Red cell distribution width at hospital discharge and out-of hospital outcomes in critically ill non-cardiac vascular surgery patients

Objective Red cell distribution width (RDW) is associated with mortality and bloodstream infection risk in the critically ill. In vascular surgery patients surviving critical care it is not known if RDW can predict subsequent risk of all-cause mortality following hospital discharge. We hypothesized that an increase in RDW at hospital discharge in vascular surgery patients who received critical care would be associated with increased mortality following hospital discharge. Design, setting, and participants We performed a two-center observational cohort study of critically ill non-cardiac vascular surgery patients surviving admission 18 years or older treated between November, 1997, and December 2012 in Boston, Massachusetts. Exposures RDW measured within 24 hours of hospital discharge and categorized a priori as <13.3%, 13.3-14.0%, 14.0-14.7%, 14.7-15.8%, >15.8%. Main outcomes and measures The primary outcome was all cause mortality in the 90 days following hospital discharge. Results The cohort included 4,715 patients (male 58%; white 83%; mean age 62.9 years). 90 and 365-day post discharge mortality was 7.5% and 14.4% respectively. In the cohort, 47.3% were discharged to a care facility and 14.8% of patients were readmitted within 30 days. After adjustment for age, gender, race, Deyo-Charlson comorbidity Index, patient type, acute organ failures, prior vascular surgery and vascular surgery category, patients with a discharge RDW 14.7-15.8% or > 15.8% have an adjusted OR of 90-day post discharge mortality of 2.52 (95% CI, 1.29-4.90; P = 0.007) or 5.13 (95% CI, 2.70-9.75; P <0.001) relative to patients with a discharge RDW 15.8% group was 1.52 (95% CI, 1.12-2.07; P = 0.007) relative to patients with a discharge RDW Conclusions In critically ill vascular surgery patients who survive hospitalization, an elevated RDW at hospital discharge is a strong predictor of subsequent mortality, hospital readmission and placement in a care facility. Patients with elevated RDW are at high risk for adverse out of hospital outcomes and may benefit from closer post discharge follow-up and higher intensity rehabilitation

A systematic review and meta-analysis of F-18-fluoro-D-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography interpretation methods in vascular graft and endograft infection

OBJECTIVE: Vascular graft and endograft infection (VGEI) has high morbidity and mortality rates. Diagnosis is complicated since symptoms vary and can be non-specific. A recent meta-analysis identified the use of 18F-fluoro-D-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography (18F-FDG PET(/CT)) as the most valuable tool for diagnosing VGEI and favorable to computed tomography as the current standard. However, the availability and varied use of several interpretation methods, without consensus on which interpretation method is best, complicates clinical use. The aim of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic performance of different interpretation methods of 18F-FDG PET(/CT) in diagnosing VGEI. METHODS: A systematic review was performed according to the PRISMA guidelines. Data sources included PubMed/Medline, Embase, and Cochrane. A meta-analysis was conducted on the different interpretation methods for 18F-FDG PET(/CT) in diagnosing VGEI, including visual FDG uptake intensity, visual FDG uptake pattern, and quantitative SUVmax. RESULTS: Out of 613 articles, 13 were included-10 prospective and 3 retrospective articles. The FDG uptake pattern method (I2 26.2%) showed negligible heterogeneity, while the FDG uptake intensity (I2 42.2%) and SUVmax (I2 42.1%) methods both showed moderate heterogeneity. The pooled sensitivity for FDG uptake intensity was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.79-0.96), for uptake pattern 0.94 (95% CI: 0.89-0.97), and for the SUVmax method 0.95 (95% CI: 0.76-0.99). The pooled specificity for FDG uptake intensity was 0.59 (95% CI: 0.38-0.78), whereas for FDG uptake pattern it was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.71-0.88) and for SUVmax it was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.63-0.87). The uptake pattern interpretation method demonstrated the best positive and negative post-test probability-82% and 10%, respectively. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis identified the FDG uptake pattern as the most accurate assessment method of 18F-FDG PET(/CT) for diagnosing VGEI. The optimal SUVmax cutoff, depending on the vendor, demonstrated strong sensitivity and moderate specificity

