CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR SOIL PROPERTIES BASED ON DIFFERING STATISTICAL ASSUMPTIONS

Agricultural soil management is becoming increasingly precise as technology advances and as environmental concerns increase. Soil surveys are a readily available source of soils information, but soil properties are reported as generalized values or generic ranges. A need exists to define the central tendencies of soil properties in a rigorous, quantified fashion. Statistically, the central tendency is best expressed as confidence intervals about means or medians. Transect sampling was used to collect data on soil properties within a soil survey map unit. Key questions for data analysis include assumptions of independence within transects and normality. The choice of statistical method is based on assumptions about the data and on the sampling scheme. Narrower confidence intervals resulted from assumptions of independence within transects and normal distributions of soil property values. Wider confidence intervals were obtained if assumptions of independence and normality were not made. For transect sampling in general, and these data in particular, the wider confidence intervals seem most appropriate

On the Power and Weakness of Rational Expectations: Logical Fallacies, Periodic Bubbles and Business Cycles

A popular interpretation of the Rational Expectations/Efficient Markets hypothesis states that, if the hypothesis holds, then market valuations must follow a random walk. This postulate has frequently been criticized on the basis of empirical evidence. Yet the assertion itself incurs what we could call 'fallacy of probability diffusion symmetry': although market efficiency does indeed imply that the mean (i.e. expected) path must be a random walk, if the probability diffusion process is asymmetric then the observed path will most closely resemble not the mean but the median, which does not necessarily follow a random walk. To illustrate the implications, this paper develops an efficient markets model where the median path of Tobin's q ratio displays regular cycles of bubbles and crashes reflecting an agency problem between investors and producers. The model is tested against US market data, with results suggesting that such a regular cycle does indeed exist and is statistically significant. The aggregate production function in Gracia (Uncertainty and Capacity Constraints: Reconsidering the Aggregate Production Function, 2011) is then put forward to show how financial fluctuations can drive the business cycle by periodically impacting aggregate productivity and, as a consequence, GDP growth

Soft X-ray Photochemistry at the L₂,₃-edges in K₃[Fe(CN)₆], [Co(acac)₃] and [Cp₂Fe][BF₄]

Soft X-ray photoreduction has been observed in K3[Fe(CN)6], [Co(acac)3] and [Cp2Fe][BF4]

Two Different Forms of Arousal in Drosophila Are Oppositely Regulated by the Dopamine D1 Receptor Ortholog DopR via Distinct Neural Circuits

Arousal is fundamental to many behaviors, but whether it is unitary or whether there are different types of behavior-specific arousal has not been clear. In Drosophila, dopamine promotes sleep-wake arousal. However, there is conflicting evidence regarding its influence on environmentally stimulated arousal. Here we show that loss-of-function mutations in the D1 dopamine receptor DopR enhance repetitive startle-induced arousal while decreasing sleep-wake arousal (i.e., increasing sleep). These two types of arousal are also inversely influenced by cocaine, whose effects in each case are opposite to, and abrogated by, the DopR mutation. Selective restoration of DopR function in the central complex rescues the enhanced stimulated arousal but not the increased sleep phenotype of DopR mutants. These data provide evidence for at least two different forms of arousal, which are independently regulated by dopamine in opposite directions, via distinct neural circuits

The Ursinus Weekly, November 7, 1949

G.B. Shaw derides England\u27s language in Pygmalion plot • European student enters Ursinus after long delay • Campus Y to boost annual WSSF drive with $1000 as goal • Calendar indicates vigorous, far-flung week-end schedule • Scout men to form service fraternity at meeting tonight • Sommers to appear for Starlight Ball • Old timers return for traditional day; Varsity queen rules • Philip organizes 125 for twelfth chorus of famed oratorio • Yearbook to open \u2749 shooting season • Author-publisher strongly denounces Britain\u27s welfare state as totalitarian • Band, singers plan combined concert • Coeds to cement relations at big-little sister party • FTA offers talk on opportunities • Editorial: Coming drives • Viewbook becomes new Ursinus agent throughout nation • Caracas native adds diversity to \u2753 class • Three twirlers add baton intricacies to marching band • Korean compares Hawaii U., Ursinus • Academy reveals diversified program for all music fans • Curtis emerges victorious in football; Play-offs to determine league winner • Ursinus bows 16-45 to Reading runners • Bears to encounter powerful grid foe at PMC this week • Fords, Lincoln defeat grizzly soccer team • Bearettes place six on all-college club in week-end meet • F&M downs bears 27-6 in old timers\u27 day clash • Evans scores goal to tie Swarthmore • Godshall supervises construction work for disposal planthttps://digitalcommons.ursinus.edu/weekly/1576/thumbnail.jp

