Macroeconomic impacts of ALMP on the matching process in West Germany

This paper investigates the macroeconomic effects of job creation schemes and vocational training on the matching processes in West Germany. The empirical analysis is based on regional data for local employment office districts for the period from 1999 to 2003. The empirical model relies on a dynamic version of a matching function augmented by ALMP. In order to obtain consistent estimates in the presence of a dynamic panel data model, a first-differences GMM estimator and a transformed maximum likelihood estimator are applied. Furthermore the paper considers the endogeneity problem of the policy measures. The results obtained from our estimates indicate that vocational training does not significantly affect the matching process and that job creation schemes have a negative effect. JEL Classification: C23, E24, H43, J64, J6

The effects of job creation schemes on the unemployment duration in Eastern Germany

"Job creation schemes have been one of the most important programmes of active labour market policy in Germany throughout the 1990s and into the first decade of the new century. A number of studies have analysed the effects of job creation schemes in Germany, presenting an overall disappointing picture. JCS seem to perform poorly in improving the employability or the chances of leaving unemployment for the participating individuals. The study extends the existing literature by an evaluation of JCS with the timing-of-events methodology in the duration context using administrative data for East Germany. The analysis is based on a multivariate mixed proportional hazard rate model that accounts for observable and unobservable characteristics. The results show that JCS increase the individual unemployment duration of the participants. The negative effect results from a locking-in effect and a strong negative effect after the programme has finished. Therefore, the results suggest that JCS do not improve the employment prospects for the participants." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en)) Additional Information Kurzfassung (deutsch) Executive summary (English)Arbeitsbeschaffungsmaßnahme - Erfolgskontrolle, Beschäftigungseffekte, Arbeitslosigkeitsdauer, Beschäftigungsfähigkeit, Arbeitsmarktchancen, Arbeitslose, berufliche Reintegration, IAB-Bewerberangebotsdatei, Beschäftigtenstatistik, IAB-Maßnahmeteilnehmergrunddatei, Ostdeutschland, Bundesrepublik Deutschland

The effects of job creation schemes on the unemployment duration in East Germany

"Job creation schemes have been one of the most important programmes of active labour market policy in Germany throughout the 1990s and into the first decade of the new century. A number of studies have analysed the effects of job creation schemes in Germany, presenting an overall disappointing picture. JCS seem to perform poorly in improving the employability or the chances of leaving unemployment for the participating individuals. The study extends the existing literature by an evaluation of JCS with the timing-of-events methodology in the duration context using administrative data for East Germany. The analysis is based on a multivariate mixed proportional hazard rate model that accounts for observable and unobservable characteristics. The results show that JCS increase the individual unemployment duration of the participants. The negative effect results from a locking-in effect and a strong negative effect after the programme has finished. Therefore, the results suggest that JCS do not improve the employment prospects for the participants." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))Arbeitsbeschaffungsmaßnahme, Beschäftigungseffekte, Arbeitslosigkeitsdauer, Beschäftigungsfähigkeit, Arbeitsmarktchancen, Arbeitslose, berufliche Reintegration, IAB-Bewerberangebotsdatei, Beschäftigtenstatistik, IAB-Maßnahmeteilnehmergrunddatei, Ostdeutschland, Bundesrepublik Deutschland

The effects of vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany

Vocational training programmes have been the most important active labour market policy instrument in Germany in the last years. However, the still unsatisfying situation of the labour market has raised doubt on the efficiency of these programmes. In this paper, we analyse the effects of the participation in vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany. Based on administrative data for the time between the October 1999 and December 2002 of the Federal Employment Administration, we apply a bivariate mixed proportional hazards model. By doing so, we are able to use the information of the timing of treatment as well as observable and unobservable influences to identify the treatment effects. The results show that a participation in vocational training prolongates the unemployment duration in Eastern Germany. Furthermore, the results suggest that locking-in effects are a serious problem of vocational training programmes. JEL Classification: J64, J24, I28, J6

Macroeconometric evaluation of active labour market policies in Germany : a dynamic panel approach using regional data

Most evaluation studies of active labour market policies (ALMP) focus on the microeconometric evaluation approach using individual data. However, as the microeconometric approach usually ignores impacts on the non-participants, it should be seen as a first step to a complete evaluation which has to be followed by an analysis on the macroeconomic level. As a starting point for our analysis we discuss the effects of ALMP in a theoretical labour market framework augmented by ALMP. We estimate the impacts of ALMP in Germany for the time period 1999-2001 with regional data of 175 labour office districts. Due to the high persistence of German labour market data the application of a dynamic model is crucial. Furthermore our analysis accounts especially for the inherent simultaneity problem of ALMP. For West Germany we find positive effects of vocational training and job creation schemes on the labour market situation, whereas the results for East Germany do not allow profound statements. JEL Classification: C33, E24, H43, J64, J68

Serial correlation in dynamic panel data models with weakly exogenous regressor and fixed effects

Our paper wants to present and compare two estimation methodologies for dynamic panel data models in the presence of serially correlated errors and weakly exogenous regressors. The ¯rst is the ¯rst di®erence GMM estimator as proposed by Arellano and Bond (1991) and the second is the transformed Maximum Likelihood Estimator as proposed by Hsiao, Pesaran, and Tahmiscioglu (2002). Thereby, we consider the ¯xed e®ects case and weakly exogenous regressors. The ¯nite sample properties of both estimation methodologies are analysed within a simulation experiment. Furthermore, we will present an empirical example to consider the performance of both estimators with real data. JEL Classification: C23, J6

Ein neuer Aspidoceras-Fund aus dem Oberen Jura Norddeutschlands und seine Bedeutung für die Biostratigraphie des norddeutschen Kimmeridge : mit 1 Tabelle

Ein neuer Fund von Aspidoceras aft. orthocera wird aus dem unteren Mittel-Kimmeridge des Wiehengebirges beschrieben und seine Bedeutung für die Biostratigraphie des norddeutschen Kimmeridge diskutiert.A new specimen of Aspidoceras aft. orthocera is described from the Middle Kimmeridgian of Lower Saxony, Northern Germany; the importance of this new find for the biostratigraphy of the north-German Kimmeridgian is discussed

The effects of short-term training measures on the individual unemployment duration in West Germany

Short-term training measures are the most important intervention of German active labor market policy in terms of persons promoted. However, evidence on the impacts of programs is missing. This study analyzes the effects of these programs on the individual unemployment duration in West Germany. By applying a multivariate mixed proportional hazards model, we are able to consider information of the timing of treatment in the unemployment spell as well as observable and unobservable factors to control for selectivity. Moreover, we allow treatment effects to vary over time and take account of heterogeneity in the effects due to individual differences. --Training Measures,Active Labor Market Policy,West Germany,Multivariate Mixed Proportional Hazards,Time-Varying Treatment Effects

INFORMATION FLOWS IN CIRCULAR ECONOMY PRACTICES

Recently, other disciplines and scientific communities discuss the Circular Economy paradigm as a key vehicle to establish more sustainable production and consumption patterns by decoupling eco-nomic output and emissions. Conversations about information system solutions for sustainable pro-duction and consumption, however, remain notably absent in the Information Systems research community. We develop a taxonomy of information flows relevant for the successful application of Circular Economy practices. Drawing on conceptual and empirical data, we categorized nine Circu-lar Economy practices based on their underlying material flow networks and identified four classes of information flows that enable the proper functioning of these practices. Our work (a) provides a conceptual foundation for Circular Economy-related conversations within the Information Systems research community, (b) stimulates future solution-oriented Information Systems research for envi-ronmentally sustainable production and consumption, and (c) strengthens inter-disciplinary re-search