Is Eta Carinae a fast rotator, and how much does the companion influence the inner wind structure?

We analyze interferometric measurements of the Luminous Blue Variable Eta Carinae with the goal of constraining the rotational velocity of the primary star and probing the influence of the companion. Using 2-D radiative transfer models of latitude-dependent stellar winds, we find that prolate wind models with a ratio of the rotational velocity (vrot) to the critical velocity (vcrit) of W=0.77-0.92, inclination angle of i=60-90 degrees, and position angle PA=108-142 degrees reproduce simultaneously K-band continuum visibilities from VLTI/VINCI and closure phase measurements from VLTI/AMBER. Interestingly, oblate models with W=0.73-0.90 and i=80-90 degrees produce similar fits to the interferometric data, but require PA=210-230 degrees. Therefore, both prolate and oblate models suggest that the rotation axis of the primary star is not aligned with the Homunculus polar axis. We also compute radiative transfer models of the primary star allowing for the presence of a cavity and dense wind-wind interaction region created by the companion star. We find that the wind-wind interaction has a significant effect on the K-band image mainly via free-free emission from the compressed walls and, for reasonable model parameters, can reproduce the VLTI/VINCI visibilities taken at phase 0.92-0.93. We conclude that the density structure of the primary wind can be sufficiently disturbed by the companion, thus mimicking the effects of fast rotation in the interferometric observables. Therefore, fast rotation may not be the only explanation for the interferometric observations. Intense temporal monitoring and 3-D modeling are needed to resolve these issues.Comment: 6 pages, 4 color figures, accepted for publication in ApJ Letter

The Impact of Mobile Phones on Indigenous Social Structures: A Cross-cultural Comparative Study

Mobile phones are part of a major growth industry in so-called Third World countries. As in other places, the use of this technology changes communication behaviour. The influence of these changes on indigenous social structures was investigated with a mixed-type questionnaire that targeted parameters such as: in-group vs. out-group communication, involvement with dominant industrial culture and the use of financial resources. Data was collected from indigenous representatives at the United Nations, as well as in Africa from subjects of various cultural backgrounds, and from a control group in Berlin. The results reflect widespread use of mobile phones among indigenous persons, having a segregating effect within the indigenous community, but also enhancing ingroup communication and especially the use of the indigenous language. Mobile phones also facilitate moves from village to town, with the opportunity of frequently communicating with other in-group members

History and Options Regarding the Unfunded Liabilities of Alaska’s Public Employees’ and Teachers’ Retirement Systems

In early 2003, financial analysts working for the State of Alaska announced that the two largest public employee retirement systems in Alaska had become significantly underfunded.3 From fiscal year 2006 (July 1, 2005 through June 30, 2006) to date, the state has paid $6.951 billion— (an average of$534.7 million annually)—to pay down these obligations, which will be called “unfunded liabilities” in this paper.4 The State of Alaska has substantial unfunded liabilities remaining to pay off for these two systems, the Public Employees’ Retirement System (PERS) and the Teachers’ Retirement System (TRS). There is uncertainty about the size of these unfunded liabilities, and there are also different ways of calculating them. For example, the State of Alaska’s snapshot balance-sheet approach, subtracting the accrued liabilities from the assets, based on their actuarial value, produces an estimate of $6.609 billion for the combined unfunded liabilities of PERS and TRS.5 That figure is an estimate of the unfunded liabilities discounted to the present day. Estimates of the size of the unfunded liabilities particularly vary based on the use of different critical assumptions, such as the rate of future returns on investment. As an example, using an estimated rate of return of 2.142 percent instead of the State of Alaska’s assumption of 8 percent produces an estimate of$33.9 billion for the state’s unfunded liabilities. 6 The State of Alaska has committed to paying off the unfunded liabilities under a 25-year amortization schedule that started in 2014, so another highly relevant measurement of those liabilities appears to be the amount actuaries for the state currently project will be needed under that pay-off plan, which runs through fiscal year 2039. The state’s actuaries project that from fiscal year 2019 through fiscal year 2039 the state will pay a total of $10.815 billion in extra contributions—called “state assistance” or “additional state contributions” in this paper—to pay off the unfunded liabilities. 7 In contrast to the state’s snapshot estimate of$6.609 billion, this estimate of $10.815 billion in state assistance represents a flow of annual cash payments. That is, the$10.815 billion is an estimate of the total amount needed to eliminate the unfunded liabilities of PERS and TRS under the 25-year amortization schedule the state adopted in 2014. 4 Note that this state assistance is above and beyond the amount the state is projected to owe in its role as employer in the normal course of funding the two systems.8 Employers other than the state—primarily local governments and school districts—also participate in PERS and TRS, and the figure for state assistance covers not only unfunded liabilities attributed to the state but also a portion of the unfunded liabilities attributed to non-state employers. As explained more later, the state has assumed, by statute, the responsibility to pay for a share of the unfunded liability of these other employers. 9 This paper: • Describes the structure of the Alaska public employee retirement systems in the context of some unusual features of public employment on the Last Frontier • Reviews how the problem of unfunded liabilities came about • Examines how concerns over unfunded liabilities produced both changes and proposed changes in the retirement systems over the past dozen years, including proposals for changes in the allocation of burdens between the state and local governments in paying for retirement benefits • Describes current projections of future amounts needed to pay off the unfunded liabilities • Discusses how future estimates of the unfunded liabilities might change in response to economic and demographic factors • Discusses legal provisions protecting the rights of beneficiaries of the retirement systems • Lays out options for policymakers—other than the current policy of paying down the unfunded liabilities over time—including buyout, bailout, and bankruptcyNorthrim Bank University of Alaska Foundatio

Through a router darkly: how new American copyright enforcement initiatives may hinder economic development, net neutrality and creativity

On November 1, 2012, Russia enacted a law putatively aiming to protect Russian children from pedophiles. This law authorizes deep packet inspection (DPI), a method used for monitoring, filtering and shaping internet traffic, which has heightened concerns among many leading privacy groups. These groups are concerned with how the government will use such an intrusive method in prosecuting child predators. Central to this concern is DPI’s capability to allow the Russian government to peer into any citizens’ unencrypted internet traffic and monitor, copy, or even alter the traffic as it moves to its destination. The unresolved question is whether the government’s use of DPI will be restrained and utilized primarily to thwart child predators, or whether it will be expanded to lay the groundwork for a new era of national censorship. Although the United States has not yet adopted similar tactics in regulating its citizens’ internet use, Russia’s implementation of the new DPI monitoring and filtering system will provide an educational opportunity for both privacy advocates and policymakers

Involuntary Unemployment in a Competitive Labour Market

High an persistent unemployment, especially in the sector of low-skilled work, is usually attributed to the presence of minimum wages or unemployment benefits creating a reservation wage at wich labour demand of firms is insufficient. While not refusing this view this paper argues that also without these obstacles a situation is likely to occur which is similar to unemployment and in a rigorous sense even worse: people not finding a job in the sector of "honest work" at a wages sufficient to meet minimum consumption are forced to recourse to less desirable activities. The topic is analyzed in an OLG-context with two working periods for each generation.

Catching a star before explosion: the luminous blue variable progenitor of SN 2015bh

In this paper we analyse the pre-explosion spectrum of SN2015bh by performing radiative transfer simulations using the CMFGEN code. This object has attracted significant attention due to its remarkable similarity to SN2009ip in both its pre- and post-explosion behaviour. They seem to belong to a class of events for which the fate as a genuine core-collapse supernova or a non-terminal explosion is still under debate. Our CMFGEN models suggest that the progenitor of SN2015bh had an effective temperature between 8700 and 10000 K, luminosity in the range ~ 1.8-4.74e6 Lsun, contained at least 25% H in mass at the surface, and half-solar Fe abundances. The results also show that the progenitor of SN 2015bh generated an extended wind with a mass-loss rate of ~ 6e-4 to 1.5e-3 Msun/yr and a velocity of 1000 km/s. We determined that the wind extended to at least 2.57e14 cm and lasted for at least 30 days prior to the observations, releasing 5e-5 Msun into the circumstellar medium. In analogy to 2009ip, we propose that this is the material that the explosive ejecta could interact at late epochs, perhaps producing observable signatures that can be probed with future observations. We conclude that the progenitor of SN 2015bh was most likely a warm luminous blue variable of at least 35 Msun before the explosion. Considering the high wind velocity, we cannot exclude the possibility that the progenitor was a Wolf-Rayet star that inflated just before the 2013 eruption, similar to HD5980 during its 1994 episode. If the star survived, late-time spectroscopy may reveal either a similar LBV or a Wolf-Rayet star, depending on the mass of the H envelope before the explosion. If the star exploded as a genuine SN, 2015bh would be a remarkable case of a successful explosion after black-hole formation in a star with a possible minimum mass 35 Msun at the pre-SN stage.Comment: 13 pages, 10 figures, accepted for publication in A&

Private equity in emerging markets

Why is there such a strong private equity market in the United States or the United Kingdom? Why is activity relatively low in several other economically important countries? And why is it zero or close to zero in many emerging regions? Spatial variations of private equity activity result from numerous factors. In this paper I summarize the literature contributions on the determinants of national private equity activity and comment on the consequences for the development of the private equity asset class in emerging markets.Private Equity; Emerging Markets;