The Impact of Patient Navigation on the Delivery of Diagnostic Breast Cancer Care in the National Patient Navigation Research Program: A Prospective Meta-Analysis.

Patient navigation is emerging as a standard in breast cancer care delivery, yet multi-site data on the impact of navigation at reducing delays along the continuum of care are lacking. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of navigation on reaching diagnostic resolution at specific time points after an abnormal breast cancer screening test among a national sample. A prospective meta-analysis estimated the adjusted odds of achieving timely diagnostic resolution at 60, 180, and 365 days. Exploratory analyses were conducted on the pooled sample to identify which groups had the most benefit from navigation. Clinics from six medical centers serving vulnerable populations participated in the Patient Navigation Research Program. Women with an abnormal breast cancer screening test between 2007 and 2009 were included and received the patient navigation intervention or usual care. Patient navigators worked with patients and their care providers to address patient-specific barriers to care to prevent delays in diagnosis. A total of 4675 participants included predominantly racial/ethnic minorities (74 %) with public insurance (40 %) or no insurance (31 %). At 60 days and 180 days, there was no statistically significant effect of navigation on achieving timely diagnostic care, but a benefit of navigation was seen at 365 days (aOR 2.12, CI 1.36-3.29). We found an equal benefit of navigation across all groups, regardless of race/ethnicity, language, insurance status, and type of screening abnormality. Patient navigation resulted in more timely diagnostic resolution at 365 days among a diverse group of minority, low-income women with breast cancer screening abnormalities. Trial registrations clinicaltrials.gov Identifiers: NCT00613275, NCT00496678, NCT00375024, NCT01569672

Chemical Cartography with APOGEE: Large-scale Mean Metallicity Maps of the Milky Way

We present Galactic mean metallicity maps derived from the first year of the SDSS-III APOGEE experiment. Mean abundances in different zones of Galactocentric radius (0 < R < 15 kpc) at a range of heights above the plane (0 < |z| < 3 kpc), are derived from a sample of nearly 20,000 stars with unprecedented coverage, including stars in the Galactic mid-plane at large distances. We also split the sample into subsamples of stars with low and high-[{\alpha}/M] abundance ratios. We assess possible biases in deriving the mean abundances, and find they are likely to be small except in the inner regions of the Galaxy. A negative radial gradient exists over much of the Galaxy; however, the gradient appears to flatten for R < 6 kpc, in particular near the Galactic mid-plane and for low-[{\alpha}/M] stars. At R > 6 kpc, the gradient flattens as one moves off of the plane, and is flatter at all heights for high-[{\alpha}/M] stars than for low-[{\alpha}/M] stars. Alternatively, these gradients can be described as vertical gradients that flatten at larger Galactocentric radius; these vertical gradients are similar for both low and high-[{\alpha}/M] populations. Stars with higher [{\alpha}/M] appear to have a flatter radial gradient than stars with lower [{\alpha}/M]. This could suggest that the metallicity gradient has grown steeper with time or, alternatively, that gradients are washed out over time by migration of stars.Comment: 16 pages, 12 figures, submitted to A

The Lantern Vol. 39, No. 2, Spring 1973

• Days of Rain • Reflections On Clifton, New Jersey • Interlude • Window Scene • Eh! • Odyssey of Malcolm • Tuna on Toast • The Second Avenue Bus • Salutation of the Dawn • So Say Something • Mood • Moriarty\u27s Lament • I\u27ve Been a Lonely Gypsy • Change • Cool Ray • The Thinker • A Southern Sunsethttps://digitalcommons.ursinus.edu/lantern/1102/thumbnail.jp