43 research outputs found
Organization and Strategy of Farmer Specialized Cooperatives in China
A description and analysis of China's Farmer Specialized Cooperatives is presented. Data is presented regarding the historical development of farmer cooperatives in China, the membership composition of a sample of 66 farmer cooperatives in the Zhejiang province, and the various attributes (governance, quality control system, and strategy) of a watermelon cooperative in this province. Many cooperatives are being transformed in organizations with a market orientation. These cooperatives exhibit substantial heterogeneity, in terms of farmers being member and skewness in the distribution of control rights. Human asset specificity in terms of establishing and maintaining relations and access to markets seems to be more important than physical asset specificity in accounting for governance structure choice in the current institutional setting.Farmer Cooperative, China, Governance Structure, Business Strategy, Agribusiness, Q13,
An analytical model of the large neutral regions during the late stage of reionization
In this paper we investigate the nature and distribution of large neutral
regions during the late epoch of reionization. In the "bubble model" of
reionization, the mass distribution of large ionized regions ("bubbles") during
the early stage of reionization is obtained by using the excursion set model,
where the ionization of a region corresponds to the first up-crossing of a
barrier by random trajectories. We generalize this idea, and develop a method
to predict the distribution of large scale neutral regions during the late
stage of reionization, taking into account the ionizing background after the
percolation of HII regions. The large scale neutral regions which we call
"neutral islands" are not individual galaxies or minihalos, but larger regions
where fewer galaxies formed and hence ionized later, and they are identified in
the excursion set model with the first down-crossings of the island barrier.
Assuming that the consumption rate of ionizing background photons is
proportional to the surface area of the neutral islands, we obtained the size
distribution of the neutral islands. We also take the "bubbles-in-island"
effect into account by considering the conditional probability of up-crossing a
bubble barrier after down-crossing the island barrier. We find that this effect
is very important. An additional barrier is set to avoid islands being
percolated through. We find that there is a characteristic scale for the
neutral islands, while the small islands are rapidly swallowed up by the
ionizing background, this characteristic scale does not change much as the
reionization proceeds.Comment: 33 pages, 11 figures, accepted by The Astrophysical Journa
Buddhist entrepreneurs, charitable behaviors, and social entrepreneurship : Evidence from China
Acknowledgements We thank the Editor-in-Chief Zoltan J. Acs, David B. Audretsch, the anonymous reviewers, and Shaker A. Zahra and Yong Li for their helpful comments and suggestions.The usual disclaimers apply. Funding The authors acknowledge funding from the National Social Science Foundation of China (grant number: 20AGL008), National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant number: 72172056) and the General Project of Philosophy and Social Science Research in Colleges and Universities of Jiangsu Province (grant number: 2020SJA0254).Peer reviewedPublisher PD
Previous military experience and entrepreneurship toward poverty reduction : evidence from China
Acknowledgements We thank the Editor-in-Chief Brandon Randolph-Seng, the anonymous reviewers, and Shaker A. Zahra and Yong Li for their helpful comments and suggestions. We acknowledge funding from the General Project of Philosophy and Social Science Research in Colleges and Universities of Jiangsu Province (grant number: 2020SJA0254). The usual disclaimers apply.Peer reviewedPostprin
Development of a risk score for prediction of poor treatment outcomes among patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis
Background
Treatment outcomes among patients treated for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) are often sub-optimal. Therefore, the early prediction of poor treatment outcomes may be useful in patient care, especially for clinicians when they have the ability to make treatment decisions or offer counselling or additional support to patients. The aim of this study was to develop a simple clinical risk score to predict poor treatment outcomes in patients with MDR-TB, using routinely collected data from two large countries in geographically distinct regions.
Methods
We used MDR-TB data collected from Hunan Chest Hospital, China and Gondar University Hospital, Ethiopia. The data were divided into derivation (n = 343; 60%) and validation groups (n = 227; 40%). A poor treatment outcome was defined as treatment failure, lost to follow up or death. A risk score for poor treatment outcomes was derived using a Cox proportional hazard model in the derivation group. The model was then validated in the validation group.
