塔城盆地暴雪天气成因及预警系统

该研究首先从气候学角度出发分析北疆北部冬季降水特征，分析表明北疆北部冬季气候特别是降水处于高基本态和相对较高的高气候变率时期；用统计学方法分析塔城盆地暴雪的时空分布特征，分析表明在空间分布上存在不均，迎风坡和盆地多于浅山和背风坡地区，暴雪每4年为一周期，一年中11月份出现最多；对产生暴雪的天气形势进行天气学分类，高空可分为竖槽、横槽、和纬向多波动型，地面可分为高压前部、连串低压、连串高压型；从暖区降水着手，分析塔城盆地暴雪形成的一些物理机制，引用最先进的数值预报产品，建立塔城盆地暴雪天气预警预报系统。 成果类别： 应用技

Elementary Study on the Geochemical Behaviour of Cu,Pb,Cd in the Jiulong Estuary,Xiamen

于2006年4月采集厦门九龙江河口水样,测定其溶解、颗粒态Cu、Pb、Cd及相关水化学参数的含量.结果表明,厦门九龙江河口区表层海水中溶解态Cu、Pb、Cd的含量范围分别为0.96～2.16、1.02～2.49及0.16～0.44μg/L,平均值分别为1.52、1.60和0.34μg/L;颗粒态Cu、Pb、Cd的含量范围分别为0.26～3.40、0.11～6.00、0.000 4～0.028 0μg/L,平均值分别为1.08、1.61和0.0064μg/L.在垂直变化上,除Cd变化较小外,Cu和Pb浓度随深度增加而逐渐升高,其贡献主要来自底部沉积物再悬浮.九龙江河口溶解和颗粒态Cu、Pb、Cd的平均入海通量分别为6.57、6.91、1.47、4.66、6.96和0.027 kg/d.九龙江河口区表层水体中Cu、Pb、Cd的表观分配系数(Kd)分别为4.09、2.84和0.10 L/kg.3种金属在研究海域的固-液分配机制主要受"颗粒物浓度效应"影响,而Cd在低盐度区受到"盐度效应"的影响.Seawater samples collected from 7 stations of the Jiulong Estuary in April 2006 and analyzed for dissolved and particulate heavy metals including Cu,Pb and Cd.The range of concentrations of dissolved Cu,Pb,Cd were 0.96~2.16,1.02~2.49,0.16~0.44 μg/L,with average values of 1.52,1.60,0.34 μg/L,separately;while that of particulate phases were 0.26~3.40,0.11~6.00,0.000 4~0.028 0 μg/L,with mean values of 1.08,1.61,0.006 4 μg/L,separately.The vertical profile of three metals were also measured and was found that except the less change of Cd,the concentrations of copper and lead increased with depth.The main contributions were thought to be the re-suspended particles from surface sediments.The average flux of dissolved Cu,Pb and Cd from Jiulong River to coastal sea were estimated to be about 6.57,6.91,1.47 kg/d separately,while that of particulate phases were 4.66,6.96,0.027 kg/d,separately.Distribution coefficients(Kd) for metals between particulate(>0.45 μm) and dissolved(Pb>Cd in average.The average Kd of Cu,Pb and Cd were 4.09,2.84,0.105 L/kg,separately.The distribution of dissolved and particulate metals in studied area are mainly affected by the operation of the "Particle Concentration Effect",especially for Pb and Cu when salinity was above 11 ‰,while the inverse linear Kd versus salinity relationship for Cd was found when salinity below 11 ‰,which might be due to the operation of the "Salinity Effect".国家自然科学基金(40306012);; 福建省重点科技项目(2005Y021);; 福建省海洋与渔业局科技项目;; 厦门大学科技创新项目资