Risk assessment and risk scores in the management of aortic aneurysms

The decision whether to operate a patient or not can be challenging for a clinician for both ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) as well as elective AAAs. Prior to surgical intervention it would be preferable that the clinician exactly knows which clinical variables lower or increase the chances of morbidity and mortality postintervention. To help in the preoperative counselling and shared decision making several clinical variables can be identified as risk factors and with these, risk models can be developed. An ideal risk score for aneurysm repair includes routinely obtained physiological and anatomical variables, has excellent discrimination and calibration, and is validated in different geographical areas. For elective AAA repair, several risk scores are available, for ruptured AAA treatment, these scores are far less well developed. In this manuscript, we describe the designs and results of published risk scores for elective and open repair. Also, suggestions for uniformly reporting of risk factors and their statistical analyses are described. Furthermore, the preliminary results of a new risk model for ruptured aortic aneurysm will be discussed. This score identifies age, hemoglobin, cardiopulmonary resuscitation and preoperative systolic blood pressure as risk factors after multivariate regression analysis. This new risk score can help to identify patients that would not benefit from repair, but it can also potentially identify patients who would benefit and therefore lower turndown rates. The challenge for further research is to expand on validation of already existing promising risk scores in order to come to a risk model with optimal discrimination and calibratio

Risk assessment and risk scores in the management of aortic aneurysms

The decision whether to operate a patient or not can be challenging for a clinician for both ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) as well as elective AAAs. Prior to surgical intervention it would be preferable that the clinician exactly knows which clinical variables lower or increase the chances of morbidity and mortality postintervention. To help in the preoperative counselling and shared decision making several clinical variables can be identified as risk factors and with these, risk models can be developed. An ideal risk score for aneurysm repair includes routinely obtained physiological and anatomical variables, has excellent discrimination and calibration, and is validated in different geographical areas. For elective AAA repair, several risk scores are available, for ruptured AAA treatment, these scores are far less well developed. In this manuscript, we describe the designs and results of published risk scores for elective and open repair. Also, suggestions for uniformly reporting of risk factors and their statistical analyses are described. Furthermore, the preliminary results of a new risk model for ruptured aortic aneurysm will be discussed. This score identifies age, hemoglobin, cardiopulmonary resuscitation and preoperative systolic blood pressure as risk factors after multivariate regression analysis. This new risk score can help to identify patients that would not benefit from repair, but it can also potentially identify patients who would benefit and therefore lower turndown rates. The challenge for further research is to expand on validation of already existing promising risk scores in order to come to a risk model with optimal discrimination and calibration

Accuracy of Routine Endoscopy Diagnosing Colonic Ischaemia After Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair:A Meta-analysis

Background: Colonic ischaemia (CI) is a devastating complication after abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) surgery. The aim of this review was to evaluate the diagnostic test accuracy of routine endoscopy in diagnosing CI after treatment for elective and acute AAA. Patients and methods: The Pubmed and Embase database searches resulted in 1188 articles. Prospective studies describing routine post-operative colonoscopy or sigmoidoscopy after elective or emergency AAA repair were included. The study quality was assessed with the QUADAS-2 tool. Sensitivity and specificity forest plots were drawn. Diagnostic odds ratios were calculated by a random effect model. Results: Twelve articles were included consisting of 718 AAA patients of whom 44% were treated electively, 56% ruptured and, 6% by endovascular repair. Of all patients, 20.8% were identified with CI (all grades), and 6.5% of patients had Grade 3 CI. The pooled diagnostic odds ratio for all grades of CI on endoscopy was 26.60 (95% CI 8.86–79.88). The sensitivity and specificity of endoscopy for detection of Grade 3 CI after AAA repair was 0.52 (95% CI, 0.31–0.73) and 0.97 (95% CI 0.95–0.99) respectively. The positive post-test probability is up to 60% in all kinds of AAA patients and 68% in ruptured AAA patients. Conclusion: Routine endoscopy is highly accurate for ruling out CI after AAA repair. Clinicians should be aware that endoscopy is less accurate in diagnosing the presence of the clinically relevant transmural CI. Endoscopy is a safe diagnostic test to use routinely as none of the studies reported adverse events

Results from a nationwide prospective registry on open surgical or endovascular repair of juxtarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms

Background: Juxtarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms (JRAAAs) can be treated either with open surgical repair (OSR) including suprarenal clamping or by complex endovascular aneurysm repair (cEVAR). In this study, we present the comparison between the short-term mortality and complications of the elective JRAAA treatment modalities from a national database reflecting daily practice in the Netherlands. Methods: All patients undergoing elective JRAAA open repair or cEVAR (fenestrated EVAR or chimney EVAR) between January 2016 and December 2018 registered in the Dutch Surgical Aneurysm Audit (DSAA) were eligible for inclusion. Descriptive perioperative variables and outcomes were compared between patients treated with open surgery or endovascularly. Adjusted odds ratios for short-term outcomes were calculated by logistic regression analysis. Results: In all, 455 primary treated patients with JRAAAs could be included (258 OSR, 197 cEVAR). Younger patients and female patients were treated more often with OSR vs cEVAR (72 ± 6.1 vs 76 ± 6.0; P < .001 and 22% vs 15%; P = .047, respectively). Patients treated with OSR had significantly more major and minor complications as well as a higher chance of early mortality (OSR vs cEVAR, 45% vs 21%; P < .001; 34% vs 23%; P = .011; and 6.6% vs 2.5%; P = .046, respectively). After logistic regression with adjustment for confounders, patients who were treated with OSR showed an odds ratio of 3.64 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.25-5.89; P < .001) for major complications compared with patients treated with cEVAR, and for minor complications, the odds ratios were 2.17 (95% CI, 1.34-3.53; P = .002) higher. For early mortality, the odds ratios were 3.79 (95% CI, 1.26-11.34; P = .017) higher after OSR compared with cEVAR. Conclusions: In this study, after primary elective OSR for JRAAA, the odds for major complications, minor complications, and short-term mortality were significantly higher compared with cEVAR