Results
The overall rate of poor treatment outcome was 39.5% (n = 225); 37.9% (n = 86) in the derivation group and 40.5% (n = 139) in the validation group. Three variables were identified as predictors of poor treatment outcomes, and each was assigned a number of points proportional to its regression coefficient. These predictors and their points were: 1) history of taking second-line TB treatment (2 points), 2) resistance to any fluoroquinolones (3 points), and 3) smear did not convert from positive to negative at two months (4 points). We summed these points to calculate the risk score for each patient; three risk groups were defined: low risk (0 to 2 points), medium risk (3 to 5 points), and high risk (6 to 9 points). In the derivation group, poor treatment outcomes were reported for these three groups as 14%, 27%, and 71%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the point system in the derivation group was 0.69 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.77) and was similar to that in the validation group (0.67; 95% CI 0.56 to 0.78; p = 0.82).
Conclusion
History of second-line TB treatment, resistance to any fluoroquinolones, and smear non-conversion at two months can be used to estimate the risk of poor treatment outcome in patients with MDR-TB with a moderate degree of accuracy (AUROC = 0.69)
CSST forecast: impact from non-Gaussian covariances and requirements on systematics-control
The precise estimation of the statistical errors and accurate removal of the
systematical errors are the two major challenges for the stage IV cosmic shear
surveys. We explore their impact for the China Space-Station Telescope (CSST)
with survey area up to redshift . We consider
statistical error contributed from Gaussian covariance, connected non-Gaussian
covariance and super-sample covariance. We find the super-sample covariance can
largely reduce the signal-to-noise of the two-point statistics for CSST,
leading to a loss in the figure-of-merit for the matter clustering
properties ( plane) and in the dark energy
equation-of-state ( plane). We further put requirements of
systematics-mitigation on: intrinsic alignment of galaxies, baryonic feedback,
shear multiplicative bias, and bias in the redshift distribution, for an
unbiased cosmology. The to level requirements emphasize
strong needs in related studies, to support future model selections and the
associated priors for the nuisance parameters.Comment: submitted to MNRA
Comparison of the validity of smear and culture conversion as a prognostic marker of treatment outcome in patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis
Background
The World Health Organization (WHO) has conditionally recommended the use of sputum smear microscopy and culture examination for the monitoring of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) treatment. We aimed to assess and compare the validity of smear and culture conversion at different time points during treatment for MDR-TB, as a prognostic marker for end-of-treatment outcomes.
Methods
We undertook a retrospective observational cohort study using data obtained from Hunan Chest Hospital, China and Gondar University Hospital, Ethiopia. The sensitivity and specificity of culture and sputum smear conversion for predicting treatment outcomes were analysed using a random-effects generalized linear mixed model.
Results
A total of 429 bacteriologically confirmed MDR-TB patients with a culture and smear positive result were included. Overall, 345 (80%) patients had a successful treatment outcome, and 84 (20%) patients had poor treatment outcomes. The sensitivity of smear and culture conversion to predict a successful treatment outcome were: 77.9% and 68.9% at 2 months after starting treatment (difference between tests, p = 0.007); 95.9% and 92.7% at 4 months (p = 0.06); 97.4% and 96.2% at 6 months (p = 0.386); and 99.4% and 98.9% at 12 months (p = 0.412), respectively. The specificity of smear and culture non-conversion to predict a poor treatment outcome were: 41.6% and 60.7% at 2 months (p = 0.012); 23.8% and 48.8% at 4 months (p<0.001); and 20.2% and 42.8% at 6 months (p<0.001); and 15.4% and 32.1% (p<0.001) at 12 months, respectively. The sensitivity of culture and smear conversion increased as the month of conversion increased but at the cost of decreased specificity. The optimum time points after conversion to provide the best prognostic marker of a successful treatment outcome were between two and four months after treatment commencement for smear, and between four and six months for culture. The common optimum time point for smear and culture conversion was four months. At this time point, culture conversion (AUROC curve = 0.71) was significantly better than smear conversion (AUROC curve = 0.6) in predicting successful treatment outcomes (p < 0.001). However, the validity of smear conversion (AUROC curve = 0.7) was equivalent to culture conversion (AUROC curve = 0.71) in predicting treatment outcomes when demographic and clinical factors were included in the model. The positive and negative predictive values for smear conversion were: 57.3% and 65.7% at two months, 55.7% and 85.4% at four months, and 55.0% and 88.6% at six months; and for culture conversions it was: 63.7% and 66.2% at two months, 64.4% and 87.1% at four months, and 62.7% and 91.9% at six months, respectively.
Conclusions
The validity of smear conversion is significantly lower than culture conversion in predicting MDR-TB treatment outcomes. We support the WHO recommendation of using both smear and culture examination rather than smear alone for the monitoring of MDR-TB patients for a better prediction of successful treatment outcomes. The optimum time points to predict a future successful treatment outcome were between two and four months after treatment commencement for sputum smear conversion and between four and six months for culture conversion. The common optimum times for culture and smear conversion together was four months
Clinical outcomes after vascular reconstruction using synthetic grafts for limb salvage in patients with lower extremity sarcoma: a single-center retrospective experience
IntroductionLimb-salvage surgery has become the mainstream approaches for the treatment of sarcoma in the lower extremity. In cases where the sarcoma infiltrates the primary vessel, concurrent resection of the vessels and vascular reconstruction are required to ensure sufficient resection and preservation of limb function. The objective of this study is to assess the clinical outcomes of patients who underwent vascular reconstruction utilizing synthetic grafts for limb salvage, specifically in terms of postoperative complications and limb functional status.MethodsBetween September 2016 and October 2021, 15 consecutive patients who underwent 15 arterial and 3 venous reconstruction procedures were included in this retrospective study. Incidence of postoperative morbidity, graft patency, rate of limb salvage, and overall survival of patients were analyzed.ResultsThe median follow-up was 12.5 months (range, 4.5-72.0). Graft thrombosis occurred in 5 patients (33.3%) and graft occlusion occurred in 3 patients (20.0%). The median overall survival was 28.0 months with the estimated 2-year and 5-year overall survival of 57.8% and 43.4% respectively. The 1-year and 2-year estimated patency rates of arterial reconstructions were 82.3% and 62.1%, respectively. None of the included patients with limb amputation were observed as a consequence of severe vascular complications, while two patients underwent amputation due to the repeat recurrence, resulting in a limb salvage rate of 86.7%.ConclusionOur results show that the combination of vascular reconstruction and oncologic resection is a feasible option for preserving limbs in cases of musculoskeletal sarcoma with vessel involvement in the lower extremity. When vascular reconstruction surgery is performed, synthetic substitutes can be effectively used with low perioperative morbidity and an acceptable rate of limb salvage
Comparison of the validity of smear and culture conversion as a prognostic marker of treatment outcome in patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis
Background
The World Health Organization (WHO) has conditionally recommended the use of sputum smear microscopy and culture examination for the monitoring of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) treatment. We aimed to assess and compare the validity of smear and culture conversion at different time points during treatment for MDR-TB, as a prognostic marker for end-of-treatment outcomes.
Methods
We undertook a retrospective observational cohort study using data obtained from Hunan Chest Hospital, China and Gondar University Hospital, Ethiopia. The sensitivity and specificity of culture and sputum smear conversion for predicting treatment outcomes were analysed using a random-effects generalized linear mixed model.
Results
A total of 429 bacteriologically confirmed MDR-TB patients with a culture and smear positive result were included. Overall, 345 (80%) patients had a successful treatment outcome, and 84 (20%) patients had poor treatment outcomes. The sensitivity of smear and culture conversion to predict a successful treatment outcome were: 77.9% and 68.9% at 2 months after starting treatment (difference between tests, p = 0.007); 95.9% and 92.7% at 4 months (p = 0.06); 97.4% and 96.2% at 6 months (p = 0.386); and 99.4% and 98.9% at 12 months (p = 0.412), respectively. The specificity of smear and culture non-conversion to predict a poor treatment outcome were: 41.6% and 60.7% at 2 months (p = 0.012); 23.8% and 48.8% at 4 months (p<0.001); and 20.2% and 42.8% at 6 months (p<0.001); and 15.4% and 32.1% (p<0.001) at 12 months, respectively. The sensitivity of culture and smear conversion increased as the month of conversion increased but at the cost of decreased specificity. The optimum time points after conversion to provide the best prognostic marker of a successful treatment outcome were between two and four months after treatment commencement for smear, and between four and six months for culture. The common optimum time point for smear and culture conversion was four months. At this time point, culture conversion (AUROC curve = 0.71) was significantly better than smear conversion (AUROC curve = 0.6) in predicting successful treatment outcomes (p < 0.001). However, the validity of smear conversion (AUROC curve = 0.7) was equivalent to culture conversion (AUROC curve = 0.71) in predicting treatment outcomes when demographic and clinical factors were included in the model. The positive and negative predictive values for smear conversion were: 57.3% and 65.7% at two months, 55.7% and 85.4% at four months, and 55.0% and 88.6% at six months; and for culture conversions it was: 63.7% and 66.2% at two months, 64.4% and 87.1% at four months, and 62.7% and 91.9% at six months, respectively.
Conclusions
The validity of smear conversion is significantly lower than culture conversion in predicting MDR-TB treatment outcomes. We support the WHO recommendation of using both smear and culture examination rather than smear alone for the monitoring of MDR-TB patients for a better prediction of successful treatment outcomes. The optimum time points to predict a future successful treatment outcome were between two and four months after treatment commencement for sputum smear conversion and between four and six months for culture conversion. The common optimum times for culture and smear conversion together was four months
Treatment outcomes of patients with multidrug-resistant and extensively drug resistant tuberculosis in Hunan Province, China
Background
The worldwide emergence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB) has posed additional challenges for global tuberculosis (TB) control efforts, as limited treatment options are available and treatment outcomes are often sub-optimal. This study determined treatment outcomes among a cohort of MDR-TB and XDR-TB patients in Hunan Province, China, and identified factors associated with poor treatment outcomes.
Methods
We conducted a retrospective study using data obtained from medical records of TB patients in Hunan Chest Hospital, and from the internet-based TB management information system managed by the Tuberculosis Control Institute of Hunan Province, for the period 2011 to 2014. Treatment outcomes were assessed for patients diagnosed with MDR-TB (TB resistant to at least isoniazid and rifampicin) and XDR-TB (MDR-TB plus resistance to any fluoroquinolone and at least 1 second-line injectable drug). Cumulative incidence functions were used to estimate time to events (i.e. poor treatment outcomes, loss to follow-up, and unfavourable treatment outcomes); and a competing-risks survival regression model was used to identify predictors of treatment outcomes.
Result
Of 481 bacteriologically-confirmed patients, with a mean age of 40 years (standard deviation SD ± 13 years), 10 (2%) had XDR-TB and the remainder (471; 98%) had MDR-TB. For the entire cohort, treatment success was 57% (n = 275); 58% (n = 272) for MDR-TB and 30% (n = 3) for XDR-TB. Overall, 27% were lost to follow-up (n = 130), 27% (n = 126) for MDR-TB and 40% (n = 4) for XDR-TB; and 16% had a poor treatment outcome (n = 76), 15% for MDR-TB and 30% (n = 3) for XDR-TB. Of the 10 XDR-TB patients, 3 (30%) completed treatment, 3 (30%) died and 4 (40%) were lost to follow-up. Of the 471 MDR-TB patients, 258 (57%) were cured, 16 (3%) completed treatment, 13 (3%) died, 60 (13%) experienced treatment failure, and 126 (27%) were lost to follow-up. Resistance to ofloxacin was an independent predictor of poor (AHR = 3.1; 95%CI = 1.5, 6.3), and unfavourable (AHR = 1.7; 95%CI = 1.07, 2.9) treatment outcomes. Patients who started treatment during 2011–2012 (AHR = 2.8; 95% CI = 1.5, 5.3) and 2013 (AHR = 2.1; 95% CI = 1.2, 3.9) had poorer treatment outcomes compared to patients who started treatment during 2014.
Conclusion
Patients with MDR-TB and XDR-TB had low rates of treatment success in Hunan Province, especially among patients who started treatment during 2011 to 2013, with evidence of improved treatment outcomes in 2014. Resistance to ofloxacin was an independent predictor of poor treatment outcomes