionsignificantly affect the exports.(3) domestic consumption of copper, capital and exports significantly affect the Indonesian economic growth in mining sector. (4) Prospect the exports of copper Indonesian to Japan in 2014-2019 have significantly affect the Indonesian economic growthin mining sector

Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Kemiskinan di Indonesia

Economic growth and poverty is an important indicator to see the success of a country's development. This study aims to determine and analyze the two-way influence between economic growth and poverty in Indonesia: (1) The effect of unemployment, poverty, investments and economic growth. (2) The effect of investment, life expectancy, literacy, and length of education, and economic growth on poverty.This study uses panel data or pooled time-series crossection using time series data from the years 2005-2009, and the crossection is that there are 33 provinces in Indonesia. The method used is descriptive and econometric analysis using a model of simultaneous equations (simultaneous equations models) with two-stage least squares method (Two-Stage Least Square 2SLS) using Indirect Least Square (ILS). The results showed that there is a two-way interplay between economic growth and poverty. Significant effect on economic growth in poverty reduction, especially in rural areas there are many pockets of poverty. the opposite of poverty is also a significant effect on economic growth. Through improved access to capital, quality of education (literacy and increased length of education) and health (increased life expectancy) of the poor can increase their productivity in the attempt during the period 2000-2009. The unemployment rate, and significant investment on economic growth. Furthermore, investments in domestic and foreign investments, life expectancy, literacy and school longer a significant effect on the number of poor. Based on these findings the policy the government should do is spur economic growth through the expansion of investment especially in agriculture (agribusiness and agro-industries) in rural areas where many poor people depend. Recommended to the government in order to spur economic growth in urban areas in order to prioritize employment in which informal sector in general the poor do business. Whereas in rural areas run projects that are capital - intensive investment to open up employment opportunities, especially in the agricultural sector. Furthermore, it also advised the government both at central and regional levels through the state budget and regional budgets in order to further enhance the percentage of budget allocation on health and education to improve the quality of human resources of Indonesia's population. In order to improve the quality of human resources in Indonesia suggested that the government should also continue to run the program compulsory 9 (nine) years, and scholarships for children from poor families to achieve to improve the quality of their children

Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Cadangan Devisa dan Net Ekspor di Indonesia

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the influence of net exports, foreign debt, FDI, and foreign reserves previously period against reserves in Indonesia. (2) the influence of the economy, the economy and the foreign exchange rate on net exports in Indonesia. This study using a simultaneous equations model analysis with Indirect Least Squared method (ILS) from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2011. The research concludes that (1) Net exports, external debt and International reserves prior period reserves in Indonesia affected significantly. While the FDI variable does not affect reserves in Indonesia are significantly (2) Indonesia\u27s economy, the Japanese economy and the exchange rate significantly affects net exports in Indonesia. Based on these results the policies recommended to the government of which the export should be developed by the excess exports over imports would benefit the government by increasing foreign exchange reserves, the need to foster a harmonious working relationship with trading partners, the need for trade policy strategy, especially in partner mediversifikasi major trading for export

Analisis Pasar Obligasi Pemerintah di Indonesia

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of the budget deficit, official foreign borrowing, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI), and demand of the government bonds to the issuances of the government bonds in Indonesia. (2) The influence certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI), bond price, (Composite Stock Price Index) IHSG, and supply of the government bonds to demand of the government bonds in Indonesia. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2004 – IV year kuartal 2011). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) the budget deficit have a significant and positive impact on supply of the government bonds, official foreign borrowing, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI) and demand of the government bonds significantly and negatively influence on issuances of government bonds. (2) The influence certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI) have a significant and positive impact on demand of government bonds, IHSG and supply of the government bonds significantly and negatively on demand of government bonds in Indonesia. While the bond price is not significant and negative effect on demand of the government bonds in Indonesia