Development and External Validation of a Model Predicting Death After Surgery in Patients With a Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm:The Dutch Aneurysm Score

OBJECTIVE: The decision whether or not to proceed with surgical intervention of a patient with a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) is very difficult in daily practice. The primary objective of the present study was to develop and to externally validate a new prediction model: the Dutch Aneurysm Score (DAS). METHODS: With a prospective cohort of 10 hospitals (n = 508) the DAS was developed using a multivariate logistic regression model. Two retrospective cohorts with rAAA patients from two hospitals (n = 373) were used for external validation. The primary outcome was the combined 30 day and in-hospital death rate. Discrimination (AUC), calibration plots, and the ability to identify high risk patients were compared with the more commonly used Glasgow Aneurysm Score (GAS). RESULTS: After multivariate logistic regression, four pre-operative variables were identified: age, lowest in hospital systolic blood pressure, cardiopulmonary resuscitation, and haemoglobin level. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) for the DAS was 0.77 (95% CI 0.72-0.82) compared with the GAS with an AUC of 0.72 (95% CI 0.67-0.77). The DAS showed a death rate in patients with a predicted death rate ≥80% of 83%. CONCLUSIONS: The present study shows that the DAS has a higher discriminative performance (AUC) compared with the GAS. All clinical variables used for the DAS are easy to obtain. Identification of low risk patients with the DAS can potentially reduce turndown rates. The DAS can reliably be used by clinicians to make a more informed decision in dialogue with the patient and their family whether or not to proceed with surgical intervention

Diagnostic Imaging in Vascular Graft Infection:A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Vascular graft infection (VGI), a serious complication in vascular surgery, has a high morbidity and mortality rate. The diagnosis is complicated by non-specific symptoms and challenged by the variable accuracy of different imaging techniques. The objective of this study was to determine the diagnostic value of various imaging techniques to diagnose VGI. Methods: A systematic review was conducted according to the PRISMA guidelines. Data sources included PubMed/Medline, Embase, and Cochrane from January 1997 until October 2017. Observational cohort studies were included. A meta-analysis was conducted on several imaging modalities: computed tomography with or without angiography (CT(A)), F-18-fluoro-D-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography with or without low dose or contrast enhanced CT (FDG-PET(/CT)), and white blood cell scintigraphy with or without single photon emission computed tomography combined with low dose CT (WBC (SPECT/CT)). Results: Of 4259 papers, 14 articles were included, containing eight prospective and six retrospective articles. CTA (I-2 7.4%), FDG-PET (I-2 36.5%), and FDG-PET/CT (I-2 36.6%) showed negligible to moderate heterogeneity, while WBC scintigraphy +/- SPECT/CT (I-2 78.6%) showed considerable heterogeneity. Pooled sensitivity for CTA was 0.67 (95% CI 0.57-0.75), in contrast to FDG-PET of 0.94 (95% CI 0.88-0.98), FDG-PET/CT of 0.95 (95% CI 0.87-0.99), WBC scintigraphy of 0.90 (95% CI 0.85-0.94), and WBC scintigraphy with SPECT/CT of 0.99 (95% CI 0.92-1.00). The pooled specificities were for CTA 0.63 (95% CI 0.48-0.76), FDG-PET 0.70 (95% CI 0.59-0.79), FDG-PET/CT 0.80 (95% CI 0.69-0.89), WBC scintigraphy 0.88 (95% CI 0.81-1.94), and WBC scintigraphy SPECT/CT 0.82 (95% CI 0.57-0.96). Pre-and post-test results showed that WBC SPECT/CT favours FDG-PET/CT, with a positive post-test probability of 96% versus 83%. Conclusion: This meta-analysis suggests the diagnostic performance of WBC scintigraphy combined with SPECT/CT is the greatest in diagnosing VGI. However, it is a time consuming technique and not always available. Therefore FDG-PET/CT may be favourable as the initial imaging technique. The use of solitary CTA in diagnosing VGI seems to be obsolete. (C) 2018 European Society for Vascular Surgery. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved